May 2024 Pacific Northwest Weather

[bainbridgekid]

2 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

Unbelievable precip gradient on the 12Z GFS.

That really is crazy. The gods are doing their best to salvage boating opening day in Seattle for me. 50 miles North of that and it would be hard to have any fun.

[Cascadia_Wx]

11 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Meanwhile a beautiful morning here with lots of sun ahead of the incoming system. Partly sunny and 59 currently.

Hit a chilly low of 41 this morning with even some dense fog around. I think the downpours before sunset last night followed immediately by clear skies set us up perfectly for some late spring fog.

Can already see clouds from the next system quickly approaching on the visible.

[DeepFriedEgg]

Praying for 90 burgers.

[BLI snowman]

2 hours ago, Front Ranger said:

Wild. Not many times PDX sees 2"+ of rain and SEA sees around .10" from the same storm.

December 1919! 

[Cascadia_Wx]

49 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

The 12z GFS looks like hott garbage in the long range, but the ensemble and control look more reasonable.

12z Euro looks more reasonable. But there is little doubt PDX will at least see their first 80 of the year by next weekend. Which is more or less on time.

[Cascadia_Wx]

I’m pretty excited for the big soaker tomorrow. Seems like if there is a day in May we have a shot at pulling off a sub-50 high it would be tomorrow as well.

Edited May 3 by Cascadia_Wx

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Well we safely made it to New Orleans and I can’t buy a transit pass for the streetcars on the app because the ticketing part of the app went down right when we got here. My wife can’t walk very far so it was the only way we were gonna be able to get to the French quarter. Just a few blocks away but can’t go. 

[BLI snowman]

10 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

12z Euro looks more reasonable. But there is little doubt PDX will at least see their first 80 of the year by next weekend. Which is more or less on time.

 2022 is the only post-2011 year at PDX to see its first 80+ after 5/8. Took until 6/2 that year.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

14 hours ago, Chewbacca Defense said:

Off topic....

Keep it classy Florida.. 

 

Those Spring Breakers down in Florida are wild. They were probably not suppose to be drinking and decided to dump the evidence in the Atlantic  

[T-Town]

8 minutes ago, Frontal Snowsquall said:

Those Spring Breakers down in Florida are wild. They were probably not suppose to be drinking and decided to dump the evidence in the Atlantic  

Or they’re just idiots behaving like idiots because they’re idiots. 

[Cascadia_Wx]

16 minutes ago, T-Town said:

Or they’re just idiots behaving like idiots because they’re idiots. 

@Frontal Snowsquall would know all about that  

Edited May 3 by Cascadia_Wx

[TT-SEA]

72 in North Bend now.   Snuck in an actual warm day before a cold and wet weekend. 

[bainbridgekid]

1 hour ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Well we safely made it to New Orleans and I can’t buy a transit pass for the streetcars on the app because the ticketing part of the app went down right when we got here. My wife can’t walk very far so it was the only way we were gonna be able to get to the French quarter. Just a few blocks away but can’t go. 

Do you not have Uber?

[the_convergence_zone]

12Z EPS continues the KSEA rainfall rug pull and further ramps up the heat for the following weekend. 

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

[SouthHillFrosty]

14 minutes ago, the_convergence_zone said:

12Z EPS continues the KSEA rainfall rug pull and further ramps up the heat for the following weekend. 

 

Just now, Port Angeles Foothiller said:

90? No thank you. Brutal

[Meatyorologist]

25 minutes ago, the_convergence_zone said:

12Z EPS continues the KSEA rainfall rug pull and further ramps up the heat for the following weekend. 

El Niño's dying last breath 

[TT-SEA]

11 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

El Niño's dying last breath 

Yes... because Nina summers have been so cold lately

Hottest summer ever in Seattle was in 2022... a year with wall-to-wall Nina.

[AlTahoe]

3 hours ago, AlTahoe said:

There hasn't been much to talk about down this way lately as April was very dry. But that looks to change with our snow totals increasing for tomorrow's storm. Now up to 6" for lake level. Will this be our last snow until next winter? It's looking that way on the long range models. Hopefully everyone scores some wet thunderstorms this summer!

Upgraded to a winter storm warning now. Nice!

 

WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM SATURDAY TO 8 AM PDT
SUNDAY ABOVE 5000 FEET...

* WHAT...Heavy snow Above 5000 feet. Snow accumulations up to 5 to 8
  inches around the Lake Tahoe Basin, 8 to 12 inches over higher
  Sierra passes, and up to 12 to 20 inches of snow across the Sierra
  Crest above 7000 feet. Winds gusting as high as 55 mph. Wind prone
  areas along Hwy-395 in Mono County may see gusts 60+ mph. Higher
  Sierra ridgetops may see gusts 100+ mph.

[Meatyorologist]

6 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Yes... because Nina summers have been so cold lately

Hottest summer ever in Seattle was in 2022... a year with wall-to-wall Nina.

I was talking about the southern trend of this cutoff and the amplification of next week's ridge. Which are +ENSO tendencies. Wasn't making any point about -ENSO 

[Front Ranger]

Not light rain in Salem!

[Front Ranger]

18 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Yes... because Nina summers have been so cold lately

Hottest summer ever in Seattle was in 2022... a year with wall-to-wall Nina.

I know your point is that that summer was very warm, and obviously it was, but the "hottest ever in Seattle" stat is a joke. 2015 or 1958 hold that distinction at almost every other somewhat reliable long term station in western WA besides SEA. Including the Seattle city office station.

It was definitely the hottest July/August on record for the region.

[TT-SEA]

24 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

I know your point is that that summer was very warm, and obviously it was, but the "hottest ever in Seattle" stat is a joke. 2015 or 1958 hold that distinction at almost every other somewhat reliable long term station in western WA besides SEA. Including the Seattle city office station.

It was definitely the hottest July/August on record for the region.

I think it was using JAS.   I posted the stats at the time.    

[High Desert Mat?]

2 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

72 in North Bend now.   Snuck in an actual warm day before a cold and wet weekend. 

Glad you’re gonna be ok. 

[Frontal Snowsquall]

3 hours ago, DeepFriedEgg said:

Praying for 90 burgers.

 

1 hour ago, Port Angeles Foothiller said:

SEA might get a 90 this year before PDX!

[TT-SEA]

18Z GFS didn't change much for tomorrow... definitely shows offshore flow winning out in King County.   But it tends to overestimate offshore flow in this situation.  

[Meatyorologist]

6 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

18Z GFS didn't change much for tomorrow... definitely shows offshore flow winning out in King County.   But it tends to overestimate offshore flow in this situation.  

Blegh. Barely a trace here in NE Seattle. It's so over for me bros 

[ShawniganLake]

17 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

18Z GFS didn't change much for tomorrow... definitely shows offshore flow winning out in King County.   But it tends to overestimate offshore flow in this situation.  

I’m in the white.  My prayers for a dry Saturday are working.  

[TT-SEA]

7 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

Blegh. Barely a trace here in NE Seattle. It's so over for me bros 

Believe or not... given the recent rainfall deficit and what the models are showing in terms of ridging I am really hoping for significant rain in the Seattle area tomorrow.   Its already going to be a chilly, cloudy day so lets maximize the benefit.   

[Frontal Snowsquall]

58 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

18Z GFS didn't change much for tomorrow... definitely shows offshore flow winning out in King County.   But it tends to overestimate offshore flow in this situation.  

Going to be really wet down here tomorrow. Hopefully this is the last wet weekend until October. 80 by Friday. 

[TT-SEA]

18Z ECMWF is definitely wetter for the Seattle area than the GFS but there is still a big drop off at the King/Pierce County line.

[T-Town]

3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

18Z ECMWF is definitely wetter for the Seattle area than the GFS but there is still a big drop off at the King/Pierce County line.

Looks good to me. 

[MossMan]

6 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

18Z ECMWF is definitely wetter for the Seattle area than the GFS but there is still a big drop off at the King/Pierce County line.

Being in a shade of grey is basically worthless, give me some reds or be completely dry. 

[Meatyorologist]

10 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

18Z ECMWF is definitely wetter for the Seattle area than the GFS but there is still a big drop off at the King/Pierce County line.

Even this would be alright. Shade from the sun and a misting rain would extend the green season a little longer. After this cutoff we have next week's trough to spy for rain chances.

[Meatyorologist]

High clouds have thickened dramatically, and heaping, monsterous altocumulus castellanus is filling in overhead. Pretty ominous for a complete miss.

[FroYoBro]

The storm of the century has begun here. 

[T-Town]

Another zebra sighting around 4:20 today. 

[Meatyorologist]

Something I noticed earlier, my lawn has a goldilocks-esque pattern in the grass. With too little sunlight on the south side (left) in the shade of my neighbor's fence, and too much sunlight on the north side (right), which is protected from the sun the least by our house and the garage. But, along the middle, especially towards our house, where that side of the lawn gets the afternoon sun the best, it's juuuuust right.

Also, notice the 'desire path' on the right side of the concrete walkway through the far side of the lawn. Nobody got time fo' that right angle... Our weird ass previous owners probably thought it would look sleek and modern. Eighty years later, and it's just a waste of concrete in a desolate WASTELAND already full of it.

[Dave]

For flying fukk sake, could we get a bit more rain? That would be great. My back yard is all puddles. It would be sweet to have a real flood.

[LowerGarfield]

Got a nice east wind breeze going. Bit of haze to the west.