Snownerd3000 Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 1 minute ago, hawkstwelve said: Not sure if it was posted already but the 12z EPS looked nice around mid month. Think it was but nice to see it again Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 Horrible! Deveststing Trends! Winter Cancel! 6 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 1 hour ago, snow drift said: It was super cold into the center of the country. January was a massive inversion up here in Spokane. We kept snowcover for 2-3 months. 2016-17 was kind of similar. I feel like it's a mistake to use analogs like 1984-85, because the climate is warmer now. Nice to see another person on here from Spokane. Moved here about a year and half ago from Bonney Lake WA. The long time local told me last winter was very mild and mellow here compared to usual. It appears this year is starting off similarly? Thanks, as I am still learning the weather here, as I had my old location down, but starting over here. Praying for a white Christmas! 3 Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 18z icon looking much more suppressed with that Saturday system 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 52 minutes ago, Snownerd3000 said: I have no idea how to read a 10mb map but isn't this showing a sudden warming over Canada? That’s a Canadian warming. 10mb PV itself is actually much stronger than average, but displaced onto the Eurasian side of the pole. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 11 minutes ago, Snownerd3000 said: That is one positive AO. Good news though is NAO goes positive when PNA and EPO look to go negative Would help to have some blocking in the arctic at least (Eurasian side) such that more of the TPV bleeds into North America. If it’s just a monster +AO that hurts the prospects of arctic cold, all else being equal. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 Member 41 is on what the GFS is on 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 4 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: 12z EPS control run looked nice as well. I feel like more models are starting to look nice for mid month than not. They either are or they aren’t. Nothing to “feel”. 1 1 6 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 11 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: Horrible! Deveststing Trends! Winter Cancel! those Canadian Rockies sure stick up like a thorn. 9/10 that all slides east of most of us. Gotta hope for some backdoor action Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 13 minutes ago, luvssnow_seattle said: Nice to see another person on here from Spokane. Moved here about a year and half ago from Bonney Lake WA. The long time local told me last winter was very mild and mellow here compared to usual. It appears this year is starting off similarly? Thanks, as I am still learning the weather here, as I had my old location down, but starting over here. Praying for a white Christmas! I'm out in LL, but I'm incognito and you can't seeee meeee. I've been here since May 2018. winters have been pretty meh compared to the climate record from what I can gather. 18-19 wasn't terrible but I came from Socal via the southeast US so Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 3 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said: those Canadian Rockies sure stick up like a thorn. 9/10 that all slides east of most of us. Gotta hope for some backdoor action Doesn't take much for us East of the Cascades. Even normal temps gives me snow in December, though a couple of degrees below normal helps. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 Poor Tim. 1 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 9 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said: I'm out in LL, but I'm incognito and you can't seeee meeee. I've been here since May 2018. winters have been pretty meh compared to the climate record from what I can gather. 18-19 wasn't terrible but I came from Socal via the southeast US so Great to meet you, and thanks for the info. I was not asking to meet you, I have been on this forum since 2014 and have not met anyone here nor asked. I am up in North Spokane currently but own property up in Chewelah and hope to build up there in the next year or two. Unless the world goes to hell in a hand basket under our current leaders. We shall see! Again nice to meet you and look forward to reading your posts on here. 1 1 Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 13 minutes ago, Kolk1604 said: Member 41 is on what the GFS is on Nice average tbh. I would take that 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 18 minutes ago, luvssnow_seattle said: Nice to see another person on here from Spokane. Moved here about a year and half ago from Bonney Lake WA. The long time local told me last winter was very mild and mellow here compared to usual. It appears this year is starting off similarly? Thanks, as I am still learning the weather here, as I had my old location down, but starting over here. Praying for a white Christmas! Things are starting out extremely mild this year. Tomorrow should be close to 60. Highs should be in the 30s. You would have really enjoyed 2016-17. It was a good old fashioned winter. It put me in mind of 1984-85. Feb-Mar 2019 was another really good wintry period. Maybe this year starts out slow. Who knows, right? 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 3 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Nice average tbh. I would take that I'll take the control 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 13 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said: I'm out in LL, but I'm incognito and you can't seeee meeee. I've been here since May 2018. winters have been pretty meh compared to the climate record from what I can gather. 18-19 wasn't terrible but I came from Socal via the southeast US so February to March 2019 was really good. Otherwise mild has been the overall theme. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 Interesting ICON. To bad there is no cold air to work with in that first system. Takes a good track for W. Washington. Looks like that 2nd one is primed to come in further south too. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 https://twitter.com/Volcanoes_NPS/status/1465793743018020866?s=20 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 CFS kind of sucks for the next couple of weeks, but then delivers for Christmas. 3 1 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 3 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said: https://twitter.com/Volcanoes_NPS/status/1465793743018020866?s=20 Whoa that's cool. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 5 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Interesting ICON. To bad there is no cold air to work with in that first system. Takes a good track for W. Washington. Looks like that 2nd one is primed to come in further south too. Solid track for sure, just no cold air like you say. This would be close though IMO. 1 Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 CFS gunna drop snow on Vegas before most of us. lol 1 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 Ok GFS. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 7 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said: Solid track for sure, just no cold air like you say. This would be close though IMO. This shows it a bit weaker than the GFS. We really need some heavier precipitation rates 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 18z coming colder with the Saturday system. Nice. Weak low coming on onshore around Lincoln City. Maybe even a little snow on Mt. Hood. 3 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: 18z coming colder with the Saturday system. Nice. Weak low coming on onshore around Lincoln City. Maybe even a little snow on Mt. Hood. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: 18z coming colder with the Saturday system. Nice. Weak low coming on onshore around Lincoln City. Maybe even a little snow on Mt. Hood. I don't see any snow eating southerly gradients, it could happen with good dew points and precipitation rates. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 1 minute ago, 12345WeatherNerd said: I don't see any snow eating southerly gradients, it could happen with good dew points and precipitation rates. Yeah, that low is coming in way south of the Puget Sound. 4 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 A fairly chilly upper level airmass by Saturday evening on this run... 4 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Christensen87 Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 Wow, snow on Saturday now? And this is before the stronger low bringing more snow later Sunday/Monday. Nice! 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 The Monday system is coming in further south. Going to be a snowy run. 4 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 12/14/16 redux? 8 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: The Monday system is coming in further south. Going to be a snowy run. 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 Just a little different... just a little bit. 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 18z GEFS Day 6 (Past 4 runs) Interesting trend with the offshore ridge Day 5-6 to open the door for colder systems from the north. Hmmm.... 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 3 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said: Just a little different... just a little bit. would lean King over Druncle 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 Everybody gets some snow! 4 2 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 Kuchera rates because let's be real. 10:1 just for fun... 2 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 next 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.