February 2024 Weather in the PNW

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

5 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said:

My best snowfall this season happened when it really shouldn't have......... so............

According to most professionals on here no snow is possible south of Seattle or below 1000ft. Oh well.

[ShawniganLake]

10 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said:

My best snowfall this season happened when it really shouldn't have......... so............

 

[GHweatherChris]

15 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

 

keep up

[ShawniganLake]

1 minute ago, GHweatherChris said:

keep up

It snows when’s the atmosphere is cold enough and there is precipitation.  Pretty simple. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

I have no idea if it's going to snow or not anywhere next week. But if the EURO cuts that 2nd trough too far west tonight, we can probably kiss that trough goodbye. 

[Cold Snap]

1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

For sure... this is the big chance for the Seattle area.   Favorable timing at night... but it doesn't last long before getting pushed into the Cascades

Has me in the bullseye!

[ShawniganLake]

[Meatyorologist]

3 hours ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Have you not played around with that site? I spend hrs on it looking up past storms an d depths. Goes back to 2002. It's very accurate. 

What website is this? It looks really fun to sift through

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Bedtime for this guy. Good luck on the EURO tonight. Maybe I'll be up to comment on the 06z!

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

5 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

What website is this? It looks really fun to sift through

National Gridded Snowfall Analysis

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Bedtime for this guy. Good luck on the EURO tonight. Maybe I'll be up to comment on the 06z!

Ever since you turned 60 you can't stay up late like the old days. Just like Jim.

[Meatyorologist]

1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

For sure... this is the big chance for the Seattle area.   Favorable timing at night... but it doesn't last long before getting pushed into the Cascades

What is your point? This is describes every favorable PSCZ snow event ever. You've been saying "this won't last long!" about 500mb troughing, intrusions of Arctic air, and bouts of rainfall. It's like every six hours you forget the concept of impermanence and you relearn via the latest GFS run that all things come and go.

[Deweydog]

22 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

It snows when’s the atmosphere is cold enough and there is precipitation.  Pretty simple. 

I came to realize the same thing in the last couple years.

[Slushy Inch]

4 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

What is your point? This is describes every favorable PSCZ snow event ever. You've been saying "this won't last long!" about 500mb troughing, intrusions of Arctic air, and bouts of rainfall. It's like every six hours you forget the concept of impermanence and you relearn via the latest GFS run that all things come and go.

That is not pscz. Low moving inland.

[bainbridgekid]

1 minute ago, Slushy Inch said:

That is not pscz. Low moving inland.

Those are not mutually exclusive. The flow moving around the low is part of what creates the convergence. 

[Slushy Inch]

8 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said:

Those are not mutually exclusive. The flow moving around the low is part of what creates the convergence. 

The actual precipitation is associated with the circulation of a low. I know that a low pressure passing through can cause a convergence zone.

[MossMan]

Windy and wet currently! 
Up to .25” on the day. 

[bainbridgekid]

MossMan special Sunday night on the Euro.

 

[MossMan]

6 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said:

MossMan special Sunday night on the Euro.

 

Very nice!!! 

[snow_wizard]

This is sure looking real.

[snow_wizard]

33 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

National Gridded Snowfall Analysis

I'd be interested to see what it shows for snowfall for my area for Feb 2022.  It was a total sheit show to try to measure it here due to wind.

[snow_wizard]

I'm not quite sure what to do when every model run is showing snow for this actual location! 

[Slushy Inch]

6 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

This is sure looking real.

Trough less beefy than 12z

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Things are beginning to trend in a less-favorable direction.

[snow_wizard]

Highs in the 30s on Tuesday according to the ECMWF.

[snow_wizard]

3 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said:

Trough less beefy than 12z

We'll have to wait and see how the next couple of runs go.

[snow_wizard]

1 hour ago, Front Ranger said:

As someone who grew up in Tacoma and lived in Seattle, I can tell you that Tacoma definitely does not see more snow than Seattle on average. OLM is a different story, obviously. But Fife and Puyallup are definitely not OLM.

I think Fife is the bottom.  Just a terrible location.

[snow_wizard]

1 hour ago, BLI snowman said:

Shadowing absolutely impacts Seattle's snowfall compared to the wetter places further south. You just have to look at Olympia's averages to see that. The South Sound generally does better from that alone, and obviously Snohomish County does way better from the PSCZ which often picks up between Lynnwood and Shoreline. Seattle is in something of a snow-no-man's-land a lot of the time. 

 

In the old days it didn't really matter though.  They still put up great numbers.  Probably just more scenarios where they were able to score back then.

[snow_wizard]

1 hour ago, ShawniganLake said:

We are definitely in the range where the gfs is usually too aggressive with the cold. 

It sure wasn't with the January event.

[RCola]

Not feeling this one for Seattle. Looks like another near miss.

[ShawniganLake]

6 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

It sure wasn't with the January event.

True. I think it got there in the end.  I think typically we see it being a little too aggressive with the arrival of cold air out of the Fraser Valley.  I don’t think Fraser outflow is really playing much of a roll in whatever snow falls early next week for most places. 

[the_convergence_zone]

Wet run again, seems like that AR next week is more likely than not. Impressive mountain snow totals. 
 

Monday looks like a convective event to me. 

[ShawniganLake]

1 minute ago, the_convergence_zone said:

Wet run again, seems like that AR next week is more likely than not. Impressive mountain snow totals. 
 

Monday looks like a convective event to me. 

We would be close to average rainfall for the month of March by the 3rd if that verifies. 

[HuskyMaestro]

6 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

I think Fife is the bottom.  Just a terrible location.

Amen. I still count my blessings to have experienced 2008, 2019, and 2021 living here. 

Oh and the 1" of snow on Christmas Eve 2017!

 

[snow_wizard]

The Graph Cast has the second trough right over us by day 10.  Also an enormous long wave ridge behind it that will be very slow to move.

[snow_wizard]

Digging trough over the NW Pacific and then the massive offshore ridge.

[SnowWillarrive]

29 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

I think Fife is the bottom.  Just a terrible location.

Some heretic at the car dealership planted 6 or so palm trees in Fife facing I-5. They all look halfway dead.
 

[Omegaraptor]

12 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Digging trough over the NW Pacific and then the massive offshore ridge.

Deep enough trough that the coldest anomalies are in CA. Excellent for the Sierra.

[snow_wizard]

28 minutes ago, SnowWillarrive said:

Some heretic at the car dealership planted 6 or so palm trees in Fife facing I-5. They all look halfway dead.
 

Palms don't do real well in our microclimate due to the cold / dry east wind we get.  Very hard on plants.

Even Fife isn't the best climate for them obviously.

[snow_wizard]

It's actually mostly clear here now.