August 2023 Weather in the PNW

[Deweydog]

@Front Ranger

[TT-SEA]

35 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Thankfully, no such trend for the cold season. 

2000-present, I mean.

Jim?   Is that you?

[SilverFallsAndrew]

32 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Thankfully, no such trend for the cold season. 

2000-present, I mean.

The January thing still puzzles me. 

This past January would have been pretty mild by historical standards, but was pretty much right at normal compared to our 30 year averages. 

 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said:

The January thing still puzzles me. 

This past January would have been pretty mild by historical standards, but was pretty much right at normal compared to our 30 year averages. 

 

The January Jinx has to end some time.

Then again, I thought my March Jinx was going to end this year.

[Omegaraptor]

42 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Thankfully, no such trend for the cold season. 

2000-present, I mean.

 

Here's the trendline for Feb-March temps at PDX for 1990-2023. Actually a pretty pronounced cooling trend for this time of year, and this is PDX we're talking about. The station of the gods has cooled 1.5F in this timeframe on the moving average - Eugene has cooled nearly 2F!

 

Also a slight drying trend although I don't know if it's enough to be significant. 

[TT-SEA]

2 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said:

 

Here's the trendline for Feb-March temps at PDX for 1990-2023. Actually a pretty pronounced cooling trend for this time of year, and this is PDX we're talking about. The station of the gods has cooled 1.5F in this timeframe on the moving average - Eugene has cooled nearly 2F!

 

Also a slight drying trend although I don't know if it's enough to be significant. 

This regime has definitely featured colder late winter and early spring weather in addition to consistently warm summers.

[Phishy Wx]

oof

 

 

[TT-SEA]

1 minute ago, Phishy Wx said:

oof

 

 

Tonga?   

[Phishy Wx]

9 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Tonga?   

+ El Nino + ???

[Deweydog]

10 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Tonga?   

Asphalt

[Phishy Wx]

3 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Asphalt

Andean asphalt is brutal

[MossMan]

3 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Asphalt

[AmunRAEL]

Highs today August 1st

KOLM 85°

TNIS ( Nisqually) 88°

KPLU (Pierce Thun Field) 84°

North South Hill 83°

Spanaway 86

KTCM (McChord) 83°

Fort Steilacoom Park 84°

Central Lakewood 83°

Eastside Tacoma Neighborhood 83°

Downtown-Hilltop Tacoma 79°

KTIW (Tacoma-Gig Harbor Airport) 82°

Ruston Way 77°

KSEA (SeaTac) 83°

[Front Ranger]

2 hours ago, Omegaraptor said:

 

Here's the trendline for Feb-March temps at PDX for 1990-2023. Actually a pretty pronounced cooling trend for this time of year, and this is PDX we're talking about. The station of the gods has cooled 1.5F in this timeframe on the moving average - Eugene has cooled nearly 2F!

 

Also a slight drying trend although I don't know if it's enough to be significant. 

I'd guess Nov-Dec is about flat.

Just that dam* January...

[Front Ranger]

2 hours ago, Phishy Wx said:

oof

 

 

This seems legit. 

Unlike the "brutal and unbearable" US summer that some media outlets keep doom-hyping.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

The amount of random fires this summer seems off the charts though that’s just anecdotal… 3 alarm BLAZE goin on down in Silverton right now. 

Edited August 2, 2023 by SilverFallsAndrew

[TT-SEA]

12 hours ago, Port Angeles Foothiller said:

The winter gray/dark is dreadful, especially without snow. Even when it isn't cloudy the sun is only "diet sun" due to its angle. 

You posted this in the July thread so I quoted it over here.  I wouldn't call it dreadful.   I don't really mind much in the winter since the days are so short.   It's not like they have full sun across the rest of the northern US.   It's all "diet sun".   And we get some sun.   Long inversions are the most depressing thing to me... unless my area is above the fog.  I have grown to appreciate the soft green and mild temps of winter as opposed to the harsh brown and bitter cold that most of the country experiences.   And we travel to break it up.  But I quickly get annoyed when April and May are gloomy and cold of course.  All about correlation to daylight for me.   

[Phishy Wx]

warm but not quite top 10

 

 

[Anti Marine Layer]

2 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

warm but not quite top 10

 

 

Chilly 26th 

[Saruman]

WTF is happening in SA? Its winter down there! 

https://twitter.com/extremetemps/status/1686485331539820545?s=20

 

 

[Phishy Wx]

21 minutes ago, Thunder98 said:

WTF is happening in SA? Its winter down there! 

https://twitter.com/extremetemps/status/1686485331539820545?s=20

 

 

page up, Dewey said its likely asphalt 

[Cascadia_Wx]

87/55 day here to start August. Looks like PDX barely missed 90.

[Deweydog]

That suppressed 4CH really suppressing  its suppression on the long range GFS.

[Phishy Wx]

WOW

 

 

[Deweydog]

3 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

WOW

 

 

We were just there last October!

[the_convergence_zone]

Sea-Tac snapped a streak of 8 days at or below 80 today. I hit 79.5 again which technically keeps my sub-80 streak alive. 

[ShawniganLake]

 Looks hot

 

 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

1 hour ago, ShawniganLake said:

 Looks hot

 

 

Ugh...lots of 90F burgers and maybe a c-note with that signal here. Overnight GFS shows it getting to the mid 90s but that's clown range.

[TT-SEA]

@Phil so troughing is the main theme and any ridging is short-lived?    Hate to see to what a warm pattern looks like. 

[AmunRAEL]

Blue Angles are on the way to Seattle I did store pointing to their position 

[the_convergence_zone]

1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

@Phil so troughing is the main theme and any ridging is short-lived?    Hate to see to what a warm pattern looks like. 

Here comes the heat wave! And probably the wildfire smoke as well. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

The fire just outside of Silverton last night was terrible. Started in a field with some kind of farm equipment malfunction and spread to neighboring businesses, I guess one of our neighbors had a shop down there that burned. Not sure what all the businesses were, but one had a large pile of lumber which burned well into the night. It’s so dry out there with no end in sight. 
 

Folks with shallower wells are starting to see them go dry, not unprecedented, but still a major headache for those folks, especially with so much summer left to go. Down here everyone dreads this time of year, we just put our head down and push on taking things one day at a time and just hope we make it through. 
 

Also found an absolutely ridiculous Yellowjacket nest on the front porch inside my daughters snow boots… There were probably close to 100 in there plus pupa.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Going to be racking up 90s like it’s nobodies business… Forecast at 90+ at SLE for the next 6 days. 

[Anti Marine Layer]

1 hour ago, ChristheElohim said:

Blue Angles are on the way to Seattle I did store pointing to their position 

Are they acute or obtuse?

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Make no mistake. Springfield will be destroyed by fire at some point, if not this year, then in the years to come. The Willamette Valley will inevitably have a year where they lose much of their grass crop to fires and it will devastate the economy here.

Its not a matter of if, it's a matter of when...

[Phishy Wx]

2 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

@Phil so troughing is the main theme and any ridging is short-lived?    Hate to see to what a warm pattern looks like. 

results of -AO?

might be a persistent feature this fall/winter too

 

[TT-SEA]

1 minute ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Make no mistake. Springfield will be destroyed by fire at some point, if not this year, then in the years to come. The Willamette Valley will inevitably have a year where they lose much of their grass crop to fires and it will devastate the economy here.

Its not a matter of if, it's a matter of when...

There are many cities that are in fire prone areas and its pretty rare for an entire city to be destroyed.   Almost unprecedented in modern times.    Small towns maybe... but not larger cities.    Its not healthy to dwell on something that is exceedingly unlikely to ever happen.    

[SilverFallsAndrew]

4 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

There are many cities that are in fire prone areas and its pretty rare for an entire city to be destroyed.   Almost unprecedented in modern times.    Small towns maybe... but not larger cities.    Its not healthy to dwell on something that is exceedingly unlikely to ever happen.    

It wasn’t the entire city, but 3,000 homes burned in Santa Rosa in 2017. 
 

And then Paradise… 

[LowerGarfield]

16 hours ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

2-25-19 & that 72 hour stretch was the 2nd snowiest in the books I believe. Only Wine Dine ‘69 Big Snow was bigger which was an Arctic blizzard that dropped 3 feet like a poor-man’s Buffalo, NY.
 

It was a great event. When you get that much snow, and Redding, and Seattle, and Lewiston, ID (7 inches for them in one event is nuts) that's probably as close to regionwide as you'll ever get.

Last season, everyone had some snow and it was an all-time one for Portland. My location had a lot of little itty days of snow. Nothing better than about 2 and a quarter inches and that only happened 1-2 times. We only shoveled maybe once all season and only did ice melt something like 2-3 times as well.

[the_convergence_zone]

12 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

results of -AO?

might be a persistent feature this fall/winter too

 

In addition to +PNA