October 2022 PNW weather Discussion. + Ultimate Leg Reveal Extravaganza

[TigerWoodsLibido]

43 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

we gunna get a white pumpkin?

And frozen turkeys & snowy Christmas decorations.

[Gradient Keeper]

King EURO time! Is it too much to ask to see one cold trough after another for the entire run?(10 Days) Let's do this!

[Gradient Keeper]

00z ECMWF Day 1

[Cloud]

10 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said:

King EURO time! Is it too much to ask to see one cold trough after another for the entire run?(10 Days) Let's do this!

No... we had 4 months of ridging. Screw that... roll cold troughs straight into summer.

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 2

[Skagit Weather]

First 30s of the season! Temp has been hanging out around 39F for a couple hours. Probably means a low around 35-37.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Down to 46F. Much nicer than yesterday.

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 3

[Sonny Summers]

Just now, Gradient Keeper said:

Day 3

Textbook la niña pattern...

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 4

[ShawniganLake]

Pretty nice fall day today. Sunny and mild with a high of 56

[Cold Snap]

The 30s has never felt so nice. Idc if it’s only 39 degrees still in the 30s

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 5

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 6 Model Comparison - ECMWF, GEM, GFS

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 7

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 8

[smerfylicious]

4 hours ago, Cold Snap said:

Yeah you’re right. I live in Duvall so I’m just going off the station closest to me with records but I did not realize how cold that month was! I remember the snow and cold at the end but I don’t remember it getting into the teens in the middle of that month! That’s crazy! Though I don’t know how much different Duvall is from Monroe and if it’s normally a few degrees warmer in Duvall.

Duvall and Monroe are pretty similar, though Duvall gets much less influence from the west, which can mean temps go lower. Sky Valley has almost no elevation until you get past Big Bend, so if you're up on the hills of Duvall you're probably higher up than Index.

[snow_wizard]

Down to 40 here now for a 47/40 day.  What a difference a week makes!

[Gradient Keeper]

00z GEFS

[Gradient Keeper]

Back to the EURO. Day 9'er

[Cold Snap]

6 minutes ago, smerfylicious said:

Duvall and Monroe are pretty similar, though Duvall gets much less influence from the west, which can mean temps go lower. Sky Valley has almost no elevation until you get past Big Bend, so if you're up on the hills of Duvall you're probably higher up than Index.

I’m at about 400 feet in the city limits. I have no clue if that’s different than being out in unincorporated duvall like out by the lakes. I know lake Margaret is about 800 feet elevation and can get snow while Duvall gets rain. And there other lakes like lake Marcel and lake joy. Marcel is just under 400 feet and lake joy is like 500 feet.

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 10

[Gradient Keeper]

00z ECMWF 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Hoping the night shift can deliver the goodies again like last night!

[Gradient Keeper]

Sea Surface Temperatures 00z Oct 23
Niño 3.4: -0.791
Niño 3: -0.849
Niño 4: -1.070
Niño 1+2: -1.783

[Sonny Summers]

1 minute ago, Gradient Keeper said:

Sea Surface Temperatures 00z Oct 23
Niño 3.4: -0.791
Niño 3: -0.849
Niño 4: -1.070
Niño 1+2: -1.783

I don't think it gets beyond weak on the ONI scale.

[NWbyNW]

Cool night, but the moderating waters of the Puget Sound have it 45F here tonight.

Love seeing low 30s towards the foothills and mountain passes! Temps haven't actually gone down much or at all from readings I posted earlier.  Stevens Pass is at 30F.  I've been watching it the past few hours hoping it would dip to 29F but it has not. 

Eastern Washington is surprisingly warm tonight with temperatures throughout the Columbia Basin in the mid 40s, though towards the Palouse region, there are temps in the mid to upper 30s. Pretty big variation. 34F in Rosalia compared to 41F in Warden.  32F in Fairfield compared to 43F in Chelan. 

[Gradient Keeper]

1 minute ago, Sonny Summers said:

I don't think it gets beyond weak on the ONI scale.

I think it might dip back down to -1.1, but not any stronger. We shall see!

6z GFS in 1 hour 30 minutes

[smerfylicious]

Looking back at some of the crazy stats this month. 

October 16th at my place capped out at 89 degrees, then over the course of 6 hours dropped to 41. WEW

[Sonny Summers]

29 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said:

I think it might dip back down to -1.1, but not any stronger. We shall see!

6z GFS in 1 hour 30 minutes

According to the MEI, it is currently strong. Snow_Wizard posted the numbers a while back. Only 2010 had a lower value when looking at recent events. It was even lower than 1988.

[Gradient Keeper]

[Sonny Summers]

39 minutes ago, NWbyNW said:

Cool night, but the moderating waters of the Puget Sound have it 45F here tonight.

Love seeing low 30s towards the foothills and mountain passes! Temps haven't actually gone down much or at all from readings I posted earlier.  Stevens Pass is at 30F.  I've been watching it the past few hours hoping it would dip to 29F but it has not. 

Eastern Washington is surprisingly warm tonight with temperatures throughout the Columbia Basin in the mid 40s, though towards the Palouse region, there are temps in the mid to upper 30s. Pretty big variation. 34F in Rosalia compared to 41F in Warden.  32F in Fairfield compared to 43F in Chelan. 

36 here in Spokane Valley

[Gradient Keeper]

Can't sleep too much going on, so here for 6z.

Day 1

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 2

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 3

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 4 (Past 4 runs)

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 5 (Past 4 runs)

[The Blob]

47 in Troutdale

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 6 (Past 4 runs)

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 7