November 2022 PNW weather Discussion. #NoRidgeNovember

[Gradient Keeper]

If the next two runs are also a few notches -> this goes back to cold

[Slushy Inch]

That's better. 

[SouthHillFrosty]

Just now, Gradient Keeper said:

Digging more south than southwest. This isn't over yet folks.

Don’t do this Rob. I already sent out an email chain canceling this again

[Gradient Keeper]

Through Day 5. Folks, this is very close back to an arctic solution. Watch this dig due south and not offshore further.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

10 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Early December 1994 had a really nice event for the south sound. 3-8" from Olympia to Tacoma.

We even had several inches in Silverton. 

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 6

[Gradient Keeper]

If 12z tomorrow is just a few notches ---> It's game on again!

[SnarkyGoblin]

2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

We even had several inches in Silverton. 

OT: how's your kid?

[SilverFallsAndrew]

1 minute ago, Gradient Keeper said:

Day 6

Not bad. Going to be very cold onshore flow and low snow levels. 

[Gradient Keeper]

Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Not bad. Going to be very cold onshore flow and low snow levels. 

It's far better than I expected. This isn't over yet!

[lowlandsnow]

Is winter uncanceled?

[Gradient Keeper]

Ya gotta believe!!!!

[Slushy Inch]

This must be close to what the GEFS is showing.

[Slushy Inch]

GEFS and EURO nearly the same.

[MossMan]

1 minute ago, 12345WeatherNerd said:

GEFS and EURO nearly the same.

But the GEFS is wrong so I am scratching my head here…

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 7

[Kolk1604]

2 minutes ago, 12345WeatherNerd said:

This must be close to what the GEFS is showing.

Temps also In the 20s Friday morning 

[Slushy Inch]

Just now, MossMan said:

But the GEFS is wrong so I am scratching my head here…

How is it wrong?

[Slushy Inch]

Just now, Kolk1604 said:

Temps also In the 20s Friday morning 

Feels like what we have been seeing is simply the typical push back.

[SouthHillFrosty]

I debated on cropping this to only show Seattle south lol

[snow_wizard]

I guess we just needed the GFS to back off a bit. 

[Gradient Keeper]

Jet suppression!!!!

[Kolk1604]

2 minutes ago, 12345WeatherNerd said:

Feels like what we have been seeing is simply the typical push back.

I feel like whoever runs the Euro just likes to push Robs buttons

Highs around 30 for Friday 

[Weiner Warrior]

@MossMan There's your snow!!

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Just now, snow_wizard said:

I guess we just needed the GFS to back off a bit. 

Doesn't really look all that different for here. Hopefully later December can offer up some goodies once the plan moves forward.

[snow_wizard]

Meanwhile down to 33 here already.  These past couple of days have been way colder than what models had shown a few days ago.  This looks like a lock for coldest November of the century for MBY.

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 8

[Deweydog]

1 minute ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Doesn't really look all that different for here. Hopefully later December can offer up some goodies once the plan moves forward.

Worth noting that January comes after late December.

[SnarkyGoblin]

2 minutes ago, 12345WeatherNerd said:

This must be close to what the GEFS is showing.

I mean...it's hard not to be excited seeing something region wide. Who knows if it will verify, but it's definitely a real possibility, to state the obvious.

I legit feel bad coming back on this site and see that our southern friends in the lowlands didn't score the white stuff.  

When was the last region-wide storm?  2008?

[Gradient Keeper]

Anyone else get a sense an eastward shift trend is beginning starting tonight.

[snow_wizard]

Low 20s with heavy snow cover here on Thursday morning.  I'll take it!

[Slushy Inch]

1 minute ago, Gradient Keeper said:

Day 8

I spy something moving down that ridge towards us.

[TacomaWx]

[snow_wizard]

Just now, Gradient Keeper said:

Anyone else get a sense an eastward shift trend is beginning starting tonight.

To be honest I can't really trust my gut feelings right now.  I was beginning to have serious doubts.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

15 minutes ago, SnarkyGoblin said:

OT: how's your kid?

Thanks for asking. They are doing pretty well, my daughter was in the hospital the entire weekend last weekend, and was still extremely ill for a couple of days, but has been doing a lot better the past couple of days. Sleeping a lot, but getting back to her regular self. 
 

Our son was extremely sick with RSV too, he didn’t have to stay in the hospital though and has pretty much completely recovered. He turned 9 months today and is bouncing off the walls. 

Edited November 26, 2022 by SilverFallsAndrew

[RentonHill]

1 minute ago, TacomaWx said:

[Gradient Keeper]

Next Saturday 4 AM PDX 24 brrr!

[snow_wizard]

1 minute ago, 12345WeatherNerd said:

I spy something moving down that ridge towards us.

If that cutoff off the coast of N. Cal doesn't mess things up that has real potential.

[snow_wizard]

1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Thanks for asking. They are doing pretty well, my daughter was in the hospital the entire weekend last weekend, and was still extremely ill for a couple of days, but has been doing a lot better the past couple of days. Sleeping a lot, but getting back to her regular self. 

What kind of illness was it?

[Kolk1604]

2 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said:

Anyone else get a sense an eastward shift trend is beginning starting tonight.

Yes, GEFS also trended back colder