January 2024 Weather in the PNW (Part II)

[MikeInEverett]

Just now, lowlandsnow said:

Wow the convergence zone just almost disappeared

Yep. Right when I thought I was finally going to score it vanished out of nowhere areas with elevation near Mill Creek got a half inch to an inch, ended up with just a dusting on cars and grass here.

[Slushy Inch]

2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

I haven't seen it getting delayed... just different solutions during the process of the block lifting out.    Its been very consistent in the overall progression.   But there could be a window around day 6 or 7.  

I thought 16th and 18th looked El Niño or at least boring a few days ago, I may be wrong, I can’t check runs that long ago. But it has been getting better. Especially this 18z

[SnowySeeker50]

Down to 31f.

[TT-SEA]

Just now, lowlandsnow said:

Wow the convergence zone just almost disappeared

Getting split apart as the cold, dry air moves down the Sound.   I know everyone wants to say the models were totally wrong but that is what the ECMWF has been showing for several days.   The problem in this case is that the arctic front did not stall.  

[iFred]

Waiting for @Cold Snap

[MossMan]

5 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said:

It’s should be noted that EPS has had return to El Niño continue to be pushed back. And this runs ridge has a stronger base.

All eyes on this the middle of next week as we have nothing of importance over the next several days. 

[TT-SEA]

Just now, Slushy Inch said:

I thought 16th and 18th looked El Niño or at least boring a few days ago, I may be wrong, I can’t check runs that long ago. But it has been getting better. Especially this 18z

Yeah... sort of irrelevant given the short term stuff but I totally agree that window late next week could definitely be something if there is still cold air in place at the surface.   

[Cold Snap]

1 minute ago, iFred said:

Waiting for @Cold Snap

I’m here I’m wearing a sweatshirt that has adidas all over it.

[Poulsbo Snowman]

11 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Literally the same thing the 12Z run showed    That block is lifting away quickly at that point.   Going towards a more "typical Nino pattern".  But not really even that because CA is not getting action either. 

La Nino

[van city]

Ended up with 2 inches of Champaign Powder. 22 F Outside 

[North_County]

17 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Some commuters here probably won’t get home by midnight. Always happens when a storm rolls in during business hours on a weekday.

We have an office in Burnaby. I expect to get a lot of "Working From Home Today" emails in the morning.

[TT-SEA]

Just now, van city said:

Ended up with 2 inches of Champaign Powder. 

I see lots of dip-n-dots there! 

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Getting split apart as the cold, dry air moves down the Sound.   I know everyone wants to say the models were totally wrong but that is what the ECMWF has been showing for several days.   The problem in this case is that the arctic front did not stall.  

It certainly never showed the giant blob over me

[Slushy Inch]

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

Yeah... sort of irrelevant given the short term stuff but I totally agree that window late next week could definitely be something if there is still cold air in place at the surface.   

Short term stuff is over to me. Just cold. I don’t think I got enough snow to avoid losing it all via sublimation 

[OysterPrintout]

15 minutes ago, iFred said:

@SouthHillFrosty is here

 Hell yeah I am ready to play Jimmy Carter to Jesse and Dewey in the parking lot outside Hawthorne Strip whenever both parties are ready. There are some super good food carts over there too.

[TT-SEA]

Just now, Port Angeles Foothiller said:

It certainly never showed the giant blob over me

12Z ECMWF run sort of did... it had the right idea up there.  

[MossMan]

Just hit my coldest temp of the 2023/24 winter season so far! 

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

They finally put us under a WWA. Sequim already has like 3”. Accidents everywhere

[TT-SEA]

I think some development in the south Sound is imminent.    I see it trying to come in from the west and the east.

[van city]

2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

I see lots of dip-n-dots there! 

Very dry snow. Quite heavy too.

[Slushy Inch]

1 minute ago, Port Angeles Foothiller said:

They finally put us under a WWA. Sequim already has like 3”. Accidents everywhere

I was wrong it’s moving right over you

[The Winter Warlock]

Snow is starting in Covington

[Winterdog]

1 hour ago, Parrot said:

Very sad how close I am to greatness. Got a half inch or so sticking to cars and grass

A half an inch!!!  That is a winter wonderland.  

[Groundhog]

Although it’s been windy for about nine hrs, it’s ramped up the past hour—rattling windows. Now 18.5F with gusts ~45mph. 

[LowerGarfield]

This is seriously the coolest thing. I've seen four bolts of lightning generally going the usual SW to E/NE. We even heard a huge crack of thunder over the blue mountain foothills to our south.

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

3 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said:

I was wrong it’s moving right over you

It will probably sit on us for several hours. Classic arctic front upslope. Basically the only time I beat everyone in totals

[Ken in Wood Village]

17 minutes ago, LowerGarfield said:

Oh my gosh I just saw a bright flash. Lightning????? No thunder nearby but wow 

Yup 🌨

[NorthBend RainEnthusiast]

29 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

So we got about an inch out here which about what the models showed.  However... my wife just came home from work and had to park the car down the hill thanks to a school bus being sideways on the road.   I don't think there were any kids on it at the time... it was going back down after dropping off the kids up here.   I would love to be drinking a beer in Seattle right now but I knew it was not good evening to be trying to navigate the hills up here.   And I didn't want to miss what is likely the only snow I will get from this event!   

I lived this! I couldn’t get around that bus and then went around the other way into our neighborhood and wouldn’t you know it.. another bus is crashed into the stop sign and blocking that entrance. Parked at a friends and walked home.

[Phishy Wx]

3 minutes ago, LowerGarfield said:

This is seriously the coolest thing. I've seen four bolts of lightning generally going the usual SW to E/NE. We even heard a huge crack of thunder over the blue mountain foothills to our south.

news is talking about it.  Score!

[the_convergence_zone]

7 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

I think some development in the south Sound is imminent.    I see it trying to come in from the west and the east.

Oooh this might be the one for me. Go go go!

[iFred]

 

@Meatyorologist @SouthHillFrosty @Cold Snap @RentonHill all here

[FrozenBites]

2 minutes ago, iFred said:

 

@Meatyorologist @SouthHillFrosty @Cold Snap @RentonHill all here

Cheers gentlemen. 

[lowlandsnow]

Looks like some snow might be developing over the central sound

Northwest Radar | Department of Atmospheric Sciences (uw.edu)

[SnowySeeker50]

Radar getting interesting and snow starting up! 29f

[KingstonWX]

So weird looking at the radar right now. While that convergence band is shriveling up and moving west, there's a new band forming below it heading east over hood canal. 

[iFred]

…and we now have @andrewr

[SnowWillarrive]

Happy to report light snow. 

[westcoastexpat]

30 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

I have a feeling we're just going to see snowfall appear out of nowhere on the radar down this way.  The clouds have gotten much more organized in the past few minutes.  Down to 33 here now.  Going to be high ratio snow with this air mass.

Really pulling for you Jim. I know how much a wintery landscape means to you!

[GHweatherChris]

Hoping for some convergence off the SW side of the Olympics later this evening as the boundary gets closer to the Central Coast.  Can see the precip over the Olympics causing that all of sudden zone off the hood canal.  FYI, fully aware the models are not showing that scenario for it and I do not need a map showing that it isn't, hoping for the best.

Edited January 12 by GHweatherChris

[TT-SEA]

11 minutes ago, NorthBend RainEnthusiast said:

I lived this! I couldn’t get around that bus and then went around the other way into our neighborhood and wouldn’t you know it.. another bus is crashed into the stop sign and blocking that entrance. Parked at a friends and walked home.

I just drove out with another car to see if we could go get it... not happening.  I got half way there and a car slid into the ditch right in front me.   Cars all over the place out there.   Its just an inch of snow but the roads are so incredibly slippery.   Going to wait for the county to clean up the roads and put de-icer down.