April 2022 (April 2008/2011 redux)

[Phil]

2 hours ago, ShawniganLake said:

Green tomato summer.  I know someone who got a little too eager and transplanted his seedlings into the garden already.  They died  

Tim?

[TT-SEA]

3 minutes ago, Phil said:

Tim?

We planted full tomato plants last weekend... they still look fine.    Although you really shouldn't put tomatoes out until mid-May in any year.     

[Phil]

2 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said:

Soil moisture improving on the eastside and in NE CA

I think it’s drier than that here. Wind was literally kicking up dust here yesterday. Soil is cracking, etc.

Including April we’ve had 6 consecutive drier than average months. Haven’t seen conditions like this since 2012.

[TT-SEA]

It was still dry last night at midnight here when I went to bed... picked up .40 overnight but the sun is peaking out now and the rain has stopped.

[TacomaWaWx]

0.57” in the last 12 hours not too bad. Enough to put us above average a bit for the month. 

[ShawniganLake]

Drizzling 46F. 0.65” of rain overnight 

[BLI snowman]

Very nice 12z GFS run. The nasty heat holds off until fantasyland.

[Phil]

35 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

Very nice 12z GFS run. The nasty heat holds off until fantasyland.

And I somewhat doubt that fantasyland heat will verify at all.

Edit: Or if it does I suspect it’ll be quickly followed by another discontinuous retrogression placing the anticyclone back in the NPAC.

[Timmy Supercell]

May will still somehow find a way to continue the stretch of warm ones that have happened the last 9 years in the northwest.

[Phil]

4 minutes ago, Timmy Supercell said:

May will still somehow find a way to continue the stretch of warm ones that have happened the last 9 years in the northwest.

Looks like your first legit severe chances of the season next Tuesday and Thursday (or Fri/Sat if the Euro is right). ⛈  

[Deweydog]

We just can’t win, guys…

https://www.cnn.com/2022/04/30/us/cow-burps-methane-space-climate-trnd/index.html

[Timmy Supercell]

33 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

We just can’t win, guys…

https://www.cnn.com/2022/04/30/us/cow-burps-methane-space-climate-trnd/index.html

 

[TT-SEA]

SEA is now at 38.50 inches for the water year... which is about the normal annual rainfall average there   The departure to date is about +5.60 inches.   

[RentonHill]

35 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

We just can’t win, guys…

https://www.cnn.com/2022/04/30/us/cow-burps-methane-space-climate-trnd/index.html

I thought seaweed solved this problem

[Phil]

1999 comes up 3 times on today’s D+11 update, with a healthy 2+ week date range.

[Phil]

Holy s**t. This is brutal.

 

[GHweatherChris]

[TigerWoodsLibido]

56F with the occasional shower.

[Kayla]

2 hours ago, Deweydog said:

We just can’t win, guys…

https://www.cnn.com/2022/04/30/us/cow-burps-methane-space-climate-trnd/index.html

We'd all win if we all went plant based!

[TT-SEA]

31 minutes ago, Phil said:

1999 comes up 3 times on today’s D+11 update, with a healthy 2+ week date range.

If we are going with 1999... let hope we get the nice periods too.   There was a 2-week stretch in the second half of May here that year when it only rained once and the peak temp was 80.   Then an 11-day stretch of dry weather in the middle of June with a peak temp of 90 degrees.     And some very long stretches of dry weather from July all the way through the end of October.    2019 was MUCH wetter here in the July-October period than 1999.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Monsoon conditions and temp down to 43. 0.80” of rain since midnight, 10.19” on the month. 

[TT-SEA]

Partly sunny here... its been pretty much dry since early this morning.    Flirting with 60 degrees now.  

[Phil]

20 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

If we are going with 1999... let hope we get the nice periods too.   There was a 2-week stretch in the second half of May here that year when it only rained once and the peak temp was 80.   Then an 11-day stretch of dry weather in the middle of June with a peak temp of 90 degrees.     And some very long stretches of dry weather from July all the way through the end of October.    2019 was MUCH wetter here in the July-October period than 1999.

There’ll almost certainly be multiple dry/ridgy periods this year. Can’t escape the 4CH influence entirely (and it’s likely to be beastly again unless something dramatic happens).

The few summers that were unwaveringly zonal up there all had the same configuration in the Pacific..narrow Hadley Cell and a weak east/west SST gradient across the equatorial band (basically, east-based +ENSO and +SPMM). Not the case this go around.

In fact I don’t know of any -ENSO summers that were persistently zonal across the NPAC?  In August, -ENSO summers actually average drier at SeaTac compared to +ENSO. It’s the first half of summer that tends to be troughy when -ENSO is healthy and well-communicated in the off-equator NPAC. 

[TT-SEA]

Pretty nice afternoon in Seattle... and looks like the cruise ships are back after a 2 year break.  

 

[T-Town]

61 and mostly sunny here. Nice day. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

44 with moderate rain. Up to 0.92” on the day. 

[snow drift]

All we can manage is 50 @ 3pm

[Anti Marine Layer]

2 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Monsoon conditions and temp down to 43. 0.80” of rain since midnight, 10.19” on the month. 

43 a bit chilly for the monsoon.

[Anti Marine Layer]

2 hours ago, Kayla said:

We'd all win if we all went plant based!

Save the elephants. Save the eagle's nests. Kill the cows.

[MossMan]

Phil!!!! What’s missing??? 

[Anti Marine Layer]

2 hours ago, Phil said:

Holy s**t. This is brutal.

 

[MossMan]

4 hours ago, RentonHillTC said:

I thought seaweed solved this problem

We are doing our part! 

[Anti Marine Layer]

3 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Phil!!!! What’s missing??? 

Snow?

[Phil]

4 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Phil!!!! What’s missing??? 

Do my eyes deceive me?!?!

Well done.  

[Phil]

Rainfall rates in those cells? @TT-SEA

[MossMan]

3 minutes ago, Phil said:

Do my eyes deceive me?!?!

Well done.  

Finally had some time to take it down! Pretty solid until about the top 15 feet or so. 

[TT-SEA]

3 minutes ago, Phil said:

Rainfall rates in those cells? @TT-SEA

Pretty minor.    Only rained for about 10 minutes.   

[Deweydog]

2 hours ago, Kayla said:

We'd all win if we all went plant based!

We’re doing our part! We have a big tri tip roast that’s going to be planting itself on its new smoker home base in a few minutes.

[Phil]

13 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Finally had some time to take it down! Pretty solid until about the top 15 feet or so. 

1st pic looks like insect damage. Were there tunnels in the vascular tissue or was the tree invaded because it was in poor health? 

[T-Town]

12 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

We’re doing our part! We have a big tri tip roast that’s going to be planting itself on its new smoker home base in a few minutes.

That’s one cow that won’t be producing any more methane. Thank you for your service.