October 2019 Weather Discussion for the PNW

[TT-SEA]

No. I like cold by this time of year. I’m ignoring the warm stuff

 

Ahhh... excellent point!

 

Not that it matters... but Halloween is about the time I start cheering for colder than normal 850mb temps. That lasts for about 90 days.

[MossMan]

Chilly Halloween?

C5A8BDBF-F140-48F8-9758-71AF26D39C56.jpeg

Orrr...

[ShawniganLake]

Ahhh... excellent point!

 

Not that it matters... but Halloween is about the time I start cheering for colder than normal 850mb temps. That lasts for about 90 days.

In all honesty I was just noticing a trend there. I’m sure it’ll change again but that little cold camp wasn’t there yesterday

[ShawniganLake]

Orrr...

Good luck with that pipe dream. I’d be surprised if any type of dry, warm upper level pattern, establishes itself for more than a couple of days.

[Timmy Supercell]

Hasn’t Halloween been persistently wet at PDX in recent years? I think 11 out of the last 12 have recorded precipitation or something like that.

 

But actual Trick or Treating is usually dry. I can't remember that many years it was actually raining on our costumes.

[Guest CulverJosh]

You should check out Pinetop, AZ. An old Bothell buddy of mine lives there now and he loves it. Tons of snow.

[TT-SEA]

Good luck with that pipe dream. I’d be surprised if any type of dry, warm upper level pattern, establishes itself for more than a couple of days.

 

 

Surprising... because dry and warm is a very common scenario as we move into November.   

[TacomaWaWx]

I amazed at how the storms just splits apart in our area down here. Nice yellow bands of rain heading our way and Bam! Moses is there with his staff splitting the storm or it falls apart...... Ugh!!! Still awaiting some logical explanation to this effect in our area.

.02 as well here

It’s not always like that I think that happens in a lot of other places as well. I’ve noticed a few select areas around the sound that it seems to happen less often to however.

We also have gotten lucky on a lot of occasions here at my house so it evens out. Couple of examples would be last fall on 10/28 and 11/27 when we got slammed several times in one day by heavy rain/hail and thunderstorms. Also in February 2011 is the luckiest I’ve ever been here...7” of snow while in Seattle and auburn and a few areas to the south got nothing or only an inch or two. You just never know, I think it all balances out.

[MossMan]

https://komonews.com/weather/scotts-weather-blog/uw-weather-prof-blob-part-2-is-dying

 

https://komonews.com/weather/scotts-weather-blog/noaa-issues-winter-outlook-but-offers-few-clues-for-northwest

[Deweydog]

If I’m standing in a forest and it starts raining does that make it a rainforest?

 

Asking for a friend.

[TacomaWaWx]

I think this cell might have a chance of hitting the Tacoma area but we will see. Currently 54 degrees with 0.04” on the day so far.

[jakeinthevalley]

If I’m standing in a forest and it starts raining does that make it a rainforest?

 

Asking for a friend.

Temperate or tropical? Need more info

[MossMan]

If I’m standing in a forest and it starts raining does that make it a rainforest?

 

Asking for a friend.

Is it rain or a Bear peeing from a tree?

[Timmy]

I think it's fair to say Tim dreads the rain more than anyone here dreads sunshine.

have you met my friend Jesse???

[MossMan]

It’s not always like that I think that happens in a lot of other places as well. I’ve noticed a few select areas around the sound that it seems to happen less often to however.

We also have gotten lucky on a lot of occasions here at my house so it evens out. Couple of examples would be last fall on 10/28 and 11/27 when we got slammed several times in one day by heavy rain/hail and thunderstorms. Also in February 2011 is the luckiest I’ve ever been here...7” of snow while in Seattle and auburn and a few areas to the south got nothing or only an inch or two. You just never know, I think it all balances out.

February 2011 was awesome up here. Think I had 16” or so if I remember correctly.

[Timmy]

If I’m standing in a forest and it starts raining does that make it a rainforest?

 

Asking for a friend.

 

If rain falls in a forest and no one is there to see it does it count against our persistent drought?

[TacomaWaWx]

February 2011 was awesome up here. Think I had 16” or so if I remember correctly.

Yeah it was one of those rare occasions where we just got super lucky. My grandparents out in graham at 900’ elevation only had 3” and we had 7”, definitely wasn’t a uniform snow event. 2010-2011 was another great winter.

[Timmy Supercell]

February 2011 was awesome up here. Think I had 16” or so if I remember correctly.

 

Yeah I think that was overall my 2nd snowiest February next to 2019 in Klamath Falls. 2012 also had a good second half of winter right around the time we moved into downtown.

[Requiem]

Yeah it was one of those rare occasions where we just got super lucky. My grandparents out in graham at 900’ elevation only had 3” and we had 7”, definitely wasn’t a uniform snow event. 2010-2011 was another great winter.

I think my area in the West Hills got some snow, but I know the rest of Portland didn’t get much at sea level.

[TT-SEA]

No complaints about the 12Z ECMWF at day 10...

 

[Phil]

No complaints about the 12Z ECMWF at day 10...

 

Those claiming the blob/+PDO would be torpedoed by a few weeks of GOA ridging are gonna look pretty silly by the end of the month.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

No complaints about the 12Z ECMWF at day 10...

 

Next weekend looks nice. Great weather to do outdoor activities.

[Front Ranger]

Not true. Strawman!

 

A good mix is nice.

Both can be true.

[GHweatherChris]

Next weekend looks nice. Great weather to do outdoor activities.

Outdoor activities can be done in any weather, we went golfing in the rain this morning and it was really fun!!

[Jesse]

[TigerWoodsLibido]

February 2011 was awesome up here. Think I had 16” or so if I remember correctly.

 

No snow here but had a 36/19 day.  Was an impressively cold airmass.

[Front Ranger]

Around there. Ideally I would want to live at 1,000 or less but it's not possible there.

 

I'm going to be with the same company when I move so it was either Arizona or New Mexico and it was an easy decision. I'd have to live at 5,000+ feet in New Mexico so living a little over 1,000 feet in Arizona ain't so bad.

I don't know if you have a specific condition, but many people move here and have altitude sickness for a week or so, then their bodies acclimate and they're fine.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Outdoor activities can be done in any weather, we went golfing in the rain this morning and it was really fun!!

For some activities yeah. When it comes to fishing, I wish ice fishing was more common here in the PNW. Only done it a couple of times when the ice got thick enough but had a blast each time.

[Front Ranger]

have you met my friend Jesse???

Tim is easily more obsessed with avoiding rain than Jesse is with avoiding sunshine.

[TT-SEA]

For some activities yeah. When it comes to fishing, I wish ice fishing was more common here in the PNW. Only done it a couple of times when the ice got thick enough but had a blast each time.

 

 

Yeah... the golf courses are packed around here when its 45 degrees and dumping rain.  Impossible to get a tee time.   And just try to get a parking spot at the beach on a rainy, cold January day.     I also go skiing in July on dirt and grass when its 85 degrees... like everyone else around here of course.    

[TT-SEA]

Tim is easily more obsessed with avoiding rain than Jesse is with avoiding sunshine.

 

Makes no sense... we can't avoid either.    

[Jesse]

I don’t give two shits about avoiding sunshine. Sunny days are nice. They just aren’t the only kind of enjoyable weather to me.

[TT-SEA]

I would saying the cheering tendencies are pretty equal.   We can't avoid anything nature gives us unless we go on vacation.

 

Jesse is always cheering for cold and/or wet.   Always.  

 

I think normal is plenty cold and wet enough as it is around here... so I always happy with warm and dry.    Except from November - January when cold and dry or even cold and wet is fine with me.     

[Jesse]

Looks like the 12z Euro was a little closer/stronger with the clipper next week, at least compared to yesterday’s 12z.

 

GFS ensembles had a lot of promise as well.

[GHweatherChris]

Subtle md has commenced.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

I don't know if you have a specific condition, but many people move here and have altitude sickness for a week or so, then their bodies acclimate and they're fine.

I don't have any specific condition that I know of. Just always felt uneasy at higher altitudes. But you're right, I'd eventually get acclimated to the altitude with time. It just comes down to a personal preference of mine.

[Front Ranger]

Makes no sense... we can't avoid either.

You cheer endlessly for rainy patterns to not happen.

[Jesse]

Breezy out!

[Deweydog]

It’s a good thing we’re finally getting these preference issues ironed out.

[GHweatherChris]

It’s a good thing we’re finally getting these preference issues ironed out.

As a lawyer you should know there is a good chance someone will appeal and it will be drug out for years in court.