The modeled soundings for OKC are legitimately scary. Prayers for folks living out there, going to be a rough evening.
Only potential failure mode I see is if storms go linear too quickly. But that just increases the wind/hail thread for a larger area.
Slightly cooler day but we're still getting warm nights. Only got down to 62 this morning, now 65 with moderate rain and a weak t'storm.
I noticed central Oklahoma is in a High Risk today. Stay safe everyone.
GOA ridge, but close enough to the BC/PNW coast to maintain the warm/dry regime above the residual STJ (niño elements remain in the system state for now).
After the ~ 25th (+/- a few days) we shake up the tropical forcing sufficiently to break down the +TNH/ridge tendency, but still not much westerly momentum fluxed poleward at that point, so won’t be as anomalously wet as the last week has been. But maybe that will change in June, we’ll see.
Back in my younger days, which were the olden days of the 1980’s to early 90’s, January thru March were awful for me. The only bright spots would be if we had snow. I was addicted to fishing as a kid and all I could think about was getting to April…Opening day of fishing season! But I hated school, and those dark wet days just seem to drag on forever!
This forum back then would have been huge to get me through. Instead it was playing a lot of Mario on the original Nintendo.
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