FroYoBro Posted December 8, 2016 Report Share Posted December 8, 2016 The HRRRRRRRR is starting to look very moist for Portland today. It seems to do pretty well in situations like this. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 8, 2016 Report Share Posted December 8, 2016 31 with flurries inSilverton a light dusting Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heavy Snow Posted December 8, 2016 Report Share Posted December 8, 2016 Wow, radar filling in explosively now as it starts it's final preparation into PDX Metro. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 8, 2016 Report Share Posted December 8, 2016 Reports of snow on the freeway in Albany. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 8, 2016 Report Share Posted December 8, 2016 It's just funny to see them just come right out and say it. Makes weather forecasting sound divine.Did it blow your toupee off this time ? Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 8, 2016 Report Share Posted December 8, 2016 Did it blow your toupee off this time ?The 6z did that. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
epiceast Posted December 8, 2016 Report Share Posted December 8, 2016 Being a retired science teacher for almost 40 years, we used "blind faith" in many of our testings of hypotheses and experiments. Didn't you know science was based on blind faith. LOL. Oh and I use it with the Seattle Mariners too. It's a very reassuring thing. Aka "intuition". Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 8, 2016 Report Share Posted December 8, 2016 Hahaha, the ECMWF monthlies just flipped back to nationwide icebox after their +EPO blowtorch run back in November. January looks ridiculous...-WPO/-EPO/-AO/-NAO. February looks like something out of planet Hoth..looks like the polar vortex breaks up and sits over Nebraska. The PNW looks cooler than normal in every month from December through March, but especially February. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted December 8, 2016 Report Share Posted December 8, 2016 Snow moving up faster? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heavy Snow Posted December 8, 2016 Report Share Posted December 8, 2016 Hahaha, the ECMWF monthlies just flipped back to nationwide icebox after their +EPO blowtorch run back in November. January looks ridiculous...-WPO/-EPO/-AO/-NAO. February looks like something out of planet Hoth..looks like the polar vortex breaks up and sits over Nebraska. Score! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 8, 2016 Report Share Posted December 8, 2016 Hahaha, the ECMWF monthlies just flipped back to nationwide icebox after their +EPO blowtorch run back in November. January looks ridiculous...-WPO/-EPO/-AO/-NAO. February looks like something out of planet Hoth..looks like the polar vortex breaks up and sits over Nebraska. The PNW looks cooler than normal in every month from December through March.#iceage2013in2017 3 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted December 8, 2016 Report Share Posted December 8, 2016 I think the radar will actually start to fill in a lot to the south over the next few hours.#nailedit 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted December 8, 2016 Report Share Posted December 8, 2016 Flurries have already started here in Tigard. Really surprised it is reaching the ground so easily. Here we go! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted December 8, 2016 Report Share Posted December 8, 2016 It's been more than two years for many.Yep... Pretty much The most recent snow I have seen here was December 10th, 2013 and it was a trace that melted by 10am (pic below)... I have a feeling tonights event for here will be about the same or less. East winds have a massive impact here. I can think of at least 3 occasions in the 10 years I have lived here where others would see snow 10 miles away from us and we would see nothing due to east winds/downsloping... It is a real ***** but an honest reality. I think this is one reason most models show very limited snow in this area. Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 8, 2016 Report Share Posted December 8, 2016 Flurries in NE Salem. Visibility dropping Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westcoastexpat Posted December 8, 2016 Report Share Posted December 8, 2016 Environment Canada calling for up to 10" for higher hills in metro Vancouver 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted December 8, 2016 Report Share Posted December 8, 2016 Being near and just north of that 540 thickness line always seems to be a good sign in these situations. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 8, 2016 Report Share Posted December 8, 2016 Clown range GFS pulls it off again. Looks like it tries to propagate/weaken that 120E forcing, so suddenly tropics start working to our advantage..that's a new development. I look forward to seeing how this one finishes. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PV=nRT Posted December 8, 2016 Report Share Posted December 8, 2016 I have very light flurries falling. 10 miles south of downtown Portland. 34/20 T/DP. Quote Location: 10 miles south of downtown Portland between Gladstone and Milwaukie Elevation: 335' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 8, 2016 Report Share Posted December 8, 2016 Clown range GFS pulls it off again. Looks like it tries to propagate/weaken that 120E forcing, so suddenly tropics start working to our advantage..that's a new development. I look forward to seeing how this one finishes.I thought we were supposed to know by 48 hours??? 2 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crf450ish Posted December 8, 2016 Report Share Posted December 8, 2016 Took this picture at 7am atop a foothill above my house. Wind was calm at house, but easily blowing 20-25 mph where I took this pic. BRRRRRRR.....was easily 5 below or so considering it was 12 at my house when the pic was snapped... http://i.imgur.com/mwNVJy0.jpg 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted December 8, 2016 Report Share Posted December 8, 2016 Sounds reasonable. Whoever made that call is a real fart smeller! It's almost like the precip is moving in around 8-9am too... I wonder who said that! 1 Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 8, 2016 Report Share Posted December 8, 2016 A light dusting no in Salem Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 8, 2016 Report Share Posted December 8, 2016 I see high clouds to my south! Should start snowing by midnight here!!!! Currently 22F. And of course the 12z takes away all of my morning delight. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted December 8, 2016 Report Share Posted December 8, 2016 Fox 12 reporter doing a live report in Salem trying to identify if water falling from the sky is rain. Good investigative journalism is alive and well. Oh Marilyn, rest her soul... Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted December 8, 2016 Report Share Posted December 8, 2016 Flurries have already started here in Tigard. Really surprised it is reaching the ground so easily. Here we go!How have the east winds been there? We used to get them pretty good on top of Bull Mountain. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 8, 2016 Report Share Posted December 8, 2016 I thought we were supposed to know by 48 hours???Well, I was referring to the first 7 days there, not the clown range, but still this run shows how my logic could prove to be flawed if the model is mishandling the tropics. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted December 8, 2016 Report Share Posted December 8, 2016 8 days away.... Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 8, 2016 Report Share Posted December 8, 2016 I'll tell you one thing: the incredibly dense fog over the past two nights in the Snoqualmie Valley has lent itself to two absolutely beautiful mornings. This morning there was a thick layer of frost on everything, with the blue sky piercing overhead and the snowy Cascades in the distance. If we can't get snow, I would gladly settle for this again. Gorgeous. On another note, the 12z GFS doesn't look half bad for tonight. Shows more than the 00z run did through Friday 4PM. Snow starts around 10PM and lasts through tomorrow afternoon, at least in the EPSL. I like how a few models (GFS/Euro/NAM) show snow continuing through tomorrow. It would be nice to have a no-work day and build snowmans with my son. He's three and a half now and this will be his first snowfall where he doesn't just stare at the snow like it's food.I'm going to be that guy again...how does my area look for snowfall timing and duration? Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted December 8, 2016 Report Share Posted December 8, 2016 How have the east winds been there? We used to get them pretty good on top of Bull Mountain.Pretty breezy all last night and now. That is why I am surprised these weak radar returns are letting snow reach the ground. Should be a good sign. . Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 8, 2016 Report Share Posted December 8, 2016 8 days away.... gfs_T850_nwus_37.pngI thought the 12z looked crappy? Perhaps I was just seeing Phil posting and was assuming! haha! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted December 8, 2016 Report Share Posted December 8, 2016 It's almost like the precip is moving in around 8-9am too... I wonder who said that! I pointed out that the HRRR was showing between 9AM and 10 AM as precip arrival time since yesterday afternoon. It seems to have had a decent handle on the movement of this thing. I do recall you pointing out the precip being ahead of what was modeled though. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 8, 2016 Report Share Posted December 8, 2016 I thought the 12z looked crappy? Perhaps I was just seeing Phil posting and was assuming! haha!Lol, sorry! I was talking about the first 7 days, but this run handles the tropical forcings differently which could render my analysis worthless anyway. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heavy Snow Posted December 8, 2016 Report Share Posted December 8, 2016 I'm going to do my best not to try and look at the models today and just enjoy the Snow we're about to get. Already got my snow boots on and my sled ready. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 8, 2016 Report Share Posted December 8, 2016 12z has arctic fronts Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted December 8, 2016 Report Share Posted December 8, 2016 I pointed out that the HRRR was showing between 9AM and 10 AM as precip arrival time since yesterday afternoon. It seems to have had a decent handle on the movement of this thing. I do recall you pointing out the precip being ahead of what was modeled though. That's right, you spotted it first! Nice eye. It was Dewey who was a littler tougher to convince... Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted December 8, 2016 Report Share Posted December 8, 2016 I thought the 12z looked crappy? Perhaps I was just seeing Phil posting and was assuming! haha!Overall the run is very good. Not a 06z but good enough for the "goods"!... promising but an eternity away from a meteorological standpoint. So we have plenty of time to get screwed. Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted December 8, 2016 Report Share Posted December 8, 2016 I'm going to do my best not to try and look at the models today and just enjoy the Snow we're about to get. Already got my snow boots on and my sled ready. Love this. 1 Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted December 8, 2016 Report Share Posted December 8, 2016 I pointed out that the HRRR was showing between 9AM and 10 AM as precip arrival time since yesterday afternoon. It seems to have had a decent handle on the movement of this thing. I do recall you pointing out the precip being ahead of what was modeled though.I think most models started precip near pdx at 10. It's not there yet now. I'd say models were spot on Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 8, 2016 Report Share Posted December 8, 2016 I'm going to do my best not to try and look at the models today and just enjoy the Snow we're about to get. Already got my snow boots on and my sled ready.Make sure you go potty before you head out! 5 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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