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July 2023 Observations and Discussion


Tom

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3 minutes ago, Clinton said:

With the recent moisture comes the return of the arm pit weather my region is known for in July.

Tab2FileL.png?d48dfc2b14924a8fd1cb40b2d7dad7ef

Thankfully, we are nowhere near that kinda humidity and I'm very thankful for this.  The extended looks like an amazing 2nd half of met summer.  This surely may end up being one of my Top 3 Summers of the last 10+ years.  The activity, the volatility and not to many 90's with high DP's has been welcomed.  

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1 hour ago, Clinton said:

With the recent moisture comes the return of the arm pit weather my region is known for in July.

Tab2FileL.png?d48dfc2b14924a8fd1cb40b2d7dad7ef

Yeah. It's just going to be a tough, swampy ride throughout the south-central region and up your way through the next few. I'm looking at it as having our "dog days" early. 

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More of what we’ve had.  
86* for a start on our way to 104.  
Rain to the bW currently will dry up before it can get here.  

Muggy is the word of the day. 
Humidity 70

Dewpoint 74  

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

“If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.”  Gen. Sheridan 1866

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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Today in Chester County weather history back in 1988 we hit the 100 degree mark for the first time since 1966. Since 1988 we have hit the 100 degree mark only 1 time - that was on August 2, 2002. We have reached the century mark a total of 41 times since 1894. In the 40 years since observations began at elevations above 640 feet (1983) we have experienced only 2 such days. The decade with the most 100 degree days was the 1st decade of the 1900's with 13 days over 100 degrees! There were no 100 degree days recorded in the 1920's / 1970's / 1990's/ 2010's or so far in the 2020's. Not only will we not see a 100 degree day this month...I don't see any chances for a 90 degree day across most of the county during the rest of July. This will continue our streak of no 90+ days since June 30, 2021. Rain chances ramp up by tomorrow AM with some models showing 1.5" to 2" of rain.
Records for today: High 100 (1998) Low 50 (1895) / Rain 1.76" (1926)
image.png.0ef44cdbc2b37a7d32be455f276699f2.png

All historical weather data analytics posted by me is specifically for the climate of Chester County PA.  We continually analyze the actual raw non-adjusted NWS certified Coop observed climate data for Chester County.  There have been no post observation adjustments to any of the detailed analytics. All data is sourced from trained NWS observers and spotters. The life blood of science is to challenge what is thought to be known. The concept that climate change etc. is somehow “settled science” describes a religion - a belief system that does not welcome challenges. We should all continue to challenge science!    Snow Totals 2023/24 = 24.5" -  11/28 (0.3") / 12/7 (0.8") / 12/11 (0.8") / 1/6 (2.0") / 1/16 (2.8") / 1/19 (4.5") / 2/13 (10.5") / 2/17 (2.8")

Average Chester County PA Snow at elevations over 660 FT ASL (1983-Present) = 35.9" Snow totals by season: 2022/23 (2.7") /2021/22 (20.5")  2020/21 snow  (52.2") /  2019/20 snow (5.8" )/ 2018/19 snow (35.1" )/ 2017/18 snow (58.5") / 2016/17 snow (24.0")/ 2015/16 snow (40.8")/ 2014/15 snow = (55.3") /2013/14 snow (80.0").

Check out the historical Western Chester County PA website at https://www.chescowx.com.  Follow me on twitter at https://twitter.com/ChescoWx and join us on the #1 social media source for all things Chester County weather on the Chester County Weather Page at https://www.facebook.com/groups/chescowx

National Weather Service  SKYWARN® Trained Spotter CHPA-174

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15 hours ago, Tom said:

Day 3 with a TOR warned cell passing through the SW burbs… @FV-Mike  Was it by you?  I heard it touchdowned by West Chicago.  I’m looking to my SW and a vivid lightning show is being put up by Nature.  Wind is eerily calm.  No sounds of animals or crickets or anything!

it was a crazy storm that passed through. Did not hear any sirens but had a lot of lightening. DPA reported 1.31 inches of rain

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A pretty good MCS rolled through NE OK, KS, SW MO, and NW AR last night. Tulsa caught the edge of it, but still managed to have some 50-60 mph winds, lots of lightning, and about 1" of rainfall. It was a pretty solid storm and perhaps best of all it cleared all that humid junk out for a bit. Dew points are still in the 70s today but we might stay below 90F for the high. 

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Winter 23-24: Total Snow (3.2")    Total Ice (0.2")     Coldest Low: 1F     Coldest High: 5F

Snow Events: 0.1" Jan 5th, 0.2" Jan 9th, 1.6" Jan 14, 0.2" (ice) Jan 22, 1.3" Feb 12

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Looks like a warming trend into another round of pure misery the next few days, but I'd expect at least one shot of storms in about 5-6 days as another trough glances by to the northeast. 

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Winter 23-24: Total Snow (3.2")    Total Ice (0.2")     Coldest Low: 1F     Coldest High: 5F

Snow Events: 0.1" Jan 5th, 0.2" Jan 9th, 1.6" Jan 14, 0.2" (ice) Jan 22, 1.3" Feb 12

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They blew our forecast for 102 today.  
We saw 96/97 for a high. 
40% chance of thunderstorms and a high of 94 Sunday.
We’ll see. But that would be awesome.  
Monday the fat is back in the fire with a possible high of 104!!

Its been an awesome break!😊

 

Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

“If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.”  Gen. Sheridan 1866

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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The official H/L yesterday at Grand Rapids was 81/66 there was 0.58” of rain fall the day had 42% of possible sunshine. When the sun was out there was a lot of smoke in the sky once again giving the sky a white look. There were 9 CDD’s the peak wind was 27 MPH out of the W. For today the average H/L is 83/63 the record high of 97 was set in 1894 and 2012 the record low of 42 was set in 1945. The coldest maximum for today is 71 set in 2014 the warmest minimum is 76 set in 1931.

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This is wild....the suns rays shining into my house have a glowing red/orange tint to it....I took a vid but it doesn't do it justice.  The smoke is very thick right now.  This has been a very memorable summer to experience around these parts for various reasons.  

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Ohhhh Baby !!!!

Is that Rain?!  83*
Light rain, lightning.

D5B73B56-BB89-48F6-BC94-A851C294856E.jpeg

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

“If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.”  Gen. Sheridan 1866

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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In East Nantmeal we have picked up 1.06" of rain since yesterday with 0.61" falling so far today. It looks like some areas in eastern parts of Chester County have already picked up nearly 3" of rain. More storms are possible through early PM before lesser chances later today. Tomorrow looks to be pretty hot with temps reaching the upper 80's before somewhat cooler for the rest of the week.
Records for today: High Temp 100 (1988) Low 46 (1929) / Rain 2.02" (1912)
image.png.19ffe8bd84f8474b383919eb286312b0.png
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All historical weather data analytics posted by me is specifically for the climate of Chester County PA.  We continually analyze the actual raw non-adjusted NWS certified Coop observed climate data for Chester County.  There have been no post observation adjustments to any of the detailed analytics. All data is sourced from trained NWS observers and spotters. The life blood of science is to challenge what is thought to be known. The concept that climate change etc. is somehow “settled science” describes a religion - a belief system that does not welcome challenges. We should all continue to challenge science!    Snow Totals 2023/24 = 24.5" -  11/28 (0.3") / 12/7 (0.8") / 12/11 (0.8") / 1/6 (2.0") / 1/16 (2.8") / 1/19 (4.5") / 2/13 (10.5") / 2/17 (2.8")

Average Chester County PA Snow at elevations over 660 FT ASL (1983-Present) = 35.9" Snow totals by season: 2022/23 (2.7") /2021/22 (20.5")  2020/21 snow  (52.2") /  2019/20 snow (5.8" )/ 2018/19 snow (35.1" )/ 2017/18 snow (58.5") / 2016/17 snow (24.0")/ 2015/16 snow (40.8")/ 2014/15 snow = (55.3") /2013/14 snow (80.0").

Check out the historical Western Chester County PA website at https://www.chescowx.com.  Follow me on twitter at https://twitter.com/ChescoWx and join us on the #1 social media source for all things Chester County weather on the Chester County Weather Page at https://www.facebook.com/groups/chescowx

National Weather Service  SKYWARN® Trained Spotter CHPA-174

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1 hour ago, Tom said:

This is wild....the suns rays shining into my house have a glowing red/orange tint to it....I took a vid but it doesn't do it justice.  The smoke is very thick right now.  This has been a very memorable summer to experience around these parts for various reasons.  

Summer? It's summer? Another week of 72-76 and showers. Not complaining, but there is no summer this year as of now😀

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Overcast at 2pm.  Unheard of lately. 
Rain just south of me and Northeast. 
We’re enjoying it while we have it.  

85*     Wow.

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

“If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.”  Gen. Sheridan 1866

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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22 hours ago, Black Hole said:

A pretty good MCS rolled through NE OK, KS, SW MO, and NW AR last night. Tulsa caught the edge of it, but still managed to have some 50-60 mph winds, lots of lightning, and about 1" of rainfall. It was a pretty solid storm and perhaps best of all it cleared all that humid junk out for a bit. Dew points are still in the 70s today but we might stay below 90F for the high. 

Well, nothing much here, I got literally nothing.

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Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible!

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted

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CAMs hinting at MCS potential tomorrow for here with something dropping out of the north. We should still have low 70s dew points, but not nearly the instability we had a few days ago. So perhaps another modest storm could be in the works.

I wouldn't be surprised to see an excessive heat warning for Tues-Wed, but another trough drops in for next weekend with a good rain chance. 

Longer range models look bleak with upper level ridging taking over after that...so hopefully models can trend towards sneaking another trough in. 

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Winter 23-24: Total Snow (3.2")    Total Ice (0.2")     Coldest Low: 1F     Coldest High: 5F

Snow Events: 0.1" Jan 5th, 0.2" Jan 9th, 1.6" Jan 14, 0.2" (ice) Jan 22, 1.3" Feb 12

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1 hour ago, Iceresistance said:

Well, nothing much here, I got literally nothing.

Although you probably did much better than me with the previous few storms. I've only had 2.5" this month. Most of OK is higher than that. 

Winter 23-24: Total Snow (3.2")    Total Ice (0.2")     Coldest Low: 1F     Coldest High: 5F

Snow Events: 0.1" Jan 5th, 0.2" Jan 9th, 1.6" Jan 14, 0.2" (ice) Jan 22, 1.3" Feb 12

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18 minutes ago, Black Hole said:

Although you probably did much better than me with the previous few storms. I've only had 2.5" this month. Most of OK is higher than that. 

One of the wettest Julys ever in Central Oklahoma, I hope it comes into good use into preventing 100s this coming week.

Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible!

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted

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3 hours ago, Iceresistance said:

One of the wettest Julys ever in Central Oklahoma, I hope it comes into good use into preventing 100s this coming week.

Those back to back MCSs with 2-5" of rain were crazy! But I think it just may keep the 100s away, at the expense of some more 96/80 type days lol 

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Winter 23-24: Total Snow (3.2")    Total Ice (0.2")     Coldest Low: 1F     Coldest High: 5F

Snow Events: 0.1" Jan 5th, 0.2" Jan 9th, 1.6" Jan 14, 0.2" (ice) Jan 22, 1.3" Feb 12

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2 minutes ago, Black Hole said:

Those back to back MCSs with 2-5" of rain were crazy! But I think it just may keep the 100s away, at the expense of some more 96/80 type days lol 

Recently had a DP of 83 with CAPE over 6,700

 

You can only imagine this if it was in May instead... Yikes.

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Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible!

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted

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11 minutes ago, Iceresistance said:

Recently had a DP of 83 with CAPE over 6,700

 

You can only imagine this if it was in May instead... Yikes.

I think at my worst I was 96/82F at my house. Absolutely brutal. Like breathing out of a dogs mouth type brutal. But with all this moisture I don't see any way around it, we have some more hell to pay for the relatively nice weather we've seen this summer. 

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Winter 23-24: Total Snow (3.2")    Total Ice (0.2")     Coldest Low: 1F     Coldest High: 5F

Snow Events: 0.1" Jan 5th, 0.2" Jan 9th, 1.6" Jan 14, 0.2" (ice) Jan 22, 1.3" Feb 12

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After a cloudy cooler day we’re back in the furnace.  My county is among the wildfire risk counties. If a wildfire approaches the neighboring golf course throws all the sprinklers and is a big help.  
Pastures are scary dry.  
Sunny, breezy, and very hot with an Air Quality Alert. Excessive Heat Warning. High: 104. Heat Index up to 110. Wind: SW 10-15 mph.

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

“If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.”  Gen. Sheridan 1866

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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17 hours ago, Iceresistance said:

Well, nothing much here, I got literally nothing.

I hear ya!  
Some thunder and sprinkles and clouds evaporated.  

Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

“If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.”  Gen. Sheridan 1866

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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We received a total of 1.23" of rain over the weekend in East Nantmeal. A bit hazy again today thanks to our friends to the north. Temperatures will top out in the upper 80's for most of the county but humidity levels will be lower than yesterday. Rain chances increase again by later tomorrow and again on Thursday and Friday.
Records for today: High 100.5 (1900) / Low 46 (1976) / Rain 1.81" (2018)
image.png.ac9d871c91d2663d039ef1a831501e14.png
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All historical weather data analytics posted by me is specifically for the climate of Chester County PA.  We continually analyze the actual raw non-adjusted NWS certified Coop observed climate data for Chester County.  There have been no post observation adjustments to any of the detailed analytics. All data is sourced from trained NWS observers and spotters. The life blood of science is to challenge what is thought to be known. The concept that climate change etc. is somehow “settled science” describes a religion - a belief system that does not welcome challenges. We should all continue to challenge science!    Snow Totals 2023/24 = 24.5" -  11/28 (0.3") / 12/7 (0.8") / 12/11 (0.8") / 1/6 (2.0") / 1/16 (2.8") / 1/19 (4.5") / 2/13 (10.5") / 2/17 (2.8")

Average Chester County PA Snow at elevations over 660 FT ASL (1983-Present) = 35.9" Snow totals by season: 2022/23 (2.7") /2021/22 (20.5")  2020/21 snow  (52.2") /  2019/20 snow (5.8" )/ 2018/19 snow (35.1" )/ 2017/18 snow (58.5") / 2016/17 snow (24.0")/ 2015/16 snow (40.8")/ 2014/15 snow = (55.3") /2013/14 snow (80.0").

Check out the historical Western Chester County PA website at https://www.chescowx.com.  Follow me on twitter at https://twitter.com/ChescoWx and join us on the #1 social media source for all things Chester County weather on the Chester County Weather Page at https://www.facebook.com/groups/chescowx

National Weather Service  SKYWARN® Trained Spotter CHPA-174

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1 hour ago, chescowxman said:
We received a total of 1.23" of rain over the weekend in East Nantmeal. A bit hazy again today thanks to our friends to the north. Temperatures will top out in the upper 80's for most of the county but humidity levels will be lower than yesterday. Rain chances increase again by later tomorrow and again on Thursday and Friday.
Records for today: High 100.5 (1900) / Low 46 (1976) / Rain 1.81" (2018)
image.png.ac9d871c91d2663d039ef1a831501e14.png

I envy your July weather. 

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What a delightful day on this beautiful Monday.  Sitting at 75F/56F...blue skies and no smoke in the air.  We have only 1 day this week with potential rain but that's about it.  We def earned a drier week!  Prime time mid July weather with low DP's and no Heat.  I'll take it.

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20 hours ago, Hawkeye said:

Bah  🤢

image.thumb.png.5f518db797c5893f1a019ad38d36babb.png

 

It's really hard to entirely get out of a regional drought at this time of year.  Precip averages are pretty high and evap rates are high.  Need a lot of luck with staying in a wet pattern long enough and spreading it around long enough, and it's just hard to do.

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Wow! Totally  unexpected  and unpredicted  series of training  cells this am!  Only  about half inch so far. But has hailed on 2 different  occasions.  Yesterday  i drove to Iowa falls and gotta say my specific  spot as green as anyone! Crops and lawns  right at my spot incredible! Love those sagging  fronts draped  near mo ia border ! Where as a passin front moving east usually  nada!

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Screenshot_20230717_103444_The Weather Channel.jpg

Screenshot_20230717_103457_RadarScope.jpg

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