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January 2024 Weather in the PNW (Part II)

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Posted by SeanNyberg,

my God, this forum has devolved into the worst of the worst. It's always emotional and reactionary in here, but it seems that the rational and seasoned members have pulled back to make way for the kids. I'm going to step back for the day too. It's just too much uninformed nonsense. I am excited for a lot of you guys, because it seems like this is your first time tracking a PNW winter storm. I remember my first time.
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Posted by GHweatherChris,

@iFred @TT-SEA pin this at the top...
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TT-SEA Grand Master

TT-SEA

Posted
Posted
Just now, Front Ranger said:

Hmm. Too soon to say me thinks.

Maybe... extrapolating seems to be a foolhardy endeavor!  

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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SeanNyberg
SeanNyberg

my God, this forum has devolved into the worst of the worst. It's always emotional and reactionary in here, but it seems that the rational and seasoned members have pulled back to make way for the kid

Meatyorologist
Meatyorologist

Cheers forum members!

iFred
iFred

@Meatyorologist @SouthHillFrosty @Cold Snap @RentonHill all here

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Perturbed Member Grand Master

Perturbed Member

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, Doinko said:

Looks good for PDX
prateptype_cat_ecmwf-imp.us_nw.png

Don't think this track could look much better for PDX. 

With how dynamic that feature is, would be fun to have the precip rates absolutely explode over us. There is probably going to be at least some isolated spot or two with significant accumulations from this. I don't really buy the widespread 2-3 inch thing the Euro snow map is showing though. That map is often bs when the temp is that marginal. 

 

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Cascadia_Wx Grand Master

Cascadia_Wx

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2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

My Dad's driveway in February 2021, possible preview of this weekend. 

No photo description available.

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Then just four months later those trees got roasted with 115 degree heat 

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Summer ☀️ grows while Winter ❄️  goes

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TT-SEA Grand Master

TT-SEA

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Much faster... precip is already drying out by mid-afternoon.  

ecmwf-deterministic-washington-precip_1hr_inch-5014000.png

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iFred Mentor

iFred

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6 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

We all know Randy has to get in on lots of snow... it’s destiny.   

Nah, the support for a strong ridge is starting to evaporate and we are going to be dependent on the axis of that lobe not making a detour to Alberta.

Looks great for Calgary though.

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TT-SEA Grand Master

TT-SEA

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In the low 20s in Bellingham by 4 p.m. and going below freezing in Seattle.  

ecmwf-deterministic-washington-t2m_f-5017600 (1).png

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Tanis Leach Rising Star

Tanis Leach

Posted
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4 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

00Z ECMWF for Tuesday night system.

ecmwf-deterministic-or_wa-snow_24hr_kuchera-4931200.png

That's all major models now showing snowstorm for PDX. This is undergoing the Chehalem Mountains (what a surprise [not]). 

 

Our ball, down 3 at own 35 with 2 timeouts left and 1:15 on the clock. 1st and 10. 

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Chewbacca Defense Grand Master

Chewbacca Defense

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26 minutes ago, MossMan said:

WIND!! 

It's really picked up here too.  It was kinda interesting, when I took the dogs out, I was getting hit with alternating blasts of warm and cold air.  I don't think I've ever experienced that before.

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Britton Rd Bellingham Weather Station:  https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWABELLI103?cm_ven=localwx_pwsdash

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SilverFallsAndrew Grand Master

SilverFallsAndrew

Posted
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Just now, Cascadia_Wx said:

Then just four months later those trees got roasted with 115 degree heat 

True, but shockingly they all survived, even the oak on the left in the 4th pic that got absolutely devastated. Of course the ash trees probably won't make it a decade with the Ash borer, and his two acres of douglas fir in the back aren't doing well, but pretty much every tree in these pics is recovering even though they bare the scars. He has one oak not pictured here that got hammered in 2021, 2008, and 2004, but is still going strong. And probably over 300 years old now. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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TT-SEA Grand Master

TT-SEA

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Precip is more suppressed on Friday morning compared to 12Z run.   Swing and a miss by me. 

ecmwf-deterministic-nw-precip_3hr_inch-5082400.png

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snow_wizard Grand Master

snow_wizard

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ECMWF has trended colder for three runs now.  GEFS way colder than the GFS.  The GFS has to get colder on future runs.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 50

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Meatyorologist Grand Master

Meatyorologist

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1 hour ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Yo, this weather forum meet up is happening on Thursday right? Got a babysitter and cancelled some meetings. Just wanted to make sure😂 @iFred @Meatyorologist @RentonHill

Sure, why not!

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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TT-SEA Grand Master

TT-SEA

Posted
Posted

Temps late Friday afternoon... definitely colder to the south.   About the same as the 12Z run for Seattle. 

ecmwf-deterministic-washington-t2m_f-5104000 (1).png

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snow_wizard Grand Master

snow_wizard

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Wow that's impressive!

1705060800-fSyOto7unOg.png

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 50

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Cascadia_Wx Grand Master

Cascadia_Wx

Posted
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5 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

True, but shockingly they all survived, even the oak on the left in the 4th pic that got absolutely devastated. Of course the ash trees probably won't make it a decade with the Ash borer, and his two acres of douglas fir in the back aren't doing well, but pretty much every tree in these pics is recovering even though they bare the scars. He has one oak not pictured here that got hammered in 2021, 2008, and 2004, but is still going strong. And probably over 300 years old now. 

Oaks are mighty trees Andrew. Resilient with roots deep and wise.

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Summer ☀️ grows while Winter ❄️  goes

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Frontal Snowsquall Grand Master

Frontal Snowsquall

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2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Precip is more suppressed on Friday morning compared to 12Z run.   Swing and a miss by me. 

ecmwf-deterministic-nw-precip_3hr_inch-5082400.png

 

2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

ECMWF has trended colder for three runs now.  GEFS way colder than the GFS.  The GFS has to get colder on future runs.

Trended towards the 12z GraphCast which had the southern most solution today.

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MR.SNOWMIZER Grand Master

MR.SNOWMIZER

Posted
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5 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

True, but shockingly they all survived, even the oak on the left in the 4th pic that got absolutely devastated. Of course the ash trees probably won't make it a decade with the Ash borer, and his two acres of douglas fir in the back aren't doing well, but pretty much every tree in these pics is recovering even though they bare the scars. He has one oak not pictured here that got hammered in 2021, 2008, and 2004, but is still going strong. And probably over 300 years old now. 

Speaking of trees,  there was a huge fir 2 Miles down the road from my house that got cut down last year because the owner thought it would fall. Little did the fukin idiot know it was the largest Doug fir in Washington state on private property! 11.8 feet diameter at breast height.  I was sick to my stomach. 

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We come from the land of the ice and snow.

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Doinko Grand Master

Doinko

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Posted
Just now, Cascadia_Wx said:

Great to see the Euro improving in the home stretch. That’s less than 96 hours away.

Yeah, hopefully the cold air makes it this fast here, that would be wonderful

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