PNW September 2022 Wx Obs/Disc

[BLI snowman]

14 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

January 1953 would be fun just for s*its and giggles. 

I prefer December 1933 if we're gonna go that route.

[GobBluth]

He's going with Charles III.

September in Portland averages less than 2 inches of rain which can be easily attained in the last week of the month. That was never going to happen with the expansive SW ridge and that's gone after Sunday. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

So... I saw NWS is predicting 101 on Saturday for Eugene. Their latest 100 on record is September 5, 1944. 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

27 minutes ago, Chewbacca Defense said:

My vote is for King Chuckles, but I probably stand alone with that.  Never been a fan of him...

You are hardly alone on that one. Many analysts have thought that the death of Elizabeth II might inject new life into the republican movements in many commonwealth realms (particularly Australia).

[TT-SEA]

12Z ECMWF shows some rain next Thursday...

 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Silver Falls had 23.62" of rain in January 1953. 

[TT-SEA]

And more Friday... big changes on this run.  

[SilverFallsAndrew]

2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

12Z ECMWF shows some rain next Thursday...

 

Marion County is BLESSED on this run. 

[Deweydog]

7 minutes ago, GobBluth said:

He's going with Charles III.

September in Portland averages less than 2 inches of rain which can be easily attained in the last week of the month. That was never going to happen with the expansive SW ridge and that's gone after Sunday. 

[PDXWISCO]

The winds of change are coming literally...I think the pattern will begin to shift later next week if not sooner if some of the moisture from Kay makes it our way. 

Also, great What about Bob? pulls here!

[Cascadia_Wx]

7 minutes ago, GobBluth said:

He's going with Charles III.

September in Portland averages less than 2 inches of rain which can be easily attained in the last week of the month. That was never going to happen with the expansive SW ridge and that's gone after Sunday. 

Are you Omegaraptor’s dad?

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Imagine if Prince ANDREW became KING. 

[Cascadia_Wx]

Really awful trends on the Euro. Not ready for summer to die yet. It was really just two months of summer if you think about it. We need a lot more hot and dry weather to make up for June.

[TT-SEA]

Total precip per 12Z ECMWF... most of this comes on Thursday and Friday.

[Cloud]

RIP Queen.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

3 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Really awful trends on the Euro. Not ready for summer to die yet. It was really just two months of summer if you think about it. We need a lot more hot and dry weather to make up for June.

I'm sorry Jesse. I know I was hoping not only the Waldo Lake, but the entire Three Sisters Wilderness would burn. If we got really lucky maybe even the Diamond Peak Wilderness would burn. But don't be an a@shole, it's natural and inevitable. You are a selfish **** for not wanting every place you enjoy to burn. A crime against nature so to speak.

Edited September 8, 2022 by SilverFallsAndrew

[Rubus Leucodermis]

1 minute ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Really awful trends on the Euro. Not ready for summer to die yet. It was really just two months of summer if you think about it. We need a lot more hot and dry weather to make up for June.

Here’s a suggestion: close all the windows in your home, crank the heat to 90, and light a fire in the fireplace but make sure to keep the damper closed. Continue for as long as you are no longer ready for summer to die.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

2 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Here’s a suggestion: close all the windows in your home, crank the heat to 90, and light a fire in the fireplace but make sure to keep the damper closed. Continue for as long as you are no longer ready for summer to die.

I've been clearing brush all summer, thinking of lighting the bonfire tomorrow afternoon. What do you think?

[Cloud]

4 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Really awful trends on the Euro. Not ready for summer to die yet. It was really just two months of summer if you think about it. We need a lot more hot and dry weather to make up for June.

Ride or die until the end of the year imo.. we need big time PAYBACK for that awful spring!

[TT-SEA]

1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

I'm sorry Jesse. I know I was hoping not only the Waldo Lake, but the entire Three Sisters Wilderness would burn. If we got really lucky maybe even the Diamond Peak Wilderness would burn. But don't be an a@shole, it's natural and inevitable. You are a selfish **** for not wanting every place you enjoy to burn. A crime against nature so to speak.

Just silliness.   

[TT-SEA]

2 minutes ago, Cloud said:

Ride or die until the end of the year imo.. we need big time PAYBACK for that awful spring!

Nature's payback already happened.    Hopefully things will be a bit more balanced going forward.     But who knows.  

[Cloud]

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

Nature's payback already happened.    Hopefully things will be a bit more balanced going forward.     But who knows.  

Nature's not the only one doing payback though...  ya know what I mean? Some do get what I'm referencing though.

[Deweydog]

12 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Imagine if Prince ANDREW became KING. 

Or Prince Albert…

[TT-SEA]

Just now, Cloud said:

Nature's not the only one doing payback though...  ya know what I mean? Some do get what I'm referencing though.

We had a great summer... all good here.    It's fall now and some rain would be lovely.

[HoodCanalBridge]

Any recent models on the east winds to share?  I’m bringing a group of fire engines down to a Oregon to preposition in the Oakridge area and would greatly appreciate any intel!

[Cloud]

Look like we're still on track for another shot at 90F on Saturday per the 12z.. of course it would make a lot of sense for this to happen if this is summer's parting shot. Give SEA its 13th 90+F of the year and a new record. 

Looks marginal, so we may have to rely on that rounding! 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

2 minutes ago, HoodCanalBridge said:

Any recent models on the east winds to share?  I’m bringing a group of fire engines down to a Oregon to preposition in the Oakridge area and would greatly appreciate any intel!

Many prayers for Oakridge. I was in their shoes two years ago today. 

[Deweydog]

2 minutes ago, HoodCanalBridge said:

Any recent models on the east winds to share?  I’m bringing a group of fire engines down to a Oregon to preposition in the Oakridge area and would greatly appreciate any intel!

Gonna be a touchy 36 hours or so.

[TT-SEA]

2 minutes ago, HoodCanalBridge said:

Any recent models on the east winds to share?  I’m bringing a group of fire engines down to a Oregon to preposition in the Oakridge area and would greatly appreciate any intel!

 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

2 minutes ago, Cloud said:

Look like we're still on track for another shot at 90F on Saturday per the 12z.. of course it would make a lot of sense for this to happen if this is summer's parting shot. Give SEA its 13th 90+F of the year and a new record. 

Looks marginal, so we may have to rely on that rounding! 

It amazes me how much less extreme heat Seattle gets than here. Though I suppose it is due to the proximity to the water. We had 15 90+ days in August 1967. What did SEA-Tac top out at last June? Silver Falls hit 108, which broke the all time record of 103, which had been from August 1972. 

[Cloud]

7 minutes ago, HoodCanalBridge said:

Any recent models on the east winds to share?  I’m bringing a group of fire engines down to a Oregon to preposition in the Oakridge area and would greatly appreciate any intel!

 

[Cloud]

3 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

It amazes me how much less extreme heat Seattle gets than here. Though I suppose it is due to the proximity to the water. We had 15 90+ days in August 1967. What did SEA-Tac top out at last June? Silver Falls hit 108, which broke the all time record of 103, which had been from August 1972. 

SEA topped out at 108 last June. 

[Omegaraptor]

35 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

And more Friday... big changes on this run.  

That’s the day I move back to Corvallis!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Really thinking of Oakridge. It is a beautiful area and community, economically disadvantaged, but I know some amazing people who live there. One of our former employees lives there with his family. Great guy, moved there and commuted 75 miles every day, each way, until we filled his position, just out of a sense of responsibility. My wife's Duck tailgate buddy lives there, he's a lawyer and former Lane County DA candidate, great guy. 

[Cloud]

8 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

It amazes me how much less extreme heat Seattle gets than here. Though I suppose it is due to the proximity to the water. We had 15 90+ days in August 1967. What did SEA-Tac top out at last June? Silver Falls hit 108, which broke the all time record of 103, which had been from August 1972. 

A lot of 80+F though. We’re way above average and this is after having a slow start to summer. Pretty good chance at getting #40 by the end of Sunday. 
 

 

[Phishy Wx]

1 hour ago, Deweydog said:

RIP Queen Liz. Hopefully this doesn’t delay the Euro.

only the UKMET

[Kayla]

14 minutes ago, HoodCanalBridge said:

Any recent models on the east winds to share?  I’m bringing a group of fire engines down to a Oregon to preposition in the Oakridge area and would greatly appreciate any intel!

Going to be a rough 36 hours, not much has changed. Great to hear that you guys are prepositioning assets though!

[LowerGarfield]

28 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Total precip per 12Z ECMWF... most of this comes on Thursday and Friday.

Please let this verify for E.WA

[Cloud]

Also base on models projections that we’ll be in top 2 or top 3 for longest 70+ Days streak. 72 may be out of reach but 62 is very doable for #2.
 

 

[BLI snowman]

Friday night is probably gonna be stupid warm near the foothills.