TT-SEA Posted January 8, 2016 Report Share Posted January 8, 2016 Holy moly at that block on the 00z GFS. Might as well throw common sense out the window over the next few weeks. Done! I threw that out years ago. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 8, 2016 Report Share Posted January 8, 2016 Well, . Common sense just started telling me we were going to get slammed in the next few weeks. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 8, 2016 Report Share Posted January 8, 2016 Done! I threw that out years ago.I can't ever recall seeing an Arctic airmass driven directly from Ontario to British Columbia. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted January 8, 2016 Report Share Posted January 8, 2016 wow, smh Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 8, 2016 Report Share Posted January 8, 2016 34 chilly degrees currently. I can almost smell the arctic air to the north. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Winterdog Posted January 8, 2016 Report Share Posted January 8, 2016 34 chilly degrees currently. I can almost smell the arctic air to the north.Sorry, that was me. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman5678 Posted January 8, 2016 Report Share Posted January 8, 2016 Looks like it should be a pretty calm drive back to Salt Lake on Saturday, a sharp contrast to what it was showing this time last week. Freezing fog will be an issue from about Ellensburg to Pendleton but besides that should be sunny with temps staying around 30 most of the drive. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 8, 2016 Report Share Posted January 8, 2016 Sorry, that was me.Wow, smelled winter fresh...with almost a hint of roses! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted January 8, 2016 Report Share Posted January 8, 2016 Wow, smelled winter fresh...with almost a hint of roses!Odd I smelled pine and wet dog fur... Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 8, 2016 Report Share Posted January 8, 2016 Odd I smelled pine and wet dog fur...Oops! Something went wrong![#10127] You have reached your quota of positive votes for the day Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted January 8, 2016 Report Share Posted January 8, 2016 That arctic front must have stalled huh? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Winterdog Posted January 8, 2016 Report Share Posted January 8, 2016 That arctic front must have stalled huh?It forgot to turn left when it got to BC. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 8, 2016 Report Share Posted January 8, 2016 That arctic front must have stalled huh?Border patrol pulled it over and is currently doing a full cavity search. It won't be moving very quickly after that and will most likely whimper off to the east. 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 8, 2016 Report Share Posted January 8, 2016 That arctic front must have stalled huh?Looking at the water vapor it sure looks like it would push right on down and smash into us. Too bad it won't. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Winterdog Posted January 8, 2016 Report Share Posted January 8, 2016 Border patrol pulled it over and is currently doing a full cavity search. It won't be moving very quickly after that and will most likely whimper off to the east.I don't really like the image that conjures up. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Winterdog Posted January 8, 2016 Report Share Posted January 8, 2016 Looking at the water vapor it sure looks like it would push right on down and smash into us. Too bad it won't.Since it looks like amateur hour here on the forum tonight I'm going to posit that not much of that run looks likely. Especially the end. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 8, 2016 Report Share Posted January 8, 2016 Since it looks like amateur hour here on the forum tonight I'm going to posit that not much of that run looks likely. Especially the end.Which run? The gfsnamecmwfgem? Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Winterdog Posted January 8, 2016 Report Share Posted January 8, 2016 Which run? The gfsnamecmwfgem?The GFS that moves the arctic air westward across North America then it gets pushed due north. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 8, 2016 Report Share Posted January 8, 2016 Since it looks like amateur hour here on the forum tonight I'm going to posit that not much of that run looks likely. Especially the end.We need the MRF back...that bad boy always showed us getting clobbered in the extended with -24 850's even in July. Those colors were always so pretty to look at on my Gateway tower of power. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 8, 2016 Report Share Posted January 8, 2016 The GFS that moves the arctic air westward across North America then it gets pushed due north.Gotcha...well stranger things have happened... Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Winterdog Posted January 8, 2016 Report Share Posted January 8, 2016 Gotcha...well stranger things have happened...Yeah, like my f**ts smelling like winter fresh roses. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stuffradio Posted January 8, 2016 Report Share Posted January 8, 2016 The 00z shows flurries for me at hour 204. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 8, 2016 Report Share Posted January 8, 2016 Yeah, like my f**ts smelling like winter fresh roses.Oops! Something went wrong![#10127] You have reached your quota of positive votes for the day Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 8, 2016 Report Share Posted January 8, 2016 Strange looking gfs run tonight. Like phil said I have also never seen arctic air get pushed that direction. Might be interesting to see where this goes over the next few runs. Also long range is looking colder amd wet again. Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crf450ish Posted January 8, 2016 Author Report Share Posted January 8, 2016 Strange looking gfs run tonight. Like phil said I have also never seen arctic air get pushed that direction. Might be interesting to see where this goes over the next few runs. Also long range is looking colder amd wet again.Yeah... Doesn't arctic air usually propagate east? Or at least south east, more eastward Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chewbacca Defense Posted January 8, 2016 Report Share Posted January 8, 2016 Internship at the Weather Channel... very cool! It was very cool, and an amazing opportunity! I grew up in Atlanta, and watched the Weather Channel all the time. In high school I earned a spot in the advanced program in high school, and one of the classes they offered was professional internships. I had one friend placed with a prominent Orthopedic Surgeon who worked with one of the pro sports teams, other placements included a Cardiologist, the Atlanta Mayor's Staff, and I got on at the Weather Channel. I got to meet and work with John Hope, one of the leading experts on hurricanes at the time. I was able to experience just about everything except going on the air. I mostly worked at the severe desk, so it was my "job" to keep the on air talent informed about severe weather warnings. I was there in the spring, so it was pretty busy. They had a printer that emitted a loud chirp when the warning came over the wire. There were a few days where it seemed like it was going off non-stop. In the slow times, that desk was responsible for cleaning up missing or erroneous data for the local forecast graphics. For my "final exam" I was given a national map w/ the latest observations, handed red and blue colored pencils and had to identify the pressure centers and fronts. That's how they came up with the current conditions national map graphics then. It was a lot tougher than I thought it would be. I then got to use that to create the graphics for the next hour. The biggest bummer was when I sat down with one of the staff meteorologists and talked about meteorology as a career. When he told me that I would need to get a Master's degree to even be considered for a job, and that most likely I would be end up working for the NWS making $30k per year. He really didn't offer much for the private sector, and the Weather Channel was still pretty new then, so I can't imagine they paid too well then. Not exactly a ringing endorsement... 2 Quote Britton Rd Bellingham Weather Station: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWABELLI103?cm_ven=localwx_pwsdash Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted January 8, 2016 Report Share Posted January 8, 2016 Yeah... Doesn't arctic air usually propagate east? Or at least south east, more eastwardBackdoor events, from the east, happen on occasion. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard mann Posted January 8, 2016 Report Share Posted January 8, 2016 (.. cross-reference.) http://theweatherforums.com/index.php/topic/1133-winter-2015-colder-air-mass-movement-and-distribution-projections/?p=108805 Quote --- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 8, 2016 Report Share Posted January 8, 2016 Strange looking gfs run tonight. Like phil said I have also never seen arctic air get pushed that direction. Might be interesting to see where this goes over the next few runs. Also long range is looking colder amd wet again.Many years ago I think February 2005? Models(Maybe the old MRF) showed the Hudson's Bay vortex to move southwestward digging over WA/OR. I remember seeing it on the Unisys website and 850mb temps by day 8-10 were something like -20c over PDX, -25c Gorge, -30c Spokane. Needless to say a historic blast. If only it had transpired. Other than that I don't remember too many other times. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 8, 2016 Report Share Posted January 8, 2016 https://www.facebook.com/NWSSeattle/posts/1033705186689887:0 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted January 8, 2016 Report Share Posted January 8, 2016 Interesting comparison between January 1998 and January 2016 snowpack. http://www.tucsonnewsnow.com/story/30909302/western-snowpack-this-year-compared-to-past-el-nino-events IRI ENSO Forecast: http://iri.columbia.edu/our-expertise/climate/forecasts/enso/current/ 1 Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted January 8, 2016 Report Share Posted January 8, 2016 On another note.....I'm still waiting for Kevin Martin to star in a SciFi Channel movie entitled... Winter Sharknado vs. ENSO Godzilla He can be the crazed met that bites the dust before the first commercial. 2 Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted January 8, 2016 Report Share Posted January 8, 2016 I think it is ridiculous that people are just attacking Kevin Martin on here. He isn't even here to defend himself. Have some respect for a great forecaster that is trying to do great things for the weather community. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 8, 2016 Report Share Posted January 8, 2016 I think it is ridiculous that people are just attacking Kevin Martin on here. He isn't even here to defend himself. Have some respect for a great forecaster that is trying to do great things for the weather community.I can't quite tell if you are being serious or sarcastic... Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poulsbo Snowman Posted January 8, 2016 Report Share Posted January 8, 2016 I can't quite tell if you are being serious or sarcastic... He is. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 8, 2016 Report Share Posted January 8, 2016 35 degrees with highish clouds currently this morning. No posts on the GFS 12z so I'm assuming there is nothing to talk about. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 8, 2016 Report Share Posted January 8, 2016 35 degrees with highish clouds currently this morning. No posts on the GFS 12z so I'm assuming there is nothing to talk about. Yeah it was super ugly. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted January 8, 2016 Report Share Posted January 8, 2016 I think it is ridiculous that people are just attacking Kevin Martin on here. He isn't even here to defend himself. Have some respect for a great forecaster that is trying to do great things for the weather community.Thanks for the laugh. Seeing Kevin Martin associated with the words "great forecaster" is the best joke I've heard in a long time. If you would like to step up and defend him, then good luck. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 8, 2016 Report Share Posted January 8, 2016 Gorgeous day... wall to wall sunshine here. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 8, 2016 Report Share Posted January 8, 2016 On another note.....I'm still waiting for Kevin Martin to star in a SciFi Channel movie entitled... Winter Sharknado vs. ENSO Godzilla He can be the crazed met that bites the dust before the first commercial.Lol sounds like a hit! I'd watch that one 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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