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August 2016 Observations and Model Discussion for the Pacific Northwest

Geos

By Geos
in West of the Rockies

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Deweydog Grand Master

Deweydog

Posted
Posted

I can imagine a pretty big spike in temps if/when offshore flow surfaces later this afternoon.

I don't think they'll surface today.

 

So it may be a case of needing it today and not getting it then too much of it tomorrow.

My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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luvssnow_spokane
luvssnow_spokane

Looks like a warm week! -- The wedding last Sunday was quite wet but still beautiful. Only moderate rain during the ceremony. We had 193 people in attendance and they even sat through the rainy cerem

ShawniganLake
ShawniganLake

Here is a picture I took when we were up there in July. It has been a very showery and unsettled summer up there. I took the picture off of our Sundeck on the front of the cabin. It's close enough

MR.SNOWMIZER
MR.SNOWMIZER

Got this with cell on rapid shots at my cabin.

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Front Ranger Grand Master

Front Ranger

Posted
Posted

OLM should fall short of their record of 94 today, but should have no problem tomorrow and Saturday setting new records.

 

SEA has a pathetic record of 88 to shoot for today (I'm betting they make it), and should also blow away weak records in the upper 80s tomorrow and Saturday.

A forum for the end of the world.

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Geos Proficient

Geos

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Yea, northern areas and elevated areas did better. I was thinking more for the puget sound region. Shawnigan lake recorded 55" that season between November and April. Even still there was a lot of close calls that could have turned out better.

 

That's a pretty nice seasonal total.

Sounds like a lot of teasers that winter further south.

 

Well back to August. At 75° and climbing quickly. Dew point here is in the low 60s actually.

Mercer Island, 350 ft

2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

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Abbotsford_wx Newbie

Abbotsford_wx

Posted
Posted

Current temperatures as of 11am:

 

Hillsboro - 79

Kelso - 78

Salem - 77

Seattle - 76

Troutdale - 76

Eugene - 75

Portland - 75

 

Kelso hit 100 early this summer when nobody else did so they could be one of the hotter spots again today.

 

Crazy how cool it is down there. It was 90 here at 11 am. Currently 91, so the climb seems to have slowed a bit.

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TT-SEA Grand Master

TT-SEA

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12z Euro is ******* ugly days 7 and beyond.

 

Hoping it is way off.

 

 

Its been really consistent.   

 

Monday sure looks sharply cooler though.  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Geos Proficient

Geos

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That's a pretty good push of colder air.

 

 

Hoping it stays cooler for end of next week - going camping up towards Index.

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Mercer Island, 350 ft

2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

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TT-SEA Grand Master

TT-SEA

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The models have been anything but consistent.

 

Just a few days ago they were entertaining the possibility of the current heatwave extending through the middle of next week.

 

 

ECMWF has been consistent in showing a rebound to warmth again next week.   The real change has been a more robust trough to break up the two warm spells rather than blending them together.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Timmy Supercell Grand Master

Timmy Supercell

Posted
Posted

Winds starting to increase. Still warming at a decent rate. I should be able to manage upper 90's here this afternoon.

 

Perfect day to get out some alcoholic beverages and get dehydrated!! I was gonna save some of that red wine for storms but we'll never get any...

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Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17
Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 16
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 

Severe storms: 2

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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Geos Proficient

Geos

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This pattern won't change (on the large scale) until the week of 8/29 to 9/4, IMO.

 

So another heat wave next week and then no more high end heat. Is the la Nina starting to affect the pattern yet?

Would be nice to have a stretch of 70s for awhile.

Mercer Island, 350 ft

2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

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TT-SEA Grand Master

TT-SEA

Posted
Posted

This pattern won't change (on the large scale) until the week of 8/29 to 9/4, IMO.

Hey Phil... what does the 12Z ECMWF have for a high in Seattle on Sunday? Probably going to be an early high that day.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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