Niko Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 NIKO in the sweet spot... 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 20dbz but nothing falling. AWESOME 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 The infamous freezing drizzle is here. Hopefully the sun can come out soon and just melt everything. Edit: on the positive side, this cancelled one of my classes today 2 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 Looking at the cameras on I80 in Iowa it is snowing at MM 210, so within 30 miles of the 80-380 interchange. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 17, 2020 Author Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 An impactful winter storm is expected to produce periods of heavyaccumulating snowfall for Southeast Michigan Friday night throughSaturday. Nice write-up from NOAA Office: Attention turns to the upcoming winter storm starting late Friday...Upper-level dynamics fields continue to suggest the merging ofnorthern and southern streams of the split jet by 18Z Friday. Thiswill support the rapid intensification of the combined upper-levelwave as heights plummet and geostrophic velocities surge over theMissouri basin Friday evening. The feature will induce rapidcyclogenesis on the lee-side of the Rockies kicking a surface loweastward as deep layer cyclonic flow ensues. Given the broad reachof this system, the 925-850 mb layer will quickly become saturatedas efficient moist WAA converges up the Mississippi valleycharacterized by strong low-level ThetaE advection rates (over20C/12hr) across the MI/OH border after 00Z Saturday. The moisturegradient remains very sharp along the affiliated warm layer suchthat 850mb dewpoint temperatures will jump 25C in less than 3 hourslate Friday night as the event gets underway.Shifting focus to amounts, SLRs appear to fluctuate nearclimatological values (about 12:1) with the first round of snow.Forecast soundings illustrate excellent supersaturation (wrt ice)prior to 12Z across the southern counties. Given sufficient cold airin place ahead of the moisture plume, a well aligned DGZ aloft willwork in tandem with efficient riming process to created large andfluffy flakes overnight. Model QPF pushes liquid equivalent valuesinto the 0.75-1.00 inch range through Saturday eveningfavoring periods of heavy snowfall as rates approachthe 1 in/hr mark. Deformation will play a two-fold role with thisevent as the NAM depicts an initial deformation axis along the I-94corridor followed by a second period as the low lifts north later onSaturday. This will help further enhance areas of synoptic ascentand mesoscale vertical motions to produce localized areas up to 8or more inches. Wow! What an awesome AFD to wake up to, eh? Mine was lame by comparison. No prob tho, as long as all those model map are correct, lol. Peeked outside here at lunch hour and the sky certainly has that classic "winter storm impending" look to it. 2 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FarmerRick Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 Sleet in Omaha. May have 1.5-2.0" total so far. Bring on the dry slot!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 Just east of Newton is a winter wonderland. http://205.221.66.10/axis/NWTV14.jpg 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 I was thinking we would need some 2"/hr rates to hit the higher end of the range. It's nice to hear that has occurred out by Des Moines. 2 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 3.8 to 4.0" and puking snow. 9 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 17, 2020 Author Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 Close to 2" hr rates in these heaviest bands. Vis 1/8 or less. Not a let down here, at least not yet. Total hotness!! Good luck to you and your MI neighbors! When I saw the models juice up yesterday for your state I had a good feeling you were about to get the best snows of the season. Your looking good right now and so do the rest of the W MI posters. I think the lake will be on fire late Sat-Mon. Models have done a bad job 24-48 hours out handling Lehs/LES this year bc I believe their algorithm's are taking into account ice cover/colder water temps/etc which we know is clearly not the case. Just look what happened over here last weekend when I was seeing LES showers in very marginal temps both at the surface and aloft. Take a lot of pics! Lehs/LES may just be rocking it! Besides that tho, I can't remember when we had one of these "wall of white" starts to a snowstorm like the 17.12z NAM appears to indicate. I'm thinking it would've been one of the Dec '08 storms that pounded us overnight (like this) with about 7 or 8". I was asleep so didn't catch much of it, but that one was a pummeling of smallish flakes. I love the mention by DTX of larger fluffy dendrites. They really lower visibility compared to the pixie flakes. Going to be the funnest wx weekend since GHD-2 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 While Des Moines is getting pounded I'm sitting under 20dbz with not a single flake. Storm will be outta before I saturate. Lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 While Des Moines is getting pounded I'm sitting under 20dbz with not a single flake. Storm will be outta before I saturate. Lol I'm certain they experienced the same virga issues. It'll be ripping before you know it. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 While Des Moines is getting pounded I'm sitting under 20dbz with not a single flake. Storm will be outta before I saturate. Lol It's always tough to see bright returns moving over you on radar, but nothing is hitting the ground. It appears the snow is still an hour away from me. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 Wow! What an awesome AFD to wake up to, eh? Mine was lame by comparison. No prob tho, as long as all those model map are correct, lol. Peeked outside here at lunch hour and the sky certainly has that classic "winter storm impending" look to it.I was just outside thinking the same thing while cleaning up some of the leaves that were blown around from the last storm. I love it when the ground is frozen solid prior to an impending winter storm. The grayish cloud cover and chilly breeze certainly “feels” like a storm is a coming. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 Got flakes!! 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 Final Euro 2 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 4.7 and bombing the crap out of everything 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 Final Euro 6" here. I'd love that Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 17, 2020 Author Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 NIKO in the sweet spot... For part-1 he seems to be. We should get both parts tho by the looks of things. Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 I'm seeing a few tiny flurries. 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 Snow is falling on the SW side of CR 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 It’s unreal you can hardly see the neighbors it’s puking so hard 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 I crossed the mythical 1” barrier for the first time this winter but don’t think I crossed 2”. At work so can’t measure. Either way another letdown here. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 4.7 and bombing the crap out of everythingWhere you at again? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 It’s unreal you can hardly see the neighbors it’s puking so hard#reversepsychology works again... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 Yeah, Bud, I'm getting light snow now. It’s unreal you can hardly see the neighbors it’s puking so hard Where are you again? You should add your location to your profile. 2 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 Very light snow has begun here. True pixie dust 1 Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 Snowing good here with visibility under half mile. Probably started in the last 15 minutes. Finally got that cold dry air saturated. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NH4NU Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 You guys in E Nebraska do realize that the system is not done yet right? Am I missing something here? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kush61 Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 Could someone please post "Total Accumulated Snowfall, Kuchera Ratio (in)" for Ohio, Pennsylvania, and New York ? Thank-you..... thank-you very much.... !!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 Dear God this changed fast. Pounding bigtime 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ToastedRavs Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 4.4 here SW of Des Moines. Officially the airport had 4.2, so a six inch storm definitely within reach. Good luck to those north and east of us. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 You guys in E Nebraska do realize that the system is not done yet right? Am I missing something here? What? I think you're missing something lol 2 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 Nothing here Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 What kind of flake size are you guys seeing? My snow is starting with tiny flakes. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 Wow! What an awesome AFD to wake up to, eh? Mine was lame by comparison. No prob tho, as long as all those model map are correct, lol. Peeked outside here at lunch hour and the sky certainly has that classic "winter storm impending" look to it. Indeed amigo. This storm also has some strong winds w it as well. I will be experiencing winds gusting to as high as 40mph along w hvy snow. Whiteout conditions could be happening at times. 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 Snowing good here with visibility under half mile. Probably started in the last 15 minutes. Finally got that cold dry air saturated.Awesome bud!!! Hope ya score big!! 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 Snowing hard as I pull into north liberty 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BMT Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 Why is the verb for heavy snow “puking” ? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ToastedRavs Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 What kind of flake size are you guys seeing? My snow is starting with tiny flakes.Started very small here as well but picked up in size with the stronger bands. Definitely not the bigger flakes you might expect. Still enough to pile up quickly though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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