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Season's First Potential Wintry Storm and Arctic Outbreak


Tom

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A meteorologist on Amwx noted the colder air sagging further south than forecasted tonight. He's favoring the GGEM model and is thinking frozen precip could come a bit further south.

 

That time to start watching the radar fairly soon and not the models. Well maybe the high resolution ones for a bit yet.

Mercer Island, 350 ft

2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

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System really tapped into some warm air. 66F here today at DSM-- was only forecasted to be 57-58F. NWS just upped from 30% to 50% chance snow tonight with totals less then 1"--- which is good compared to what it was. At least the grass might get white... :D

The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

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Highest total that's I've seen so far.

 

0446 PM SNOW SPOONER 45.82N 91.89W
11/10/2014 M14.0 INCH WASHBURN WI PUBLIC

 

10"+ amount pretty common in the NW quarter of WI.

 

---

 

Can easily see the cold front just east of Waterloo, IA right now.

Mercer Island, 350 ft

2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

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Seeing a really intense snow band coming through. Wind gusting to 45 mph. Will be short lived but good to see snow blowing around. Almost looks like a mini blizzard. Temperature 23 with wind chill in the single digits. Great January night in November.

Looks like the models picked up on this and maybe underestimated its intensity.  Must be nice to finally see snow fall with the high winds and chilly temps.  Hopefully it covers your grass!

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Seeing a really intense snow band coming through. Wind gusting to 45 mph. Will be short lived but good to see snow blowing around. Almost looks like a mini blizzard. Temperature 23 with wind chill in the single digits. Great January night in November.

 

 

Looks like the models picked up on this and maybe underestimated its intensity.  Must be nice to finally see snow fall with the high winds and chilly temps.  Hopefully it covers your grass!

That snow band is knocking on my door step and should be here within the next 30 minutes. I can't wait, we should see our first measurable snow of the season, granted it won't be much! Tom, I don't think the band will be persistent enough nor be able to stay on the ground with all the blowing to cover the grass! One thing is for sure I'm glad I was able to get my garden all cleaned up yesterday when the high topped out at 63!!

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Enjoying it immensely.  My wife keeps telling me to shut the door.  I just keep going outside to feel this remarkable change from yesterday.  Hit 70 on Sunday and last time I checked it was 22 with a windchill of 6 but it goes lower with gusts.  It was a really nice band.  Still coming down with the ground now covered.  I didn't expect it to stick on the streets but the front came through this morning at 9 AM and the entire day has seen falling temps.  It has been below freezing since the middle of the afternoon.  This winter is off to a great start.  Not a huge storm but hopefully a pattern that will be more widespread than last year.  Share the wealth.  

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Seeing a really intense snow band coming through. Wind gusting to 45 mph. Will be short lived but good to see snow blowing around. Almost looks like a mini blizzard. Temperature 23 with wind chill in the single digits. Great January night in November.

 

Looks like a nice little snow "appetizer"! Hopefully that will march it's way east overnight and hold together.

 

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Low somewhere near DBQ according to the wind plot. Near freezing in La Crosse and around 56° in Davenport right now.

Mercer Island, 350 ft

2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

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Nicely written. 

I hope for at least this winter, the cold plunges won't suppress a lot of systems. I think maybe the extended period of snow cover, might be the big story along with the sustained cold. Expecting a lot of powdery snow this winter!

Mercer Island, 350 ft

2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

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Looks like a bit of rain and snow here this morning. Temps falling through the upper 30s now here.

Mercer Island, 350 ft

2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

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Had a nice band move through Omaha between 11p-1a last night and it dropped 1/2-1" of snow. Roads were wet initially when it was about 26 degrees when it started but this morning all the side roads are a sheet of ice since it dropped down to 18 overnight. Watched this lady go down the street in front of our house that is on a slight hill, just like it was any other day. She slid right through the stop sign and was lucky there was no cross traffic coming through. It's amazing how stupid people are

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That was a nice band of snow we had last night and with the temps below freezing all day the snow stuck to pavement and all. officially I would call it a dusting but to me in spots it looks like an inch. Either way our first official snowfall fell in November and I'm happy with that. 

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There's been some snow reported just west of the area and a few wet flakes here under more intense radar returns. Hanging in the mid 30s now.

Mercer Island, 350 ft

2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

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Nicely written. 

I hope for at least this winter, the cold plunges won't suppress a lot of systems. I think maybe the extended period of snow cover, might be the big story along with the sustained cold. Expecting a lot of powdery snow this winter!

I prefer powdery type snow because it is so much easier to shovel. It is that heavy wet snow that I do not like. It can really do a workout though, I'll tell you that.

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN Insane!

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024: Trace

Season So Far: 26.7"

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Winner! Winner! Chicken dinner!

 

They should see another 4-8 LES

 

I know where that's at! 

 

Very similar totals in the Huron Mountains in the UP.

 

Noticing some light radar returns pushing south out of the western Fox Valley in WI. Probably just flurries, but would be nice to see some flakes tonight in the air.

Mercer Island, 350 ft

2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

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Totals keep on going up downwind of Lake Superior.

 

 

0640 PM     SNOW             7 NNE ISHPEMING         46.58N 87.61W
11/11/2014  M36.1 INCH       MARQUETTE          MI   CO-OP OBSERVER

            STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL. 12.4 INCHES SINCE 8AM EST. SNOW
            DEPTH HAS SURPASSED 30 INCHES.

0840 PM     SNOW             10 NW NEGAUNEE          46.60N 87.76W
11/11/2014  M32.5 INCH       MARQUETTE          MI   PUBLIC

            STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL. 8.0 INCHES OVER THE PAST 7 HOURS.
            STILL HEAVY SNOW FALLING.

 

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Mercer Island, 350 ft

2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

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