Rubus Leucodermis Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 2 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: LOTS and perhaps kittens or other furry woodland creatures. How about pictures of daffodils and tulips? 1 It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 00z GFS. We have lift off! Initialization HR 0 (Past 12 runs) 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 1 minute ago, umadbro said: Looks like the 12z Euro was on to something. How? The NAM and ICON are both better than the 18z. Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 Surprised no one mentioned the JMA. It looks kold and snowee, but still on 12z. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 1 minute ago, nwsnow said: I'll gladly take that ICON instead of a low racing north and wiping out the cold. Hopefully 00z GFS will hold firm or suppress things a bit further. Probably wishful thinking but clearly the models are still all over the place. Will disregard the disgusting 00z NAM since no one should really trust the NAM at 84 hrs. The NAM had heights suppressed compared to the 18z. Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 1 minute ago, nwsnow said: I'll gladly take that ICON instead of a low racing north and wiping out the cold. Hopefully 00z GFS will hold firm or suppress things a bit further. Probably wishful thinking but clearly the models are still all over the place. Will disregard the disgusting 00z NAM since no one should really trust the NAM at 84 hrs. Me too. I just have ZERO faith in the ICON. It has been literally all over the place. Just crazy bad. Much worse than the GFS or ECMWF. 5 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulb/eugene Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 did anyone mention the JMA? Shows lots of moisture over southern half of Oregon with cold air 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 1 minute ago, snow_wizard said: How? The NAM and ICON are both better than the 18z. The NAM shows some snow on Thursday morning for us... but that is bad situation at 84 hours. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 1 minute ago, snow_wizard said: The NAM had heights suppressed compared to the 18z. Dude. 1 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MWG Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 7 minutes ago, FroYoBro said: We might need a lot of puppy pictures tonight. Here we go! He is not a puppy but his face is most of the people in the forum right now. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 Will the end of the week look like this... Or like that.... The 0z GFS will answer all of our questions! 2 1 1 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 1 minute ago, TT-SEA said: Me too. I just have ZERO faith in the ICON. It has been literally all over the place. Just crazy bad. Much worse than the GFS or ECMWF. Agree, and as fun as the GEM's crazy arctic outbreak looks...we all know the odds of that verifying are pretty close to 0. I think it does mostly come down to ECMWF vs GFS now. GEM will cave tomorrow if it doesn't by tonight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 Just now, MossMan said: Will the end of the week look like this... Or like that.... The 0z GFS will answer all of our questions! Your dogs don't care either way. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 1 minute ago, TT-SEA said: Dude. Where’s my car 1 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulb/eugene Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 Turning to snow here now. 8 1 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 GFS does have a bit more energy breaking off to the north, leading to the idea of a slightly warmer run. Byt we saw how cold the 18z was anyways, so this might not be that bad for many... 2 Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chewbacca Defense Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 12 minutes ago, FroYoBro said: We might need a lot of puppy pictures tonight. Here we go! Ask and ye shall receive 3 2 2 1 Britton Rd Bellingham Weather Station: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWABELLI103?cm_ven=localwx_pwsdash Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 GFS 00z is running. Primary focus will be on the low over the Northwestern Territories and the speed of its evolution as it moves south. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 Pivotal stopped lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 6 minutes ago, paulb/eugene said: did anyone mention the JMA? Shows lots of moisture over southern half of Oregon with cold air Looks good. We usually turn to the JMA when the event is on life support though. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 4 minutes ago, paulb/eugene said: I like the OTH-GEG -30mb gradient 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 18 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: Oh god ICON knows what’s up there’s no turning back save yourselves Lol, thank you for that ! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 Just now, DJ Droppin said: Pivotal stopped lol Per usual. IMO this will be a warmer run as a whole, but not a total washout. And even if it were, it's really too early to say anything definitive. 1 Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulb/eugene Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 00z no change at 15h 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 Just now, nwsnow said: Looks good. We usually turn to the JMA when the event is on life support though. The Euro is the only model that's warm. The NAM doesn't count cause it just sucks anyway Who put it on life support? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 4 minutes ago, Chewbacca Defense said: Ask and ye shall receive Dog version of Phil. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 54/13 today at KLMT. In the first week warm highs are not as common as late Feb. On 02/25/2014 I remember almost reaching 70. 1 Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 19 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 GFS is slightly lagging with the upper low over Canada compared to 18z out to 36hr. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 Can we all calm down, the GFS and Euro aren't even out, when have the NAM or ICON been reliable models? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulb/eugene Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 Just now, paulb/eugene said: 00z no change at 15h 21h...no change 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 5 minutes ago, Chewbacca Defense said: Ask and ye shall receive Sadly, it looks better than most of the runs. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 1 minute ago, Timmy_Supercell said: 54/13 today at KLMT. In the first week warm highs are not as common as late Feb. On 02/25/2014 I remember almost reaching 70. That's funny because there was about a foot of snow on the ground in Bellingham that day. 1 1 Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 This will probably be a great run given people are already saying its worse at hour 18. 2 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 Jeez. I go to the bathroom real fast, and then it starts running like its on steroids. Day 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 2 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said: That's funny because there was about a foot of snow on the ground in Bellingham that day. I'm assuming any snow at the end of that February wasn't nearly as regional as Feb 6-7? The east sides were totally bare down here. I had a few inches from the big one earlier. Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 19 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 Day 2.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 By 63hr, things are speeding up a bit and now a little ahead of 18z and 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 8 minutes ago, Chewbacca Defense said: Ask and ye shall receive Same tongue action. Happens when their teeth fall out My daughter rescued this lightweight dog (Moe) many moons ago and nursed him back to life. He selected me as the head of the pack! 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 Cutoff over the Pacific further north, but on the 18z it was barely good enough for Portland, so it might not be too bad... Cutting it close though. LOTS of uncertainty with this feature. 2 Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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