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Part II- January 2020 Obs and Discussion


snow_wizard

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Come on Euro, throw us a bone here. Give us the dignity of getting out of this event with a single measly nasty sloppy inch.

 

sn10_acc.us_nw.png

 

I might have been a huge weenie over the past few days but with stuff like this-- hard not to. Not like SEA got screwed over this badly during 16-17 or 17-18.

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"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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Had to mention this as well... anyone want to watch the full life cycle of a c-zone use the set time option and use Jan 13 for date and '05' as the time. Fascinating. Not what people were thinking and we missed some of it because we were sleeping. And even more cool is that its almost exactly what the ECMWF showed leading up to it. It's awesome to see a model accurately predict a fickle beast like the c-zone.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Come on Euro, throw us a bone here. Give us the dignity of getting out of this event with a single measly nasty sloppy inch.

 

sn10_acc.us_nw.png

Tonight's models have shown that nice little strip across Everett, really upping the totals there. 

Wonder what's causing that... can't be CZ can it? 

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37F and scattered showers.  Seasonably cool.

Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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At some point you’re going to have to let it go. Portland has done okay this decade.

 

Just feel like everyone has experienced these amazing storms-- and here I am with no such experiences or memories..whatever, probably just being stupid. I'll be happy just seeing the flakes come down.

"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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I might have been a huge weenie over the past few days but with stuff like this-- hard not to. Not like SEA got screwed over this badly during 16-17 or 17-18.

Reminiscing of past events ain't gonna do you any good. Let it go. 

It's ok to discuss it from a historical perspective, but you constantly whining about it is not good for you. 

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Looks kind of like a CZ but it seems like that line of precip is caused by that approaching low. Looks similar to this on most models.

 

namconus_ref_frzn_nwus_32.png

I like that map!
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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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0.61" of 36 degree rain today. This was meant to be a snow event

 

100 years ago it would have been. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Looks kind of like a CZ but it seems like that line of precip is caused by that approaching low. Looks similar to this on most models.

 

namconus_ref_frzn_nwus_32.png

I think it's a warm front lifting north.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Can someone fill me in one upcming snow chances for n seattle? Haven't been able to check a lot of the day! I read a couple tweets about a couple inches tonight possibly and then something tomorrow night? And that's before wednesday's system?!

 

Probably some snow tonight and quite a bit tomorrow. You're gonna be in for a lot of fun in the upcoming days-- enjoy.

"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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Just feel like everyone has experienced these amazing storms-- and here I am with not much to show for it....whatever, probably just being stupid. I'll be happy just seeing the flakes come down.

 

I get as emotionally invested in these things as anyone. But there is nothing you can do about it. It is what it is. In January 1998 Portland had a huge snow event in the middle of a winter which totally sucked. Were were just 20 miles south of the snow line and only got ZR. It was a major bummer, and I still remember it clearly. But in the grand scheme of my life it really doesn't matter. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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It still look funky. Pretty much all the models are picking up on this feature. Quite interesting tbh. 

 

I don't think its a warm front. Though it definitely taps into that low for a moisture feed. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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I don't think its a warm front. Though it definitely taps into that low for a moisture feed.

Weak low riding along the arctic boundary, crossing Vancouver island, and taps into deep moisture from that bombing low offshore. It does kind of morph into a warm front as the low starts pushing the arctic boundary back to the NE. That’s my take.
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I don't think its a warm front. Though it definitely taps into that low for a moisture feed.

850mb temps warm up significantly from tomorrow afternoon to Wednesday afternoon. I really think it's technically a warm front. Although the east wind kicks in right after so it won't feel much warmer... or be much warmer until Thursday. That east wind taps into the cold pool. Wind switches to south on Thursday.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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850mb temps warm up significantly from tomorrow afternoon to Wednesday afternoon. I really think it's technically a warm front. Although the east wind kicks in right after so it won't feel much warmer... or be much warmer until Thursday. That east wind taps into the cold pool. Wind switches to south on Thursday.

 

Kind of like 2008 when we technically got a warm front but it snowed?

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TWL must be happy. EUG pulled off a -1 departure today. 

 

Looks like SLE managed a sub-40 high.

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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850mb temps warm up significantly from tomorrow afternoon to Wednesday afternoon. I really think it's technically a warm front. Although the east wind kicks in right after so it won't feel much warmer... or be much warmer until Thursday. That east wind taps into the cold pool. Wind switches to south on Thursday.

I think it’s probably more warm front than anything else but generically it just looks like frontogenic forcing along a stalled, strong Arctic boundary.

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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