Gradient Keeper Posted December 4, 2023 Report Share Posted December 4, 2023 Day 2 (4-run trend) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 4, 2023 Report Share Posted December 4, 2023 Day 3 (4-run trend) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 4, 2023 Report Share Posted December 4, 2023 Day 4 (4-run trend) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 4, 2023 Report Share Posted December 4, 2023 Day 5 (4-run trend) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 4, 2023 Report Share Posted December 4, 2023 Day 6 (4-run trend) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 4, 2023 Report Share Posted December 4, 2023 Day 7 (4-run trend) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted December 4, 2023 Report Share Posted December 4, 2023 Just now, Gradient Keeper said: Day 7 (4-run trend) Total cave!! Boooo 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 4, 2023 Report Share Posted December 4, 2023 Day 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 4, 2023 Report Share Posted December 4, 2023 Day 9'er Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted December 4, 2023 Report Share Posted December 4, 2023 the sun has a Coronal hole 1 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 4, 2023 Report Share Posted December 4, 2023 Day 10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CliffMassYelledAtMe Posted December 4, 2023 Report Share Posted December 4, 2023 1 minute ago, Phishy Wx said: the sun has a Coronal hole Don't worry, I'm sure we will have lots of cloud cover and rain and won't see anything. 2 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 4, 2023 Report Share Posted December 4, 2023 4 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said: the sun has a Coronal hole 6 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 4, 2023 Report Share Posted December 4, 2023 00z GFS re-cap. 10 Day GIFs: 500mb Height Anomaly, 850mb Temps, 1000-500mb Thickness Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 4, 2023 Report Share Posted December 4, 2023 00z GFS 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 4, 2023 Report Share Posted December 4, 2023 00z GFS is much worse if you want a SSW. But it seems to be having a hard time with this regime so, shruggie. 2 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 "Western troughing literally kills people at this time of year. And in the most gruesome of ways." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 4, 2023 Report Share Posted December 4, 2023 3 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: 00z GFS 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals I’m no longer in the Pepto. 2 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted December 4, 2023 Author Report Share Posted December 4, 2023 More fallspring for us on the GFS. 1 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 4, 2023 Report Share Posted December 4, 2023 It’s back up! And it still looks like winter there! 3 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ken in Wood Village Posted December 4, 2023 Report Share Posted December 4, 2023 Just now, TigerWoodsLibido said: More fallspring for us on the GFS. I think the GFS is picking up something and I expect it will flip again to the previous runs. I think we will see cooler air probably by mid-december. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted December 4, 2023 Report Share Posted December 4, 2023 14 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: 00z GFS 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals I'm in the white! 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GobBluth Posted December 4, 2023 Report Share Posted December 4, 2023 The persistence on the gfs to rebuild some western US ridging is impressive. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 4, 2023 Report Share Posted December 4, 2023 1 minute ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: I'm in the white! Me too! Must mean whiteout conditions! 1 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 4, 2023 Report Share Posted December 4, 2023 6 minutes ago, GobBluth said: The persistence on the gfs to rebuild some western US ridging is impressive. El Niño can do that. Though usually it’s a 2nd half of winter thing more so than early on. 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 "Western troughing literally kills people at this time of year. And in the most gruesome of ways." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted December 4, 2023 Report Share Posted December 4, 2023 Just for fans of the Columbia Basin cold pool: 4 1 2 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AbbyJr Posted December 4, 2023 Report Share Posted December 4, 2023 38 minutes ago, Phil said: 00z GFS is much worse if you want a SSW. But it seems to be having a hard time with this regime so, shruggie. Since a SSW is probably the only hope we have for some arctic air and snow in the PNW this winter, I do want one. The Euro does show some potential... but still far from a lock yet. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowWillarrive Posted December 4, 2023 Report Share Posted December 4, 2023 7 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: Just for fans of the Columbia Basin cold pool: Tri cities is the worse. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted December 4, 2023 Report Share Posted December 4, 2023 2 minutes ago, SnowWillarrive said: Tri cities is the worse. I lived there once. Let’s just say it was not for me. 1 1 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 4, 2023 Report Share Posted December 4, 2023 11 minutes ago, AbbyJr said: Since a SSW is probably the only hope we have for some arctic air and snow in the PNW this winter, I do want one. The Euro does show some potential... but still far from a lock yet. I believe these recent SSW events created this…So I’m onboard! 2 1 2 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted December 4, 2023 Report Share Posted December 4, 2023 At least it looks active in this period. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 4, 2023 Report Share Posted December 4, 2023 9 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: I lived there once. Let’s just say it was not for me. I am not going to specify who, but someone in this group feels Tri Cities should be a bucket list destination. 4 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 4, 2023 Report Share Posted December 4, 2023 9 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: I am not going to specify who, but someone in this group feels Tri Cities should be a bucket list destination. Because it can be a nice weekend getaway for golf and wineries? Every summer weekend there are limos full of wedding parties from this side of the state doing winery hopping. Its not like we are staying at a Motel 6 with bullet holes in the walls. I am sure you will make some smart a*s social comment about privilege while you jet set around the country for fun. But its not like we are the first people from the west side to ever think of going to the other side of the mountains for a weekend. I wouldn't want to live there... but there are some fun things to do over there particularly when its gloomy over here. I love that we have a totally different climate so close. 5 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 4, 2023 Report Share Posted December 4, 2023 2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Because it can be a nice weekend getaway for golf and wineries? Every summer weekend there are limos full of wedding parties from this side of the state doing winery hopping. Its not like we are staying at a Motel 6 with bullet holes in the walls. I am sure you will make some smart a*s social comment about privilege while you jet set around the country for fun. But its not like we are the first people from the west side to ever think of going to the other side of the mountains for a weekend. It’s a joke. You gotta lighten up, it is still technically the weekend after all. 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 4, 2023 Report Share Posted December 4, 2023 00z ECMWF Day 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 4, 2023 Report Share Posted December 4, 2023 Day 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North_County Posted December 4, 2023 Report Share Posted December 4, 2023 3 hours ago, Cold Snap said: Wow. This would be the 7th highest crest if this verified. Almost every road out of Duvall would close if this happened as well. Slightly off topic, but seeing this did unlock a core memory. Many years ago, I'm guessing the fall/winter of either 1998-1999 or 1999-2000, there was a farm going to auction in the flood plain near Carnation. I was a high school kid hired by the auction house (they were from Whatcom County) to go down and power wash all of the farm equipment to make it presentable for sale. Flooding was forecast to begin later that night, but the farmhouse/barn sat on the high part of the property above the flood plain, so we were never in any danger. I got about 2/3 of the way done when the auctioneer came running and said to load up my gear, we had to leave. Apparently the river rose much faster than they expected, and all the roads leading to the farm were already flooding. We were still able to drive out with water lapping at the truck's tires, but it would have been by boat if we had waited too much longer. I hadn't thought about that in years. 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 4, 2023 Report Share Posted December 4, 2023 1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: It’s a joke. You gotta lighten up, it is still technically the weekend after all. Totally lightened! Obviously you don't hate the desert and very dry areas which can be geographically beautiful. You love the eastern Oregon desert areas. So your never-ending hatred of that area must be related socio-economic issues. There is no other way to explain it. Very sad Andrew. 5 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 4, 2023 Report Share Posted December 4, 2023 Day 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 4, 2023 Report Share Posted December 4, 2023 3 hours ago, Cold Snap said: Wow. This would be the 7th highest crest if this verified. Almost every road out of Duvall would close if this happened as well. Well this is not good. The Snoqualmie Falls chart only shows low end moderate flooding but I know the flooding scenarios farther downstream are different than at the falls. 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 4, 2023 Report Share Posted December 4, 2023 Day 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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