Phil Posted May 11, 2022 Report Share Posted May 11, 2022 Just now, Cascadia_Wx said: The GEFS has a monthly? Can’t imagine it being much better than the CFS It’s no EPS, that’s for sure. But it’s at least a little more consistent than the CFS (which really isn’t saying much, lol). Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted May 11, 2022 Report Share Posted May 11, 2022 1 hour ago, MossMan said: You want it? It’s my half brother in laws and they are selling it. Been stored at my place for years since they have no parking for it at their place. DM me some details… 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted May 11, 2022 Report Share Posted May 11, 2022 7 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: 39 here this morning and 38 yesterday morning. 54 and mostly clear here currently DP 40. My lows have sucked here with this cold snap until today's 37. This area does great when it clears out though. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted May 11, 2022 Report Share Posted May 11, 2022 3 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said: We were blessed with an absolutely stunning day today. Mostly sunny and 61F with a nice breeze. Thank you lord. It didn't rain! Really lifted my spirits today. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted May 11, 2022 Report Share Posted May 11, 2022 14 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: I wasn't aware of that either. I would think it might have better skill than the CFS due to higher resolution. I thought everyone knew that. It gets posted here quite a bit during the winter. Run every day off the 0Z runs. And free on pivotalweather.com https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gefsens&p=500h_anom&rh=2022051000&fh=loop&r=na&dpdt=&mc= Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted May 11, 2022 Report Share Posted May 11, 2022 2 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: I thought everyone knew that. It gets posted here quite a bit during the winter. Run every day off the 0Z runs. And free on pivotalweather.com https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gefsens&p=500h_anom&rh=2022051000&fh=loop&r=na&dpdt=&mc= I was just looking at it again....and yeah....I did know about it. I thought they were talking about way out seasonal stuff. BTW...I was in the Liberty area last weekend and it was insanely cold. Just a way different year this time around. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted May 11, 2022 Report Share Posted May 11, 2022 It has only reached 60+ two days here so far this month. Pretty exceptional for May. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted May 11, 2022 Report Share Posted May 11, 2022 5 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: It didn't rain! Really lifted my spirits today. Everyone I crossed paths with today was in a great mood and commented on how nice it was to feel the suns warmth. 4 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted May 11, 2022 Report Share Posted May 11, 2022 13 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said: Everyone I crossed paths with today was in a great mood and commented on how nice it was to feel the suns warmth. You probably did not cross paths with the person who has this in his signature. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted May 11, 2022 Report Share Posted May 11, 2022 1 minute ago, Mr Marine Layer said: You probably did not cross paths with the person who has this in his signature. I was out in the sun on a hike all day. Got a little sunburnt actually. It was a nice day. 2 1 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted May 11, 2022 Report Share Posted May 11, 2022 26 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: I thought everyone knew that. It gets posted here quite a bit during the winter. Run every day off the 0Z runs. And free on pivotalweather.com https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gefsens&p=500h_anom&rh=2022051000&fh=loop&r=na&dpdt=&mc= We're still getting freezing temps overnight. Just doesn't feel like May. But great to still see snow on the mountains around us. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted May 11, 2022 Report Share Posted May 11, 2022 The way I see it, we're making up for that really dry ridgy mid Jan-late Mar period. And I swear to god if a certain someone quotes this with rainfall statistics, I will pry open my own eyes and rub into them a handful of powdered glass. Yes, I am aware we ended up "above normal." But no, the two weekends where AR's poured an entire month's average did not provide the same ecological benefit as a steady consistent supply of light precipitation. You know, climo. 1 2 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted May 11, 2022 Report Share Posted May 11, 2022 1 minute ago, Meatyorologist said: The way I see it, we're making up for that really dry ridgy mid Jan-late Mar period. And I swear to god if a certain someone quotes this with rainfall statistics, I will pry open my own eyes and rub into them a handful of powdered glass. Yes, I am aware we ended up "above normal." But no, the two weekends where AR's poured an entire month's average did not provide the same ecological benefit as a steady consistent supply of light precipitation. You know, climo. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted May 11, 2022 Report Share Posted May 11, 2022 2 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: lol it came out way more angry sounding than i intended.... maybe i need less coffee 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted May 11, 2022 Report Share Posted May 11, 2022 11 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: The way I see it, we're making up for that really dry ridgy mid Jan-late Mar period. And I swear to god if a certain someone quotes this with rainfall statistics, I will pry open my own eyes and rub into them a handful of powdered glass. Yes, I am aware we ended up "above normal." But no, the two weekends where AR's poured an entire month's average did not provide the same ecological benefit as a steady consistent supply of light precipitation. You know, climo. Every month would be better if it rained 10 inches in a day then was dry the rest of the month. Just get it out of the way all at once. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted May 11, 2022 Report Share Posted May 11, 2022 5 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: lol it came out way more angry sounding than i intended.... maybe i need less coffee I find myself angrier than ever these days. Lack of sleep and excessive stimulants will do that to a man. We were roasting s’mores tonight with my 4 year old and he just ate the marshmallow off his stick without sticking it in the fire and I just about threw the whole bag into the flames to teach his a** a lesson 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted May 11, 2022 Report Share Posted May 11, 2022 Just now, RentonHillTC said: I find myself angrier than ever these days. Lack of sleep and excessive stimulants will do that to a man. We were roasting s’mores tonight with my 4 year old and he just ate the marshmallow off his stick without sticking it in the fire and I just about threw the whole bag into the flames to teach his a** a lesson inexcusable! no marshmallow should ever be disrespected like that... Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 11, 2022 Report Share Posted May 11, 2022 2 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: I find myself angrier than ever these days. Lack of sleep and excessive stimulants will do that to a man. We were roasting s’mores tonight with my 4 year old and he just ate the marshmallow off his stick without sticking it in the fire and I just about threw the whole bag into the flames to teach his a** a lesson I’ve been awake 45hrs straight cramming for exams. I feel you. About to doze off now. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted May 11, 2022 Report Share Posted May 11, 2022 Just now, Phil said: I’ve been awake 45hrs straight cramming for exams. I feel you. I’ve been awake for 46 hours. 3 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 11, 2022 Report Share Posted May 11, 2022 13 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: The way I see it, we're making up for that really dry ridgy mid Jan-late Mar period. And I swear to god if a certain someone quotes this with rainfall statistics, I will pry open my own eyes and rub into them a handful of powdered glass. Yes, I am aware we ended up "above normal." But no, the two weekends where AR's poured an entire month's average did not provide the same ecological benefit as a steady consistent supply of light precipitation. You know, climo. Dude. Getting a little intense! And does it really matter how the rain comes in the winter when everything is dormant. I swear some of you think our trees cannot survive without being inundated every single day. 1 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 11, 2022 Report Share Posted May 11, 2022 Just now, TacomaWaWx said: I’ve been awake for 46 hours. Better take a clonazepam! 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 11, 2022 Report Share Posted May 11, 2022 00z GFS keeps the fun going into late May! Much faster retrograde this run. Ridge doesn’t even have time to establish before it’s offshore again. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted May 11, 2022 Report Share Posted May 11, 2022 6 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: I’ve been awake for 46 hours. cheers my Zero sleep brethren. I can feel the advil PM and cheap wine flowing through my veins…my time for sleep has almost come. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted May 11, 2022 Report Share Posted May 11, 2022 1 hour ago, Cascadia_Wx said: I was out in the sun on a hike all day. Got a little sunburnt actually. It was a nice day. Vitamin d/carcinogenic rays!! Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted May 11, 2022 Report Share Posted May 11, 2022 27 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: The way I see it, we're making up for that really dry ridgy mid Jan-late Mar period. And I swear to god if a certain someone quotes this with rainfall statistics, I will pry open my own eyes and rub into them a handful of powdered glass. Yes, I am aware we ended up "above normal." But no, the two weekends where AR's poured an entire month's average did not provide the same ecological benefit as a steady consistent supply of light precipitation. You know, climo. But...it was weekends. 2 1 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted May 11, 2022 Report Share Posted May 11, 2022 1 minute ago, Front Ranger said: Vitamin d/carcinogenic rays!! Hard choice…carcinogenic rays or Andrews “SATANIC” rainfall. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted May 11, 2022 Report Share Posted May 11, 2022 Thursday and Thursday night are looking especially chilly right now. Rain and a very cool air mass keep the daytime max way below normal and then it clears out gets into the 30s that night. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted May 11, 2022 Report Share Posted May 11, 2022 19 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: I’ve been awake for 46 hours. 19 minutes ago, Phil said: I’ve been awake 45hrs straight cramming for exams. I feel you. About to doze off now. I'd expect these posts during an epic winter event. And is it just me or has Phil been in college for 12 years? 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted May 11, 2022 Report Share Posted May 11, 2022 17 minutes ago, Phil said: Better take a clonazepam! After being awake for 46 hours that would probably knock you on your azz. Great anti anxiety med. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted May 11, 2022 Report Share Posted May 11, 2022 18 minutes ago, Phil said: 00z GFS keeps the fun going into late May! Much faster retrograde this run. Ridge doesn’t even have time to establish before it’s offshore again. Classic recurring cold trough scenario. Been a long time. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted May 11, 2022 Report Share Posted May 11, 2022 3 minutes ago, Front Ranger said: I'd expect these posts during an epic winter event. And is it just me or has Phil been in college for 12 years? I blame the humidity mostly for the slow progress. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 11, 2022 Report Share Posted May 11, 2022 Improvement on the GFS for the weekend... might not be a washout. And I do like the idea of parking a cold trough over the middle of the country... hope that holds 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 11, 2022 Report Share Posted May 11, 2022 5 minutes ago, Front Ranger said: I'd expect these posts during an epic winter event. And is it just me or has Phil been in college for 12 years? 7 years. I had a change of heart and switched degree programs. Whether it was the right decision or not..remains to be seen. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 11, 2022 Report Share Posted May 11, 2022 1 minute ago, TT-SEA said: Improvement on the GFS for the weekend... might not be a washout. And I do like the idea of parking a cold trough over the middle of the country... hope that holds It won’t hold. At least not for long. 1 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 11, 2022 Report Share Posted May 11, 2022 This CCKW and global +MT should try to push things eastward a bit next week. But AAM removal and return to EHEM/Indo convection is right on its heels. Flash in the pan. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 11, 2022 Report Share Posted May 11, 2022 1 hour ago, ShawniganLake said: We were blessed with an absolutely stunning day today. Mostly sunny and 61F with a nice breeze. Thank you lord. The great bounty and blessings of our Lord Jesus Christ and Savior... the gift of life-giving sunshine to grow our food and provide nourishment. Praise the almighty. 1 1 3 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 11, 2022 Report Share Posted May 11, 2022 9 minutes ago, Phil said: It won’t hold. At least not for long. No kidding. I am just riding this out until July. Anything we get... even for a few hours like today... is a bonus. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Blob Posted May 11, 2022 Author Report Share Posted May 11, 2022 46 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: Every month would be better if it rained 10 inches in a day then was dry the rest of the month. Just get it out of the way all at once. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 11, 2022 Report Share Posted May 11, 2022 The monster is waking up. 1 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted May 11, 2022 Report Share Posted May 11, 2022 42 minutes ago, Phil said: 00z GFS keeps the fun going into late May! Much faster retrograde this run. Ridge doesn’t even have time to establish before it’s offshore again. Looks much more like typical spring troughing than near-record cold though? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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