snow_wizard Posted December 12, 2014 Report Share Posted December 12, 2014 Some impressive 10pm gusts SEA - 48Everett - 59BLI - 56Whidbey - 64 Certainly an impressive event. Color me impressed. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stuffradio Posted December 12, 2014 Author Report Share Posted December 12, 2014 Mostly the only thing I like about the latest Weeklies for the heights is how low they are showing for California. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 12, 2014 Report Share Posted December 12, 2014 Mostly the only thing I like about the latest Weeklies for the heights is how low they are showing for California. Could you clarify this a little bit? Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skagit Weather Posted December 12, 2014 Report Share Posted December 12, 2014 Some impressive 10pm gusts SEA - 48Everett - 59BLI - 56Whidbey - 64 Certainly an impressive event. Color me impressed. Whidbey Island just hit 68. Quote Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted December 12, 2014 Report Share Posted December 12, 2014 If you pick one that works for you, we'll try and mix it in there for your location.Tongue in cheek. Every cold spell produces snow(more than a dusting) in a different area each time, almost like a cycle. Unless it is regionwide from the get go. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted December 12, 2014 Report Share Posted December 12, 2014 Some impressive 10pm gusts SEA - 48Everett - 59BLI - 56Whidbey - 64 Certainly an impressive event. Color me impressed. Yeah, from Medford to Bellingham this has been a pretty solid storm. Definitely a 5-10 year type of event overall for the I-5 corridor. What's really unusual is how many spots in the I-5 corridor were just as windy as the coast. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted December 12, 2014 Report Share Posted December 12, 2014 Yeah, from Medford to Bellingham this has been a pretty solid storm. Definitely a 5-10 year type of event overall for the I-5 corridor. What's really unusual is how many spots in the I-5 corridor were just as windy as the coast.Pretty typical. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stuffradio Posted December 12, 2014 Author Report Share Posted December 12, 2014 Could you clarify this a little bit?At day 14, the heights get down to around -300 in central and southern California. I say I like it because I want the drought to ease as much as possible in California. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stuffradio Posted December 12, 2014 Author Report Share Posted December 12, 2014 However, around the last week of December, the Euro weekly also has a -2 to -7 C mean temp anomaly for much of the west coast from the Canadian/American border to southern California. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted December 12, 2014 Report Share Posted December 12, 2014 Hail to the GFS!! Also, after reading Mark Nelsens latest post I get the impression that he is skeptical of the 67 MPH reading at PDX. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 12, 2014 Report Share Posted December 12, 2014 The CPC analogs tonight paint an interesting picture. The top two analogs for day 8 are from Dec 2006, the top analog for day 11 is from Dec 2003, and two of the other analogs for day 11 are from Dec 2006. 2003 and 2006 were both warm ENSO and both had Arctic outbreaks and snow in January. Besides the CPC analogs the late Nov Arctic outbreak was like 2006 and this windstorm is the biggest one since Dec 2006.Both are top analogs in my winter thread. Key to all of these years was a January PV breakdown..right now the fact that it's still trying to stay in barotropic mode is making me nervous..kinda funny actually, given the beating it took back in November.. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted December 12, 2014 Report Share Posted December 12, 2014 Pretty typical. This storm? Nah. In the 1950s/60s it would have been, but since then these types of events where many I-5 stations hit 50mph are much harder to come by. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 12, 2014 Report Share Posted December 12, 2014 However, around the last week of December, the Euro weekly also has a -2 to -7 C mean temp anomaly for much of the west coast from the Canadian/American border to southern California.You sure you're looking at the right thing? Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted December 12, 2014 Report Share Posted December 12, 2014 This storm? Nah. In the 1950s/60s it would have been, but since then these types of events where many I-5 stations hit 50mph are much harder to come by.LOL. Sarcasm. This storm packed quite the punch. The GFS owned it too. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stuffradio Posted December 12, 2014 Author Report Share Posted December 12, 2014 You sure you're looking at the right thing?I thought so. It's the control run for the 850 temperature anomalies. What did I get wrong? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 12, 2014 Report Share Posted December 12, 2014 This storm? Nah. In the 1950s/60s it would have been, but since then these types of events where many I-5 stations hit 50mph are much harder to come by. I think he meant it was typical at the coast. Now if we can just get a 1950s / 60s type January. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stuffradio Posted December 12, 2014 Author Report Share Posted December 12, 2014 You sure you're looking at the right thing?Look at hour 432 for example. I'm using weatherbell. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Mode Posted December 12, 2014 Report Share Posted December 12, 2014 Just based on driving around tonight, I think the tree damage is much more extensive than that of 2006, and not hugely behind 1995. I think tomorrow will reveal much more damage than people think/know about tonight. I think today’s storm goes to remind us that it is very common for our strongest wind storms to have very little rain, and definitely some sun!Many of my co-workers/friends/family were giving me a hard time about how nice the weather was today, I said just wait! Peak wind of 53 mph at my station at 4:20 PM. Lost about 20' of fence and even the weather station tipped over, but alas, works like a champ. Power was out for the first time since I moved here. 5pm-10 PM. It was nice to have it back just 10 minutes after getting home. Pictures coming soon! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 12, 2014 Report Share Posted December 12, 2014 I thought so. It's the control run for the 850 temperature anomalies. What did I get wrong?Oh are you referring to the control run or the ensemble suite? I just took a look at the former, and it does show what you said it did. I normally don't look at the control, especially at that range, so my bad there. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 12, 2014 Report Share Posted December 12, 2014 Yeah, the control run definitely is a pants-tent for the west toward the New Year. Big blast. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poulsbo Snowman Posted December 12, 2014 Report Share Posted December 12, 2014 Winds blasting outside--highest gust 56 mph so far. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted December 12, 2014 Report Share Posted December 12, 2014 Yeah, the control run definitely is a pants-tent for the west toward the New Year. Big blast.Pants-tent... That is hilarious honestly Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poulsbo Snowman Posted December 12, 2014 Report Share Posted December 12, 2014 Maybe, but bear in mind all models shows the low rapidly weakening as it moves up the coast. I was a believer the entire time. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 12, 2014 Report Share Posted December 12, 2014 I was a believer the entire time. I admit I was wrong on this. To look at the 12z and 18z GFS the storm looked like nothing at all by mid evening and yet Everett just gusted to 62. About the only place I was right about being a bust was part of the East Puget Sound lowlands. Total bust here. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 12, 2014 Report Share Posted December 12, 2014 Yeah, the control run definitely is a pants-tent for the west toward the New Year. Big blast. There have been a few very cold GFS ensembles the last couple of days also. May be a typical case of some models picking up on a pattern change but showing it too early. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted December 12, 2014 Report Share Posted December 12, 2014 I admit I was wrong on this. To look at the 12z and 18z GFS the storm looked like nothing at all by mid evening and yet Everett just gusted to 62. About the only place I was right about being a bust was part of the East Puget Sound lowlands. Total bust here.Pretty much a bust here too. My strongest wind gust was 34 so pretty lame for this location, much the same as you. Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted December 12, 2014 Report Share Posted December 12, 2014 Boulevard Park in Bellingham flooded this morning at high tide. I've been there tons of times and never seen anything like this. 3 Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 12, 2014 Report Share Posted December 12, 2014 I find it interesting the three most dynamic late autumn / early winters of this century so far (2003, 2006, and 2014) were all warm ENSO. These all featured early Arctic outbreaks, floods, high winds, and other notable events. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 12, 2014 Report Share Posted December 12, 2014 Pretty much a bust here too. My strongest wind gust was 34 so pretty lame for this location, much the same as you. You didn't get the big wind in November either did you? That has got to sting a bit. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted December 12, 2014 Report Share Posted December 12, 2014 Hear it oddly now Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted December 12, 2014 Report Share Posted December 12, 2014 I admit I was wrong on this. To look at the 12z and 18z GFS the storm looked like nothing at all by mid evening and yet Everett just gusted to 62. About the only place I was right about being a bust was part of the East Puget Sound lowlands. Total bust here.It never looked particularly strong in your area anyways. So not really a bust there. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Mode Posted December 12, 2014 Report Share Posted December 12, 2014 Here are pics from today's storm, more pics coming after daylight tomorrow! Please share if you like. All pics are from Vancouver.http://weathercrazy.smugmug.com/Weather/121114-Wind-Damage http://weathercrazy.smugmug.com/Weather/121114-Wind-Damage/i-rx9S2Jb/0/L/22.%20Downed%20Lines%20and%20Trees%20NE%2049th%20Street%20and%20Chateau%20Drive-L.jpg Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx_statman Posted December 12, 2014 Report Share Posted December 12, 2014 I just never hear it talked about much. It definitely doesn't have the folk memories attached to it like the Columbus Day storm. Pretty much everyone knows about that one, even among the general public. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx_statman Posted December 12, 2014 Report Share Posted December 12, 2014 Here are pics from today's storm, more pics coming after daylight tomorrow! Please share if you like. All pics are from Vancouver. http://weathercrazy.smugmug.com/Weather/121114-Wind-Damage http://weathercrazy.smugmug.com/Weather/121114-Wind-Damage/i-rx9S2Jb/0/L/22.%20Downed%20Lines%20and%20Trees%20NE%2049th%20Street%20and%20Chateau%20Drive-L.jpg Nice pics! You were probably the first photographer on the scene for some of these. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx_statman Posted December 12, 2014 Report Share Posted December 12, 2014 Everett peaked at 45g62 mph. Major. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Mode Posted December 12, 2014 Report Share Posted December 12, 2014 Thanks! Ya, I try to document as much as I can. Will be out tomorrow with daylight. A lot of things I didn't spot tonight but passers by pointed out so I could photograph.Nice pics! You were probably the first photographer on the scene for some of these. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stuffradio Posted December 12, 2014 Author Report Share Posted December 12, 2014 Power went out here. Transformer went out in front of my house. I saw a huge flash. I didn't hear it, but my dad heard a cracking noise and a loud thud. So somewhere there must be a big tree that came across the road. I am getting huge wind gusts here. 50,000+ without power over here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 12, 2014 Report Share Posted December 12, 2014 Still no power. Winds have calmed. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 12, 2014 Report Share Posted December 12, 2014 Per the 06Z GFS... starting today it looks basically dry for the next week. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 12, 2014 Report Share Posted December 12, 2014 Just got my power back. Since this storm ended up personally affecting me, I'll concede it was a major event. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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