November 2022 PNW weather Discussion. #NoRidgeNovember

[SouthHillFrosty]

2 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

[snow_wizard]

1 minute ago, Gradient Keeper said:

Next Saturday 4 AM PDX 24 brrr!

This run has soothed my nerves. 

[SouthHillFrosty]

Dating my ex was less stressful than this  

[Gradient Keeper]

East wind developing next Saturday and low level cold intensifying.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just now, snow_wizard said:

What kind of illness was it?

RSV. It’s so bad this year. While the kids have been recovering my wife and I both got it this week, it’s not as bad for adults, like a really bad head/chest cold. 

[TacomaWx]

Euro bottoms out at -9C with the first trough and -8C with the second pretty good. Need to see this stick though over the next few runs and the gfs to come back though. 

[Cold Snap]

3 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said:

Anyone else get a sense an eastward shift trend is beginning starting tonight.

Yeah I feel like the Euro will probably cave a bit to the GFS but the GFS is going cave mostly toward the euro. I won’t be mad if they meet somewhere in the middle leaning towards the Euro. That would probably be an all snow event for me.

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 9'er

[snow_wizard]

I can't believe it's this cold this evening.  The models had a torch at this time a few days ago.

[MWG]

5 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said:

Next Saturday 4 AM PDX 24 brrr!

Nice a balmy 13F for me! 

[snow_wizard]

2 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

Euro bottoms out at -9C with the first trough and -8C with the second pretty good. Need to see this stick though over the next few runs and the gfs to come back though. 

That GFS run was just bizarre.  I feel good that it was such an outlier in the ensemble.

[Gradient Keeper]

Next Saturday night-Sunday, strong icy east wind!

[TigerWoodsLibido]

2 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Dating my ex was less stressful than this  

Y'all could just end the stress by coming down here and having no Arctic airmass this time. Watching y'all sweat over it is entertaining NGL.

[Slushy Inch]

3 minutes ago, Kolk1604 said:

Yes, GEFS also trended back colder

A member has 38 inches at SeaTac, wow. A lot of big snows in there. Just need to check temps to make sure it isn't phantom.

[snow_wizard]

3 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said:

Day 9'er

Noice!

[TigerWoodsLibido]

1 minute ago, snow_wizard said:

I can't believe it's this cold this evening.  The models had a torch at this time a few days ago.

Still torched here so I got you covered, Jim.

[snow_wizard]

Straight up fantastic ECMWF run.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

The good news is once I move to Indiana, that next winter will absolutely nail the Willamette Valley.

[Cold Snap]

3 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Y'all could just end the stress by coming down here and having no Arctic airmass this time. Watching y'all sweat over it is entertaining NGL.

I’m not even sweating over it that hard because it’s so early in the winter still. Something good is going to happen later this winter, I feel it. Probably in January. Knowing that I honestly would be happy just to at least get flakes and a nice dusting at least out of this. Though a decent arctic blast with a few inches would be nice.

[Kolk1604]

Cold next weekend. 

850s also warm briefly and then drop at the end 

[Guest administrator]

5 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

RSV. It’s so bad this year. While the kids have been recovering my wife and I both got it this week, it’s not as bad for adults, like a really bad head/chest cold. 

Not really going anywhere because of this. Hippy in laws think that its just a strong cold that will build our baby's immunity, but so will MRSA. 

[TacomaWx]

2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

That GFS run was just bizarre.  I feel good that it was such an outlier in the ensemble.

Pretty much all this has told us so far is we still really don’t know what’s going to happen. Hope was gone and now some has returned. We might not have a good grasp on this until Sunday or Monday…could see a lot of flip flopping. 

[RentonHill]

Reload day 10??

[MossMan]

2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

RSV. It’s so bad this year. While the kids have been recovering my wife and I both got it this week, it’s not as bad for adults, like a really bad head/chest cold. 

Didn’t start out too bad for my wife and I, but wow is it lingering. Though I’m sure it didn’t help that we also went COVID positive last week as well. It has stayed out of the lungs and kept to the neck up, but I have been coughing so much that I pulled a muscle, that was super fun! Been a roller coaster, one day I feel pretty good so I am outside doing things all day which causes the next day to be not so good. Hoping to be done with all of this by next week’s festivities! The kids had both as well but it was minor for them luckily. 

[Requiem]

Hope still exists... unfortunate for those who want to sleep in the coming weeks methinks 

[snow_wizard]

3 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Y'all could just end the stress by coming down here and having no Arctic airmass this time. Watching y'all sweat over it is entertaining NGL.

This isn't settled yet.  You might still get something.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Just now, Kolk1604 said:

Cold next weekend. 

850s also warm briefly and then drop at the end 

All the way down to +1 850s.

Beautiful.

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 10

[TigerWoodsLibido]

1 minute ago, snow_wizard said:

This isn't settled yet.  You might still get something.

We will. In late Dec into Jan. The NBM has pretty much said no to this round but I'll still enjoy it a lot more than this past shitt summer.

[RentonHill]

[SouthHillFrosty]

[RentonHill]

Just now, SouthHillFrosty said:

Hey man PNW is bigger than just Washington!

[TacomaWx]

3rd trough brings 850s down to -8C and a bit of lowland snow. Nice to see but still just no clue as to what even happens in the first half of next week. 

[snow_wizard]

Fun finish to the ECMWF!  Another cold shot with snow in some places.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

6 minutes ago, administrator said:

Not really going anywhere because of this. Hippy in laws think that its just a strong cold that will build our baby's immunity, but so will MRSA. 

Don’t  blame you. 

[The Blob]

25 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

I debated on cropping this to only show Seattle south lol

I'll take the 7.6in or Troutdale

[SilverFallsAndrew]

3 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

See that little green dot in a sea of blue, over TWL s house?

[gusky]

24 minutes ago, 12345WeatherNerd said:

A member has 38 inches at SeaTac, wow. A lot of big snows in there. Just need to check temps to make sure it isn't phantom.

Oh man, what I would give to have a Buffalo style snowstorm in Seattle...

[Gradient Keeper]

00z ECMWF 10 Day Rainfall/Snowfall totals, including the southwest US. Excellent run and for California drought busting rain with mega Sierra snow!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

8 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Didn’t start out too bad for my wife and I, but wow is it lingering. Though I’m sure it didn’t help that we also went COVID positive last week as well. It has stayed out of the lungs and kept to the neck up, but I have been coughing so much that I pulled a muscle, that was super fun! Been a roller coaster, one day I feel pretty good so I am outside doing things all day which causes the next day to be not so good. Hoping to be done with all of this by next week’s festivities! The kids had both as well but it was minor for them luckily. 

Dude it’s been ridiculous this year. This is the 4th illness I’ve had in 2022, after essentially not getting sick since January 2019. Right now I would say RSV is in 3rd place for me personally, Covid was a bit worse, and the flu back in May was off the charts. That messed me up for like 2 months.