February 2021 PacNW Weather Discussion

[Requiem]

Still think PDX gets some snow as temps cool off, but this run seems better than the 06Z at least.

[TacomaWaWx]

Not a great trend for PDX. Still good for western WA. Temps look slightly warmer to start but then cool down by Hr66. Still would be good enough for snow. 

[Kolk1604]

2 days away we have to be confident right? Friday 4 am, temps upper 20s. 

[Cloud]

12 minutes ago, wxmet said:

I’m going out later after the 12z Euro to stock up. Do not want to be in the grocery stores when they finally issue that Winter Storm Watch.

Good idea, probably gonna do that too before the media sends the words out and there’s a mad rush to the stores.

[wxmet]

Things eventually cool down for PDX

 

[TacomaWaWx]

Not even a major shift north at all by any means but definitely a bit more north. I don’t really see this system shifting too much more at this point as were now ~48 hours out. Probably time to hit the stores and stock up. 

[Kolk1604]

*Switching to Kuchera*

Friday 10 am Snow increasing, Temps falling

[Kolk1604]

3 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said:

Not a great trend for PDX. Still good for western WA. Temps look slightly warmer to start but then cool down by Hr66. Still would be good enough for snow. 

Dew points looks to be upper 20s at the start. Temps marginal, but with those Dew points should still be good. 

[wxmet]

ECMWF and GFS low track is very similar just that the GFS is colder.

[Cloud]

Tacoma/Olympus south looks to get clobbered. That generally area may be the clear winner.

[Perturbed Member]

Pretty much no snow in PDX from the first low now. Nearly completely warm nosed. 48 more hours to turn this into an entirely ZR or plain rain event.

[Kolk1604]

And 4 pm Friday. Much more than the 00z. Wonder how the weekend will look 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Kind of funny people run out to the store for a two day event. But to each their own. I'm sure virtual classes will be canceled Friday. lol

[Omegaraptor]

I am not liking this at all. Quite a bit warmer in the Portland metro than the last two runs.

[SouthHillFrosty]

1 minute ago, Kolk1604 said:

*Switching to Kuchera*

Friday 10 am Snow increasing, Temps falling

Wow just through friday morning. This could be a good run. I do not like that Portland is being left out tho.

[awright-31]

And just like that, they begin to bite.

[umadbro]

Rug pulling begins, won't be long before Saturdays event is just plain rain. Seen this too many times.

[TacomaWaWx]

Just now, Cloud said:

Tacoma/Olympus south looks to get clobbered. That generally area may be the clear winner.

Where’s Olympus? Lol yeah seems like the south sound may do pretty good and make up for last years debacle. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Olympia is in a good spot. Beautiful area. 

[Perturbed Member]

Gross

[paulb/eugene]

With 925mb and 850mb temps above zero, looks like ice for Portland.  South winds work way north to Salem by Friday morning.  
I hope the Euro is right 

[GobBluth]

Just now, Kolk1604 said:

And 4 pm Friday. Much more than the 00z. Wonder how the weekend will look 

No snow for Portland on Friday 4am to 4pm? 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Honestly, if you live in the Seattle area, don't feel bad about PDX/Oregon getting left out. It happens. Enjoy your snow and ignore our whining. 

[TacomaWaWx]

Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Kind of funny people run out to the store for a two day event. But to each their own. I'm sure virtual classes will be canceled Friday. lol

It’s other people panic rushing to the store that makes me want to make sure I’ve got stuff for a couple days. Tbh I doubt this event lasts into next week...probably will be some decent travel issues Thursday-Sunday though. 

[wxmet]

Saturday system incoming

 

[Omegaraptor]

If I don't get snow I guess the consolation prize is being able to go to Mt Hood on Saturday where it will be in the single digits. Temps there still looking very cold for our modern climate.

[wxmet]

Totals by Saturday morning

 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just now, TacomaWaWx said:

It’s other people panic rushing to the store that makes me want to make sure I’ve got stuff for a couple days. Tbh I doubt this event lasts into next week...probably will be some decent travel issues Thursday-Sunday though. 

I know and folks in the lowlands aren't used to it. It just makes me smile because I drive up and down a giant hill in the snow all winter some years. 

[jakerepp]

1 minute ago, wxmet said:

Saturday system incoming

 

Might need to call my Dr. about this one.

[Cloud]

2 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said:

Where’s Olympus? Lol yeah seems like the south sound may do pretty good and make up for last years debacle. 

You know where  

im on mobile at work monitoring this so it autocorrects  

[SouthHillFrosty]

Can we all agree that we are happy that is centered Seattle South? Revenge for last year

[Deweydog]

Euro trying to go back a bit more of a cyclogenic dynamic.  SW’erly flow aloft is much stronger going into Saturday.

[awright-31]

1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Olympia is in a good spot. Beautiful area. 

Yep, I run a FB page in Olympia with 60,000+ followers and began to put the word out this morning after seeing the overnight runs. I’ve seen enough, I am anticipating quite the event.

[TacomaWaWx]

We’re 48-72 hours out...things probably aren’t going to dramatically change from what we’re seeing on the models currently. Even before these runs lots of the Seattle Mets and the NWS SEA seemed onboard. 

[SeanNyberg]

With the GFS falling in line this morning I did send out a message to my friends saying that if...
1. You can't/hate driving in any amount of snow, and
2. You have prescriptions or food that you must have, and
3. You were planning to get those Thursday or Friday...

then, you should think about getting that errand done today or tomorrow morning. LOL

But I am sure all they heard was "Sean said Snowpocalypse!!!!" lol

[Kolk1604]

2 minutes ago, GobBluth said:

No snow for Portland on Friday 4am to 4pm? 

Looks like that changes Friday night. Looks like it starts as freezing rain 

[Requiem]

Actually doesn't look that bad. Seems like a January 1998 type event though with a very defined gradient.

[MWG]

8 minutes ago, Kolk1604 said:

Crucial 12z Euro Right now! In the meantime 12z GEFS 

Can you post for....I'm kidding! 

[snow drift]

9 minutes ago, dolt said:

Get yours today. Supplies are limited. Sorry no CODs.

[Omegaraptor]

NWS forecast temps for Timberline Lodge on Saturday are 8/1. Actually colder than the 13/4 forecast at Meadows, I thought Meadows might get colder because it's on the east side of Hood. Will go if I can.