bainbridgekid Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 Will be interesting to see if the Euro has anything remotely close to the GFS's Saturday and Monday snowy systems. Unlikely IMO since the GEM had us nowhere close but we will know in a few minutes. 2 Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skagit Weather Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 54 minutes ago, SalemDuck said: Final snow map... 20" of snow up here and not a single subfreezing high? Hmmm...for some reason I have my doubts. Although I guess it would make for a lot of good snowman making weather! 0.23" on the day so far. 2 Quote Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 12Z ECMWF trending snowier for Saturday now as well... 4 1 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 Bastardi just posted a few hours ago on Wxbell the upcoming forecasted strat warm for mid december bringing 84-85 into the mix for analogs. I was born in 84 so I don't remember this winter but holy the anomaly maps they show are ridiculous for January. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 1 minute ago, TT-SEA said: 12Z ECMWF trending snowier for Saturday now as well... Got my wife's christmas party Saturday in Seattle. Could get interesting 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 2 minutes ago, Snownerd3000 said: Bastardi just posted a few hours ago on Wxbell the upcoming forecasted strat warm for mid december bringing 84-85 into the mix for analogs. I was born in 84 so I don't remember this winter but holy the anomaly maps they show are ridiculous for January. That winter was one of the colder ones for the region in the last few decades. Very good December and early February. January 1985 was very chilly, but mostly fake cold and was the driest on record regionally. Also a very wet November that year. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 8 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: 12Z ECMWF trending snowier for Saturday now as well... Might have to trend north up to orcas island if we keep getting these runs with low snow levels. 2 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 Euro looking warmer for Sunday Monday 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 2 minutes ago, BLI snowman said: That winter was one of the colder ones for the region in the last few decades. Very good December and early February. January 1985 was very chilly, but mostly fake cold and was the driest on record regionally. Also a very wet November that year. Where do I sign up? 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 5 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said: Euro looking warmer for Sunday Monday 00Z run showed low 50s in Seattle on Monday... 12Z run shows mid 40s. So actually trending cooler at the surface. 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 OMG the EURO is awful. Hard to get excited about the GFS when the EURO shows absolute garbage. 2 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GobBluth Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 Euro hinting at a Hudson Bay low locked in. West coast torching forever! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 Total snow per 12Z ECMWF through next Tuesday... 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 1 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 Froyobro is SHOCKED by these morning developments 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Total snow per 12Z ECMWF through next Tuesday... Trending towards the GFS! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 2 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowWillarrive Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 8 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Total snow per 12Z ECMWF through next Tuesday... Euro moving in the direction of the superior GFS. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 11 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: OMG the EURO is awful. Hard to get excited about the GFS when the EURO shows absolute garbage. Yup. Tomorrow is December, there's no snow below 7k on Bachelor and no start to the ski season in sight agreed upon by models. Starting to get worried. PDX has also tied or broken 3 daily temp records in a row. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SalemDuck Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 The Euro is definitely not agreeing with the GFS on the Sunday-Monday trough but it's definitely trended it to the SW, while amplifying the ridging. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 Just now, Omegaraptor said: Yup. Tomorrow is December, there's no snow below 7k on Bachelor and no start to the ski season in sight agreed upon by models. Starting to get worried. PDX has also tied or broken 3 daily temp records in a row. What the GFS shows would be terrific... Just needs to happen. 4 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 Oregon WRF map. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 The JMA is not on-board 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 51 minutes ago, Snownerd3000 said: Bastardi just posted a few hours ago on Wxbell the upcoming forecasted strat warm for mid december bringing 84-85 into the mix for analogs. I was born in 84 so I don't remember this winter but holy the anomaly maps they show are ridiculous for January. well if he said it, I take back what I said earlier lol. def not going to happen now, or if it does he'll beat the chest for "east coast, east coast' 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 10 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Oregon WRF map. man i haven't had acid like that since the early 90s 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 Just now, Phishy Wx said: well if he said it, I take back what I said earlier lol. def not going to happen now, or if it does he'll beat the chest for "east coast, east coast' Oh he's def east coast biased. But the analog of 84-85 would be amazing and what he showed looked compelling regarding the strat warm in Dec lining up with what happened in Dec 84. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 Unfortunately it looks like the GFS is trying to go it alone... 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 Just now, Snownerd3000 said: Oh he's def east coast biased. But the analog of 84-85 would be amazing and what he showed looked compelling regarding the strat warm in Dec lining up with what happened in Dec 84. Cold February/March incoming. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 2 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said: well if he said it, I take back what I said earlier lol. def not going to happen now, or if it does he'll beat the chest for "east coast, east coast' I had to do it 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 Now this is interesting. Look at how close those are on the 9th. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 I have a feeling February and March are going to deliver big time up here... 2 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: I have a feeling February and March are going to deliver big time up here... Giving up on January already? 1 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 Euro still looks like a progressive +EPO mess to me right through the end. Luckily it's been balls for most of the year. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellsworb Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 Come On GooFuS! 1 1 Quote East Shore of Lake Tapps Bonney Lake, WA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 Still no fuckkin' snow on Bachelor. Anybody able to take me up there for some "winter" hiking? May as well enjoy the views if there's not gonna be any snow. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 1 hour ago, Snownerd3000 said: Bastardi just posted a few hours ago on Wxbell the upcoming forecasted strat warm for mid december bringing 84-85 into the mix for analogs. I was born in 84 so I don't remember this winter but holy the anomaly maps they show are ridiculous for January. It was super cold into the center of the country. January was a massive inversion up here in Spokane. We kept snowcover for 2-3 months. 2016-17 was kind of similar. I feel like it's a mistake to use analogs like 1984-85, because the climate is warmer now. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 9 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: Giving up on January already? No not really... I think January has the best potential for the lowlands. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 1 minute ago, snow drift said: It was super cold into the center of the country. January was a massive inversion up here in Spokane. We kept snowcover for 2-3 months. 2016-17 was kind of similar. I feel like it's a mistake to use analogs like 1984-85, because the climate is warmer now. I mean that is basically true of any year when trying to find an analog. What's the cutoff for you when searching for analog years? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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