gusky Posted January 3, 2022 Report Share Posted January 3, 2022 Conditions are NOT looking up good for snow at BFI or SEA. I still have serious doubts that this could produce any meaningful accumulations for Seattle metro area 1 1 Quote My Weather Station: https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/b415ff35b2d13f00c899051028f04466 Located in North Seattle, elevation ~150ft. Highest temperature ever recorded is 110.3, lowest is 14.5. My Twitter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 3, 2022 Report Share Posted January 3, 2022 4 minutes ago, dhoffine said: Winds just got crazy in Enumclaw... huge gusts. You're right on the east wind / south wind contact zone. I hope it stays south of here. Want to preserve my cold daily average, and of course increase my snow chances. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 3, 2022 Report Share Posted January 3, 2022 4 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: Thunder snow again!!!! 3 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 3, 2022 Report Share Posted January 3, 2022 Such a strange evening... 43 in Bellingham, 45 in Forks, 47 in Hoquiam, 50 in Enumclaw, and thunder snow on the Kitsap Peninsula! 3 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted January 3, 2022 Report Share Posted January 3, 2022 Hard to track things in the West with so much unfolding in the East. But I'm glad to see reports of thundersnow on the Kitsap Peninsula where temperatures are in the low to mid 30s. Definitely too warm in the Seattle metro and rates probably won't be enough to overcome the warm air advection. Those above 500' in the metro may see a period of snow or rain/snow mix before changing over to rain. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 3, 2022 Report Share Posted January 3, 2022 3 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: Well well, look who's starting to change their tune... OMG. Like it hasn't been well advertised. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joelgombiner Posted January 3, 2022 Report Share Posted January 3, 2022 1 minute ago, gusky said: Conditions are NOT looking up good for snow at BFI or SEA. I still have serious doubts that this could produce any meaningful accumulations for Seattle metro area This is still on track. The GFS shows temperatures dropping from 37 to 31 between now and 4 AM at Boing Field. 1 Quote Useful weather links Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Blob Posted January 3, 2022 Author Report Share Posted January 3, 2022 Feels nice outside 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 3, 2022 Report Share Posted January 3, 2022 Wal Mart is not onboard. 6 1 1 1 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Margaritaville Posted January 3, 2022 Report Share Posted January 3, 2022 Starting to see snowflakes here! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gusky Posted January 3, 2022 Report Share Posted January 3, 2022 Just now, joelgombiner said: This is still on track. The GFS shows temperatures dropping from 37 to 31 between now and 4 AM at Boing Field. I also highly doubt it will get below freezing for Seattle area tonight, GFS is overdoing temps and snow amounts tonight. 2 Quote My Weather Station: https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/b415ff35b2d13f00c899051028f04466 Located in North Seattle, elevation ~150ft. Highest temperature ever recorded is 110.3, lowest is 14.5. My Twitter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 3, 2022 Report Share Posted January 3, 2022 West coast warm finger up to here. Glad we got the snow earlier because this is really boring. 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RayRay Posted January 3, 2022 Report Share Posted January 3, 2022 Heavy snow now! Pure snow. Now we need that temperature to drop below 32.4 so we can form icicles! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted January 3, 2022 Report Share Posted January 3, 2022 Saw thundersnow back in January 2017 and February 2019. So fun when it does happen! Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 3, 2022 Report Share Posted January 3, 2022 39.0 now. Been bouncing around a bit, but has been dropping steadily over the past 30 minutes since the rain arrived. Any changeover here will not be until well after midnight. Mesoscale models pretty insistent on a major foothills snow event. NWS is saying 18" above 2000', but only 1-3" down here at 1600'. We'll see, average of the Hrrr, 3K Nam, HRW, FV3 is about 12" using the Kuchera method, which makes sense because ratios will definitely be lower than 10:1, probably more like 6:1 at best. 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 3, 2022 Report Share Posted January 3, 2022 2 minutes ago, gusky said: I also highly doubt it will get below freezing for Seattle area tonight, GFS is overdoing temps and snow amounts tonight. This is a pretty weird situation though. We'll see. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 3, 2022 Report Share Posted January 3, 2022 Langley Hill radar shows a lot more convective stuff coming. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 3, 2022 Popular Post Report Share Posted January 3, 2022 8 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: Well well, look who's starting to change their tune... And guess who is 600ft in kitsap 9 2 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 3, 2022 Report Share Posted January 3, 2022 3 minutes ago, MossMan said: Wal Mart is not onboard. My brother's old boss gave him and his wife kayaks for their wedding a few years back, they used them a few times, but decided they didn't need them after they had their baby and gave them to me this past September. SCORE! 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gusky Posted January 3, 2022 Report Share Posted January 3, 2022 4 minutes ago, wxmet said: Hard to track things in the West with so much unfolding in the East. But I'm glad to see reports of thundersnow on the Kitsap Peninsula where temperatures are in the low to mid 30s. Definitely too warm in the Seattle metro and rates probably won't be enough to overcome the warm air advection. Those above 500' in the metro may see a period of snow or rain/snow mix before changing over to rain. Agreed, DPs are not really low enough to sufficiently cool down the air in heavy precip. You're thinking no accumulation at all for Seattle metro? I was thinking an inch or so is still possible later. Quote My Weather Station: https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/b415ff35b2d13f00c899051028f04466 Located in North Seattle, elevation ~150ft. Highest temperature ever recorded is 110.3, lowest is 14.5. My Twitter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RayRay Posted January 3, 2022 Report Share Posted January 3, 2022 I think 1-3" for downtown. And higher amounts for 500 ft above. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 3, 2022 Report Share Posted January 3, 2022 Convection during an east wind outflow event. Never seen that before. 3 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted January 3, 2022 Report Share Posted January 3, 2022 4 minutes ago, gusky said: I also highly doubt it will get below freezing for Seattle area tonight, GFS is overdoing temps and snow amounts tonight. Makes me laugh when people just chose to outright not believe the models because they think they know better 2 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 3, 2022 Report Share Posted January 3, 2022 24 minutes ago, Hawksfan2008 said: OH MY That’s some serious bright banding. It’s snowin’ upstairs. 3 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 3, 2022 Report Share Posted January 3, 2022 Lost power got Gen going. Insane snow rates right now and had the 4th thunder snow 4 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 3, 2022 Report Share Posted January 3, 2022 1 minute ago, gusky said: Agreed, DPs are not really low enough to sufficiently cool down the air in heavy precip. You're thinking no accumulation at all for Seattle metro? I was thinking an inch or so is still possible later. We have falling 850s and 925s through the night on top of east wind cooling effect. Decent chances. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawksfan2008 Posted January 3, 2022 Report Share Posted January 3, 2022 Just now, snow_wizard said: Convection during an east wind outflow event. Never seen that before. I really have no idea what to expect. Precipitation rates certainly look heavy enough to overcome the east wind, even if just for a bit. I'll definitely be up to watch it! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted January 3, 2022 Report Share Posted January 3, 2022 As usual, this thread is alive and well. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skywatcher Posted January 3, 2022 Report Share Posted January 3, 2022 Now up to 37F, from 36F 15 mins ago, and 35F about 5-10 minutes before that. Quote Shred it! Greater Maple Valley area @ ~550' AGL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gusky Posted January 3, 2022 Report Share Posted January 3, 2022 Just now, Bryant said: Makes me laugh when people just chose to outright not believe the models because they think they know better GFS is pretty much the ONLY model predicting sub freezing temps... not claiming to have unique knowledge, I'm quite new to meteorology, but I'm basing this off of patterns that have been observed for a long time about the GFS. 1 Quote My Weather Station: https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/b415ff35b2d13f00c899051028f04466 Located in North Seattle, elevation ~150ft. Highest temperature ever recorded is 110.3, lowest is 14.5. My Twitter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted January 3, 2022 Report Share Posted January 3, 2022 48F here with the south winds gusting to over 30 mph. None of that sweet sweet gorge influence this far west. Should still be a pretty good dump of snow in the coast range though. Might take a drive out there later if the conditions look interesting later. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 3, 2022 Report Share Posted January 3, 2022 2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: Convection during an east wind outflow event. Never seen that before. We had thundersnow with a roaring east wind during the big event in February 2019. 3 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gusky Posted January 3, 2022 Report Share Posted January 3, 2022 1 minute ago, snow_wizard said: We have falling 850s and 925s through the night on top of east wind cooling effect. Decent chances. True, and I certainly hope that it's enough to drive the snow level down sufficiently. I doubt it, but I definitely want it. Quote My Weather Station: https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/b415ff35b2d13f00c899051028f04466 Located in North Seattle, elevation ~150ft. Highest temperature ever recorded is 110.3, lowest is 14.5. My Twitter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ArcticSnow Posted January 3, 2022 Report Share Posted January 3, 2022 1 minute ago, gusky said: GFS is pretty much the ONLY model predicting sub freezing temps... not claiming to have unique knowledge, I'm quite new to meteorology, but I'm basing this off of patterns that have been observed for a long time about the GFS. Will probably see a mix at best for most of the Central Puget Sound. 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted January 3, 2022 Report Share Posted January 3, 2022 3 minutes ago, gusky said: Agreed, DPs are not really low enough to sufficiently cool down the air in heavy precip. You're thinking no accumulation at all for Seattle metro? I was thinking an inch or so is still possible later. This isn’t an evaporative cooling based event so the high DP’s aren’t really an issue. Still super borderline no matter what but that isn’t where our cooling would come from. 2 Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 3, 2022 Report Share Posted January 3, 2022 2 minutes ago, Bryant said: Makes me laugh when people just chose to outright not believe the models because they think they know better Indeed. There are a lot of moving parts to this. Unlike anything I've seen quite frankly. Not your typical Seattle area warmup. In fact models show it may not top 40 after this evening until Thursday. Some places didn't even make 40 today. 3 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 3, 2022 Report Share Posted January 3, 2022 3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: We had thundersnow with a roaring east wind during the big event in February 2019. I was not aware of that. Incredible event out your way. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted January 3, 2022 Report Share Posted January 3, 2022 .26" rain in the last hour. Temp dropping steadily since 5:45 or so. Just looked outside and heavy rain with some very wet flakes mixed in. Quote Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joelgombiner Posted January 3, 2022 Report Share Posted January 3, 2022 We've dropped 3 degrees in an hour with 0.20" of precipitation here in North Seattle. This is vertical advection, with heavy precipitation dragging down cold air from higher levels. The GFS shows our wind swinging around to the SE overnight, which should help to bring in some cold air from the side as well :). Combine the two effects and we could get snow. The air is mostly saturated now so there's not much evaporative cooling going on. 1 Quote Useful weather links Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 3, 2022 Report Share Posted January 3, 2022 2 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said: This isn’t an evaporative cooling based event so the high DP’s aren’t really an issue. Still super borderline no matter what but that isn’t where our cooling would come from. I still think some aspects of this are like what happened in Portland a couple of weeks ago. Snowed due to heavy precip rates with VERY marginal mid level temps. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Posted by MR.SNOWMIZER,
28 reactions
Go to this post
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.