Jump to content

July 2023 Observations and Discussion


Tom

Recommended Posts

It's the Same Ol' Pattern....I just had to flip through the models this morning to see the evolution of atmospheric blocking a few more times as it resembles LRC Cycle #1 so vividly.  @Clinton  Remember how many times we saw this blocking up PV in Ontario or south of Hudson Bay?  I bet some parts of the Upper MW/GL's/Northwoods get a real early taste of Autumn next week.

1.gif

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

The official H/L yesterday at Grand Rapids was 89/62. At GRR they reported 0.06” of rain fall. Here in MBY I recorded no rain fall. There was 86% of sunshine yesterday. For today the average H/L is 83/62 the record high of 101 was set in 2012 the record low of 44 was set in 1972 and the record rain fall amount of 3.56” fell in 1994. The coldest maximum of 65 was set in 1956 and the warmest minimum of 82 was set in 1902. Last year the H/L was 87/70. So far this year there have not been any lows of 70 or better.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

A decaying MCS moved through here this morning with just a few showers for Tulsa, but there is already another one moving in later this morning! 

  • Like 2

Winter 23-24: Total Snow (3.2")    Total Ice (0.2")     Coldest Low: 1F     Coldest High: 5F

Snow Events: 0.1" Jan 5th, 0.2" Jan 9th, 1.6" Jan 14, 0.2" (ice) Jan 22, 1.3" Feb 12

Link to comment
Share on other sites

We will be off to Detroit later today for our annual trip for a Tiger game, yes we go in years they are good, and bad. They have been on a long losing streak on days we have gone, and I can not remember the last time they won when we went. Heck even in the years they were good we  would pick a game that they would lose. Oh well the trip is nice. I work for the West Michigan Whitecaps so we like to see some of the players that have played here play. The weather looks very warm today and there is a slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm.

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

51 minutes ago, Clinton said:

Only a trace, it was sickening to watch it just collapse as it entered my county.

Feels like this story has been playing out so many times this summer… have to blame the current drought for repeatedly helping kill decent rain chances for most of us that are in the severe to extreme drought areas.

Thankfully we missed on the big storms last night here, even though some stratiform rain developed and made things pretty wet all evening with some cool cloud to cloud lightning bolts mixed in. Also, our neighborhood block party fireworks show still managed to happen. Honestly I hate missing out on good rains that we desperately need, however for just one night I was cheering for a swing and miss.

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 hours ago, Clinton said:

Only a trace, it was sickening to watch it just collapse as it entered my county.

That is really unbelievable. I think my brother in Shawnee had decent storms go through last evening. I had a whopping 0.05”. Major bust by NWS Hastings, as most of my area was forecasted to get 1-2”. From my county to the northeast, north, and northwest, all got virtually nothing. 

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

On 7/4/2023 at 12:30 PM, OKwx2k4 said:

It doesn't get a whole lot better than this for most of the eastern US. I doubt everyone will win, because it just never happens that way, but just, wow. Knowing where our pattern has evolved from in 45-60 days to now is remarkable.

 

eps_apcpn_us_60.png

Andie looks to be the last holdout. She'll have one more good heat cycle to deal with before more lasting relief comes, then Autumn. I believe she still gets a break at the peak of TX summer, which will come as a blessing to her, while California has problems starting to develop again as ridging continues to try and set up over the lower west coast. 

1965-66, the late 70s summer's and 2009 are still top-quality guidance going forward. 

97*. 
Dew 69
Humidity 41%


Pretty miserable out there.  But hopefully not a long stretch ahead if OKwx2k4 is right.  
Everything’s thirsty despite watering.   Pressure is 29.9 which usually gives me a headache. No exception this time either.  
Six days of 100* days. 
Heat Dome returning. 

  • Sun 1

Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

“If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.”  Gen. Sheridan 1866

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Hibbing,MN as of 3am local time this 6th of July-- has tied it's min record temp for the date of 37F.  Wouldn't be surprising to see some low spots like around Embarrass / Tower area have some patchy frost.

KHIB 060753Z AUTO 31004KT 6SM BR CLR 03/03 A3009 RMK AO2 SLP196 T00280028

2.8C = 37F

 

Nice to see the WIND CHILL of 33F!!!!

image.thumb.png.2c39b6731653b0a33125f10ccf4efbd4.png

 

image.png.0b4a1d7022521350116ebce24566e5c6.png

  • Shivering 2

The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 hours ago, Grizzcoat said:

Hibbing,MN as of 3am local time this 6th of July-- has tied it's min record temp for the date of 37F.  Wouldn't be surprising to see some low spots like around Embarrass / Tower area have some patchy frost.

KHIB 060753Z AUTO 31004KT 6SM BR CLR 03/03 A3009 RMK AO2 SLP196 T00280028

2.8C = 37F

 

Nice to see the WIND CHILL of 33F!!!!

image.thumb.png.2c39b6731653b0a33125f10ccf4efbd4.png

 

image.png.0b4a1d7022521350116ebce24566e5c6.png

I was just looking at local wx reporting stations up there in MN and thinking to myself "woah, it's chilly!"....I guess we are on the same wave length this morning!  I bet some spots dip even lower later next week.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

The official H/L at Grand Rapids yesterday was 91/67 up to midnight 0.35” of rain fell. Here in MBY I recorded 0.72” of rain fall. For today the average H/L is 83/62 the record high of 104 was set in 2012 (I had 108 here in MBY that day) the record low of 41 was set in 1983. Last year the H/L was 78/64 and there was 0.22” of rain fall.

Well, our losing streak for Tiger games is still intact. They got beat real bad last night. It was a warm night at the ballpark with the temperature in Detroit of 92. On the trip over the temperature started out a 87 here in GR and it was 90 on the west side of Lansing and of course it was 92 in Detroit. Boy there is a lot of construction going on in Detroit and I 696 was really backed up. The ramp to M10 was closed so had to go all the way to Woodward. On the way back it was 88 in Detroit and it dropped down to the upper 70’s east of Lansing and was up to 82 at Lansing. There was a lot of lightning in Lansing but did not run into the rain until almost Grand Rapids.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

We are looking at a nice little stretch of below normal temps for at least the next few days with highs mostly in the 70s, perhaps a couple low 80s later this weekend. It's felt really refreshing already with Sioux Falls bottoming out a fairly chilly 48 degrees this morning.

Nice change from the much warmer than normal temps we've been experiencing ad nauseam this season.

  • Like 4
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Scattered thunderstorms here this morning, maybe a quarter inch on average so far for the area with some more rain coming upstream. Models regularly overdoing the storm totals with these MCSs but I guess its fine as long as its coolish. Plenty of rain chances over the next week! 

  • Like 5

Winter 23-24: Total Snow (3.2")    Total Ice (0.2")     Coldest Low: 1F     Coldest High: 5F

Snow Events: 0.1" Jan 5th, 0.2" Jan 9th, 1.6" Jan 14, 0.2" (ice) Jan 22, 1.3" Feb 12

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Yesterday many spots across Chester County saw their 2nd 90+ day of the year...some higher spots like here in East Nantmeal failed yet again to touch 90 but it was our 2nd warmest day of the year near 88 degrees. Another warm one today with similar temps to yesterday. Shower chances will be on the increase by later tomorrow through Monday morning. Some models have 2" to 3" of rain over parts of the area by Monday PM.
Records for today: High 100 (1900) / Low 48 (1980) / Rain 2.36" (1958)
image.png.0a8106ab3b1a7d963c915a3115f36552.png

All historical weather data analytics posted by me is specifically for the climate of Chester County PA.  We continually analyze the actual raw non-adjusted NWS certified Coop observed climate data for Chester County.  There have been no post observation adjustments to any of the detailed analytics. All data is sourced from trained NWS observers and spotters. The life blood of science is to challenge what is thought to be known. The concept that climate change etc. is somehow “settled science” describes a religion - a belief system that does not welcome challenges. We should all continue to challenge science!    Snow Totals 2023/24 = 24.5" -  11/28 (0.3") / 12/7 (0.8") / 12/11 (0.8") / 1/6 (2.0") / 1/16 (2.8") / 1/19 (4.5") / 2/13 (10.5") / 2/17 (2.8")

Average Chester County PA Snow at elevations over 660 FT ASL (1983-Present) = 35.9" Snow totals by season: 2022/23 (2.7") /2021/22 (20.5")  2020/21 snow  (52.2") /  2019/20 snow (5.8" )/ 2018/19 snow (35.1" )/ 2017/18 snow (58.5") / 2016/17 snow (24.0")/ 2015/16 snow (40.8")/ 2014/15 snow = (55.3") /2013/14 snow (80.0").

Check out the historical Western Chester County PA website at https://www.chescowx.com.  Follow me on twitter at https://twitter.com/ChescoWx and join us on the #1 social media source for all things Chester County weather on the Chester County Weather Page at https://www.facebook.com/groups/chescowx

National Weather Service  SKYWARN® Trained Spotter CHPA-174

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Neighborhood cat resting on our front porch from the heat, looks tired. ;)

Yesterday it was 92 for a high, just hit 91 here before a vicinity rumbler came into the area.

IMG_5600.JPG

  • Like 5

Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 26
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, 5/7
5/8, 5/15, 5/21, 5/22, 5/26, 5/27, 

Severe storms: 2

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 hours ago, Grizzcoat said:

35F at Hibbing,MN this morning. New record--

image.png.213e11500d80ab3becce5900db5efed0.png

Jealous... we can't get lower than 68 or 67 for a low these days, and its only for 10 or 20 minutes. 

Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 26
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, 5/7
5/8, 5/15, 5/21, 5/22, 5/26, 5/27, 

Severe storms: 2

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

Link to comment
Share on other sites

This morning's op Euro is a big improvement, lifting the storm train farther north.  I hope it's not just a one-run wonder.

image.thumb.png.c1e480b66cefc034306f523e24bd544c.png

  • Like 5

season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

Link to comment
Share on other sites

6 hours ago, james1976 said:

Down to 59 already here at the Iowa home. I had a nice little campfire this evening. Fall vibes for sure! But I had a long winter up at the MN home so I'm in summer mode for a bit yet. Looking forward to some thunderstorms! 

Enjoy the warm summer days as much as you can.  It's times like these where I love living in the MW as there is balance in the weather.  It must feel rather nippy this morning down in the upper 40's in parts of N IA.  Heck, it's only 61F and I got a hoodie on this morning.  My blood was thinned out while in AZ!

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Gosh, it's really so wonderful to see Nature flip the script across the Eastern Ag belt as it has turned wetter for a lot of the MW farmers in IL/IN and parts of MO.  We still would like to fill in the holes for those who have missed out.  The pattern is ripe over the next week or so from IA/N IL and points South to keep getting rounds of moisture.

0z Euro...

qpf_acc-imp.us_mw.png

 

 

0z GEFS...I'm rooting for you @Clinton

1.gif

  • Like 4
Link to comment
Share on other sites

43 minutes ago, Tom said:

@Iceresistance @OKCWX...get your cup of coffee and enjoy the morning MCS looking out West....as the sun rises and hits the tall anvils and towering cumulonimbus clouds it must look rather beautiful...

image.png

 

Perfectly timed, recently woke up.

  • Like 3

Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible!

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Unfortunately, your content contains terms that we do not allow. Please edit your content to remove the highlighted words below.
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...

×
×
  • Create New...