snow drift Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 1 minute ago, DJ Droppin said: Day 8 This isn't bad. The torch ends 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 1 minute ago, DJ Droppin said: Now imagine if that ridge was amplified. Better than nothing 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 Flat. 2 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 Day 9'er 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 2 minutes ago, Phil said: Flat. Yep, our little ridge still has a training bra. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 Call me crazy, but I don't hate the EURO. 3 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Call me crazy, but I don't hate the EURO. No complaints here. I'll take it. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Call me crazy, but I don't hate the EURO. Definite improvements with the 12z and now 00z runs. 6z GFS in 2 hours 43 minutes 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 @snow_wizard I think you'll like this run, Jim. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 It's always nice to see the EURO showing a nice run or improvements far more than the GFS. There is that. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 6 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 Day 10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 00z ECMWF 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 1 minute ago, DJ Droppin said: 00z ECMWF 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals Yup showing some snow around day 8 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 I hope we can all agree this at least looks promising. That finish on the GFS was incredible. On the ECMWF, late in the run, it shows a gigantic ridge over over Eastern Asia and the NW Pacific that would force a very deep trough over the Central Pacific and likely a high amp ridge over the GOA. 4 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 1 minute ago, snow_wizard said: I hope we can all agree this at least looks promising. That finish on the GFS was incredible. On the ECMWF, late in the run, it shows a gigantic ridge over over Eastern Asia and the NW Pacific that would force a very deep trough over the Central Pacific and likely a high amp ridge over the GOA. I'm cautiously optimistic. Still a long ways to go. 5 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 Well I am exhausted, so going to bed early. I have to get more sleep. I may be here for 12z runs, the improved 12z runs that is! Wishful thinking. Cautiously optimistic, but can't quite pull the MBG out of the bag. C'MON!!!! Have a great night all. 12z GFS in 8 hours 27 minutes 12z ECMWF in 10 hours 37 minutes 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: I hope we can all agree this at least looks promising. That finish on the GFS was incredible. On the ECMWF, late in the run, it shows a gigantic ridge over over Eastern Asia and the NW Pacific that would force a very deep trough over the Central Pacific and likely a high amp ridge over the GOA. I'm down! Temps went up abit compared to the 12z. Let's see if they drop again next run 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 7 minutes ago, Kolk1604 said: I'm down! Temps went up abit compared to the 12z. Let's see if they drop again next run At least the basic pattern evolution seems to be more in focus now, and it looks decent. I'm sure those lows will be frosty away from the big cities. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 Let's hope this is just the beginning of some fun model runs and observed weather ahead. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 FWIW the GFS extended ensemble from yesterday's 0z (it's not updated until late the following day) showed huge promise for early January. I would love to see January perform this winter. 4 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 I'll take one order of the 18z CFS please. That was one insane run! Sustained deep cold for weeks. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 10 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: FWIW the GFS extended ensemble from yesterday's 0z (it's not updated until late the following day) showed huge promise for early January. I would love to see January perform this winter. I'm sure January will deliver...in 2027 or so. 1 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 00z EPS = flat flat flat. 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 Windy! 57 degrees. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 Winter of the century? 1 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skagit Weather Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 Picked up 0.5" on Saturday to bring the monthly total to 9.45". Looks like still another 2-3" incoming. Can confirm that everything is quite soggy. 1 Quote Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 PDX couldn’t get its sh*t in one bag before midnight to set a new record high for the 27th, but at the stroke of midnight they won the 28th! 3 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 lol 55 @12:20am is this Houston? 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 24 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said: lol 55 @12:20am is this Houston? The new normal. 52F and partly cloudy. Pretty stars to the south at least. Still beyond ready to move. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted November 28, 2021 Author Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 Holy +AO hell... Difficult to sustain such prolific, widespread midlatitude ridging. Positive height anomalies between 30-60°N at nearly all longitudes. Not even Fairbanks is scoring cold. Only Siberia and Baffin Island. Maybe extreme NNE US. As I said, hell. 2 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted November 28, 2021 Author Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 WTF 1999-00... 2 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 1933-34 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted November 28, 2021 Author Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 Anyways here's this 33°F thumping at hr 378 2 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smerfylicious Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 It's a tad breezy in Seattle atm. Nice 20mph gusts. Must be part 2 moving in. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Blob Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 57 at work Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smerfylicious Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 That 6z was a pretty good run! 4 shots of snow starting ~hour 168. I'd be looking at a foot in the clown range. Nice n chilly too! 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Blob Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 Nice defined line on my way home 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 Western WA was one of the warmest places in the entire country overnight... 1 1 1 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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