December 2023 Weather in the PNW

[MossMan]

24 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said:

18z GEFS Day 8-16 GIFs: 500mb Height Anomaly, Snowfall totals

I’m in the grey! 

[iFred]

1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

Just a couple days away from a few people starting to complain about the evil sun and blinding brightness.  

A Christmas present for myself might be placing you on Mod Preview until our protons decay.

[RentonHill]

Todays Extended GEFS going in on sw much more than last few runs 

 

[TT-SEA]

32 minutes ago, iFred said:

A Christmas present for myself might be placing you on Mod Preview until our protons decay.

I am out of control.  

[TT-SEA]

1 hour ago, MossMan said:

The last powerless Christmas (or Eve can’t remember now) for me was 2005

We had an ice storm related power outage last year on Christmas Eve.    That week leading up to Christmas was pretty wild.    Windstorm, snowstorm, and then ice storm.

This was Christmas Eve morning... could not walk on the driveway.  The most slippery surface possible.  Never seen anything like it.  

[Gradient Keeper]

Just a heads up. I don't think I'll be home until later tonight, so won't be here to run the 00z GFS/ECMWF. Alrighty then

00z GFS in 58 minutes
00z ECMWF in 3 hours 8 minutes

[Snownerd3000]

1 hour ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

We had no power on Christmas 2021... Of course it was snow that knocked it out, so that was OKAY!

Only instance that it's OK. White Christmas trumps loss of Christmas lights. 

[Snownerd3000]

1 hour ago, MossMan said:

The last powerless Christmas (or Eve can’t remember now) for me was 2005

We had a foot of snow fall on Christmas eve /day in 08. Only time I've ever woken up with no power on Christmas. Was worth it and my parents had a generator so we still got to enjoy Christmas lights buried under the fresh snow. 

[Snownerd3000]

19 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

I am out of control.  

[TT-SEA]

Light east wind has surfaced here now.    Clear skies and temp holding at 41.

[DeepFriedEgg]

Very interesting weather discussion: 

 

[MossMan]

27 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

We had an ice storm related power outage last year on Christmas Eve.    That week leading up to Christmas was pretty wild.    Windstorm, snowstorm, and then ice storm.

This was Christmas Eve morning... could not walk on the driveway.  The most slippery surface possible.  Never seen anything like it.  

The most ice I have ever seen up here which wasn’t much but still fun on 12/23 of last year! 

[TT-SEA]

Just now, MossMan said:

The most ice I have ever seen up here which wasn’t much but still fun on 12/23 of last year! 

IMG_0808.mov

Just checked and my pic was actually the afternoon of 12/23.   Power was out at the time if I remember correctly.

[AbbyJr]

 

 

The GFS ensemble control still shows an off the charts SSW by the end of the month. Doubt it will verify at that intensity though. That said, it's still fun to look at for entertainment purposes.

 

[MossMan]

14 minutes ago, AbbyJr said:

 

 

The GFS ensemble control still shows an off the charts SSW by the end of the month. Doubt it will verify at that intensity though. That said, it's still fun to look at for entertainment purposes.

 

Going to be an epic January! 

[Phishy Wx]

19 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Going to be an epic January! 

that would line up for an epic february 

[Cascadia_Wx]

“Only” got up to 50 today despite starting out the morning in the mid-upper 40s. Lots of morning drizzle then overcast stratus. Good news is it cleared out quickly after sunset and is down to 40 already.

[SouthHillFrosty]

If we get a epic SSW at the end of the month, February will produce again MGB. 

[Deweydog]

Well that’s…… interesting…

[TT-SEA]

13 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Well that’s…… interesting…

Finally gets CA in on the action.   And lots of east wind up here of course.

[HuskyMaestro]

2 hours ago, DeepFriedEgg said:

Very interesting weather discussion: 

 

I would have never thought I'd see this masterpiece of a clip on the weather forums but here we are. 

[HuskyMaestro]

46F currently.

Finished 1 of 2 finals for this week, ugh. Let's gooo.

[Omegaraptor]

1 hour ago, HuskyMaestro said:

46F currently.

Finished 1 of 2 finals for this week, ugh. Let's gooo.

I'm at 1/2 as well!

[Gradient Keeper]

I just got home. East wind is quite breezy. Did anyone want a 00z GFS, ECMWF re-cap? If not, that's fine with me honestly.

6z GFS in 2 hours 3 minutes

[GHweatherChris]

6 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said:

I just got home. East wind is quite breezy. Did anyone want a 00z GFS, ECMWF re-cap? If not, that's fine with me honestly.

6z GFS in 2 hours 3 minutes

No need for at least a few days

[SouthHillFrosty]

6 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said:

I just got home. East wind is quite breezy. Did anyone want a 00z GFS, ECMWF re-cap? If not, that's fine with me honestly.

6z GFS in 2 hours 3 minutes

Of course, let's have the recap pls!

[Gradient Keeper]

1 Nay, 1 Yay.... We need a tie-breaker....

[Jbolin]

13 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said:

1 Nay, 1 Yay.... We need a tie-breaker....

Nah, let's regroup next October.

[Gradient Keeper]

Hmmm, 00z GEFS and CMCE are both very Cascade friendly.... That doesn't look like a Nino pattern at all.

[Phil]

Somehow posted this in the sports thread. Torpedoed the mic drop.  

January deadline in a little over three days!

10 hours ago, Phil said:

Maybe they’ll employ me when I graduate?  

 

[Gradient Keeper]

1 minute ago, Phil said:

Somehow posted this in the sports thread. Torpedoed the mic drop.  

January deadline in a little over three days!

 

Friggin pimp stuff right there.

[Phil]

3 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said:

Friggin pimp stuff right there.

Thx! My bad on deleting, I’m a typoing mistake making train wreck tonight 

Lesson: don’t take 20mg Zaleplon then try to post on a weather forum.

[Gradient Keeper]

3 minutes ago, Phil said:

Thx! My bad on deleting, I’m a typoing mistake making train wreck tonight 

Lesson: don’t take 20mg Zaleplon then try to post on a weather forum.

Wait. I think I deleted my reply on the wrong post of yours? Lol. I don't know. Congratulations though.

[Phil]

1994 keeps popping up w/ late December dates.

That pattern was ripe for bombing a southern wave just as this upcoming period is. Result in 1994 was a subtropical-storm-nor’easter that did a fujiwara dance w/ a training cyclone, flinging it back in towards the coast.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Christmas_1994_nor'easter#:~:text=The Christmas 1994 nor'easter,across the state of Florida.

[Gradient Keeper]

This pretty much sums up model riding tonight.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

4 hours ago, Phil said:

Somehow posted this in the sports thread. Torpedoed the mic drop.  

January deadline in a little over three days!

 

Proud of you 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

4 hours ago, Phil said:

1994 keeps popping up w/ late December dates.

That pattern was ripe for bombing a southern wave just as this upcoming period is. Result in 1994 was a subtropical-storm-nor’easter that did a fujiwara dance w/ a training cyclone, flinging it back in towards the coast.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Christmas_1994_nor'easter#:~:text=The Christmas 1994 nor'easter,across the state of Florida.

We had some decent fake cold around new Years. Then torching for a bit.

[TT-SEA]

Clear and 41 here this morning... light east wind.     Look like most of the Seattle area is foggy though.  

[TT-SEA]

True color satellite image shows the entire east side of the Cascades in WA and OR is socked in with low clouds from the crest eastward.   The fog on the west side must be quite shallow because it doesn't show up to well here.     And running the loop you can see the low clouds moving west on this side of the mountains through the Chehalis Gap and the Strait.  

 

[Phil]

This morning is the first time in my life I’ve seen frost form on the trees. Almost looked like snow!

I’m sure in the PNW it’s a weekly thing, but it’s a completely new vibe for me.