East Dubzz Posted February 3, 2021 Report Share Posted February 3, 2021 Obviously a fine result on the Ukie for my area, but I don’t love the look of it. Too close for comfort. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 3, 2021 Report Share Posted February 3, 2021 Long Range RAP- Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted February 3, 2021 Report Share Posted February 3, 2021 It looks like the trend has been weaker for Nebraska. OAX put out an advisory, I'll be happy with 1-2". Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted February 3, 2021 Report Share Posted February 3, 2021 GFS v16 is back up. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted February 3, 2021 Report Share Posted February 3, 2021 Just now, Clinton said: GFS v16 is back up. I just saw that. I'll make sure to look at that. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted February 3, 2021 Report Share Posted February 3, 2021 Prolly gonna be widespread 2-4 across Iowa with some lollipops in there. No one will be able to measure it anyway. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted February 3, 2021 Report Share Posted February 3, 2021 No drastic changes on the Euro. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted February 3, 2021 Report Share Posted February 3, 2021 2 minutes ago, bud2380 said: No drastic changes on the Euro. I would be very happy with 3-4". Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted February 3, 2021 Report Share Posted February 3, 2021 Just a touch windy. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 3, 2021 Report Share Posted February 3, 2021 12z Euro... 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted February 3, 2021 Report Share Posted February 3, 2021 I have to believe blizzard warnings will be expanded. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted February 3, 2021 Report Share Posted February 3, 2021 Sign me up for another incher. At least it's climo-supported now, but it's ridiculous how moisture-starved NoDak has been for every storm. Quote ...COLD FRONT TO BRING WINTER IMPACTS TO EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA AND NORTHWEST INTO WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA... A cold front will traverse the region this afternoon and evening bringing light accumulations of snow and ice, gusty winds, blowing snow, and falling temperatures. A wintry mix of freezing rain and sleet is expected to bring a light glaze of ice to some locations this afternoon and early evening. A transition to light and briefly moderate snow is expected for portions of eastern North Dakota into northwest Minnesota, resulting in accumulations less than 2 inches. Gusty winds behind the front will create areas of blowing snow within eastern North Dakota and the Red River Valley. Blowing snow and moderate snowfall may briefly reduce visibility to half a mile or less tonight into Thursday. Those traveling or outdoors should be prepared for the return of winter conditions. 1 2 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bellona Posted February 3, 2021 Report Share Posted February 3, 2021 2 minutes ago, james1976 said: I have to believe blizzard warnings will be expanded. I agree. I think most, if not all, of the current winter storm watch, goes to blizzard warning this afternoon. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted February 3, 2021 Report Share Posted February 3, 2021 42 minutes ago, Tom said: 12z Euro... hope this wins over the short term models...everyone is beyond jacked up here! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BMT Posted February 3, 2021 Report Share Posted February 3, 2021 18z HRRR taking a step in the right direction for us Eastern IA folks. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted February 3, 2021 Report Share Posted February 3, 2021 12 minutes ago, BMT said: 18z HRRR taking a step in the right direction for us Eastern IA folks. Yeah, the 18z HRRR has juiced back up over here... not just for eastern Iowa, but back into central Iowa as well. 2 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted February 3, 2021 Report Share Posted February 3, 2021 I like it! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted February 3, 2021 Author Report Share Posted February 3, 2021 The warm sector of this system is well timed such that we will rise above freezing late tonight and fall back below freezing before noon tomorrow. Looks like the amount of snow loss will be minimized. 1 Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 3, 2021 Report Share Posted February 3, 2021 12z EPS... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted February 3, 2021 Report Share Posted February 3, 2021 18z HRRR increased totals quite a bit 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 3, 2021 Report Share Posted February 3, 2021 ^^ that's a good sign. As most know- and could still happen- as the event gets closer most guidance goes down. A step in the right direction. Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 3, 2021 Report Share Posted February 3, 2021 70F in Valentine. Rapid City peak wind 51 kts. (59mph) 4 2 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted February 3, 2021 Report Share Posted February 3, 2021 Boy, the NAM dried Iowa out this morning, showing CR down to 1.9". The 18z juices us back up and then some. I think 6" is unlikely, but I'm just looking for consistent 3-4" totals from the models. 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted February 3, 2021 Report Share Posted February 3, 2021 Encouraging change back since this morning. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted February 3, 2021 Report Share Posted February 3, 2021 18z 3k NAM Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted February 3, 2021 Report Share Posted February 3, 2021 45mph wind with this snowpack will be bad enough. You start adding 3 or 4" of falling snow with it. Look out. KWWL already saying dont travel. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bellona Posted February 3, 2021 Report Share Posted February 3, 2021 I'm pretty surprised that La Crosse didn't go to blizzard, and went instead to wwa. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted February 3, 2021 Report Share Posted February 3, 2021 Hopefully I stay all snow and don't go to a mix! 2 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted February 3, 2021 Report Share Posted February 3, 2021 DVN just issued a winter storm warning for east-central Iowa, expecting 2-5" of snow and wind gusting to 45 mph. 3 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted February 3, 2021 Report Share Posted February 3, 2021 2 minutes ago, Hawkeye said: DVN just issued a winter storm warning for east-central Iowa, expecting 2-5" of snow and wind gusting to 45 mph. I was hoping for a blizzard warning. Could still upgrade by morning. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stacsh Posted February 3, 2021 Report Share Posted February 3, 2021 NWS gives GR 5-10" through Friday evening. I'm thinking Higher end where I am at. 250 degree wind will hammer GR. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BMT Posted February 3, 2021 Report Share Posted February 3, 2021 3 minutes ago, bud2380 said: I was hoping for a blizzard warning. Could still upgrade by morning. I've been less than impressed with dvn lately. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BMT Posted February 3, 2021 Report Share Posted February 3, 2021 48 minutes ago, Bellona said: I'm pretty surprised that La Crosse didn't go to blizzard, and went instead to wwa. Yeah - not sure how NE Iowa is only WWA Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stacsh Posted February 3, 2021 Report Share Posted February 3, 2021 19 minutes ago, Stacsh said: NWS gives GR 5-10" through Friday evening. I'm thinking Higher end where I am at. 250 degree wind will hammer GR. This is just with a WWA, I'm assuming if things play out we will go to WSW, but man GR is soooo conservative. I thought it would change, but nope. 5-10" of snow in 24 hours with 20-40 mph winds won't give us a watch or a warning? Especially with virtually no snowstorms this year yet? I bet Jaster has some words for this lol 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted February 3, 2021 Report Share Posted February 3, 2021 18z RDPS 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted February 3, 2021 Report Share Posted February 3, 2021 my grids dropped from 1-3" for tomorrow to less than 1/2". 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted February 3, 2021 Report Share Posted February 3, 2021 DVN calling for 1-2" here in my point forecast. I don't think a single model is that low, but that is what they are going with. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted February 3, 2021 Report Share Posted February 3, 2021 Clouds approaching from the west after a fantastic day. 35 fairly calm wind and sunshine. Got an extra face cord of wood stacked for this next week. Cleaned up the driveway a bit and got everything snug. Let's see how this goes, but sure looks like 8-10" here with maybe a bit of lake effect added on before -22 Sunday night. Trails will be spectacular with this wet snow and frigid temps to set it up. If anyone wants to ride this next week will be pretty darn great. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted February 3, 2021 Report Share Posted February 3, 2021 I accept the 18z run of the GFS. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted February 3, 2021 Report Share Posted February 3, 2021 GFS not backing down on totals. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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