PNW January 2022, Contact Info for Phil

[RentonHill]

Unless the EPS is a major improvement over 12z my brain won’t let me sleep until we see 6z GEFS. 

[RentonHill]

Day 7 sembles

[RentonHill]

Day 9

[Gradient Keeper]

Of course another way to look at this is if the cut-off were handled differently Day 4-6 we could have gone into a cold pattern sooner around Day 7-8.

[RentonHill]

GEFS is full of shite EPS looks good 

[snow_wizard]

That is one pretty block being shown on the EPS.  A little different than the 12z, but a better look IMO.

[Gradient Keeper]

22 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

Unless the EPS is a major improvement over 12z my brain won’t let me sleep until we see 6z GEFS. 

What in the name of flying circus shitts is that thing?

6z GFS in 2 hours 4 minutes

[Brian_in_Leavenworth]

 

[snow_wizard]

This calls for a north Pacific view.  Sexy!

[RentonHill]

Looks fine vs 12z

[RentonHill]

[snow_wizard]

This EPS run certainly hints at snow.  A truly classic block.  Going to be some really good members I'm betting.

[Slushy Inch]

7 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

GEFS is full of shite EPS looks good 

Not much better

[Gradient Keeper]

1 minute ago, 12345WeatherNerd said:

Not much better

Not before Day 10, no, but after it definitely is.

[RentonHill]

EPS day 14 va 12z and GEFS

[snow_wizard]

I think a really major event is very much on the table given everything we've seen over the last couple of days.

[snow_wizard]

1 minute ago, RentonHillTC said:

EPS day 14 va 12z and GEFS

The one thing about this EPS is brings back the big N to S gradient again.  Obviously the GEFS tonight was out to lunch.

[Gradient Keeper]

We'll know by Wednesday 00z runs if this pattern comes together or not.

[RentonHill]

Just now, snow_wizard said:

The one thing about this EPS is brings back the big N to S gradient again.  Obviously the GEFS tonight was out to lunch.

SE ridge is nowhere on GEFS

[RentonHill]

[RentonHill]

2 hour nap  

[Cascadia_Wx]

44/39 day today mostly cloudy nice to go back to coolish conditions after one day of torching yesterday hopefully we get into a good inversion pattern this coming week

[Deweydog]

Down to 45 at PDX…

[ShawniganLake]

1 hour ago, snow_wizard said:

That positive center is money.  Right where it was in Jan 1950.

Dropped to -6F here in 1950.  I’d be pleased if we come within 20 degrees of that. 

[ShawniganLake]

30 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Down to 45 at PDX…

Hope everyone has their ice scrapers…. I mean squeegees handy for the morning 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Pretty mild in the Willamette Valley. Down to 33 up here at least. 

Just checked out the 00z CFS. Wall to wall blow torch through February.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

06z GFS could turn the mood around. Who knows?

[Slushy Inch]

So far on 6z, stronger ridging over Alaska might help push a trough out of BC towards us. 

[RentonHill]

2 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

06z GFS could turn the mood around. Who knows?

Maybe this is the models way of pushing us back to the 5-10 timeframe. GFS is garbage but GEFS looks like it might get cold again ? Straw grasping etc

[RentonHill]

Day 13 GEFS. Not quite as catastrophic as 00z

[Meatyorologist]

Yeah the 06z is kind of another notch worse. Here’s to the 12z...

[Tyler Mode]

Down to just 7 degrees above normal for the low this morning...brrrrrr  Haven't had a freeze since the 10th, and only 5 for the month.  Weenie post I know.

Spring is on the way though, the sun rises in Barrow today for the first time since November 19th!

[TT-SEA]

Was down to 31... now back up to 33 here.   Looks frosty out there with the moon shining and clear skies.

[BLI snowman]

GFS really went off the rails fast. Oh well.

[Timmy Supercell]

Hit 5 this morning, coldest of the season. This was only the 2nd low in the single digits, but I bet western KY has had temps below zero. 

[MossMan]

32 and frosty. 

[MossMan]

[Cascadia_Wx]

39 and mostly cloudy this morning east wind should clear things out later this afternoon maybe some frost in the coming nights 

[TacomaWaWx]

Usually Tacoma narrows is one of the colder spots but only got down to 39 there this morning. 36 here. 

[T-Town]

Foggy here. Hoping it burns off and we get some sun but this morning’s afd doesn’t have me too hopeful. Currently 40 degrees.