Amazing storm in Bend today. Over .5-.75” across a lot of town. Near quarter size hail, tons of CG, and even hail fog. Going on almost two hours of hearing thunder.
This niño definitely isn’t collapsing the way 1998 did. Cold tongue is more pronounced like 1973 and 1988.
Overall, 2010 is still the best global SSTA match.
Note how 1998 still had the raging EPAC warm anomaly (and maintained it into the summer). So I think the LF signature of tropical forcing will be displaced into the E-Hem as the niña establishes (relatively speaking).
Yeah Atlantic influence actually helps at this time of year. Water temps similar to late Nov at this point in the seasonal cycle.
That script flips completely by midsummer, though.
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