December 2016 Observations and Model Discussion for the Pacific Northwest

[TT-SEA]

Yeah it was so accurate for today.

Never good with trapped cold air. It will be close on Monday. Definitely not an arctic blast any more.

[luvssnow_spokane]

Looks like the cold air has hung in better than expected today.  That will help us tonight for sure.

I am confused... I am right at what was forecasted for my area. odd anomaly out here.

[snow_wizard]

He would rather live in some other reality than actually looking at the maps. I am sure that random snow shower he got lead to a whole bunch of accumulation too, in his view.

 

You are sure being a ****.  I called the New Years snow a half month ago and I predicted the snowfall amounts I'm going with now several days ago and yet you make it sound like I'm an idiot.  All you can do is whine.  Pathetic.

[snow_wizard]

Yeah it was so accurate for today.

 

He's just being an idiot.

 

I'm sick and tired of his posts ruining this forum.

[Laura]

This is so entertaining.  Pass the popcorn...  

[snow_wizard]

35 on Monday is just a ridiculous prediction.  I can't imagine how any model could come up with something so obviously wrong.  I can't imagine what it would take to make the MOS show a high of 32.

[Trainwreck]

I like reading this forum everyday. I get my daily dose of Springer.

[Goducks09]

Getting darker here.

 

Well, it is almost 4PM in the dead of winter, so...  

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Yeah 55mph gusts near Bellingham is not a arctic blast? Fuckkk lol.

[snow_wizard]

I knew I should have just walked away from the computer today, but NOoooo...I just had to keep posting.

[TT-SEA]

He's just being an idiot.

 

I'm sick and tired of his posts ruining this forum.

 

 

You think the GFS MOS is that wrong for Monday?   I am an idiot for thinking it might be close?   It will be in the 33-35 degree range and your mocking me will not change that.    Arctic air was supposed to be blasting in tonight and now we are looking at upper 30s tomorrow at SEA.   You are getting ridiculous with your censorship of actual model data that we use all the time.   

[luvssnow_spokane]

You are sure being a ****.  I called the New Years snow a half month ago and I predicted the snowfall amounts I'm going with now several days ago and yet you make it sound like I'm an idiot.  All you can do is whine.  Pathetic.

Just to clarify... I Never called you an idot... -- I am not whining... I am calling it as you see it. You think we are going to get buried and we should all be excited about the long range. I think tonight will be marginal here (my house with a trace to two inches max), it is going as forecasted for my area and the long range is not looking as promising and has enough to be concerned about...

 

BUT i never called you an idiot! I just disagree ...  I Hope you get buried and I hope I do to. I AM not offended or sad if I am wrong and I hope I am. Amen, God bless and thank you!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Ensembles aren't a disaster. About the same as the 12z. 

[Winterdog]

This is so entertaining.  Pass the popcorn...  

I feel like passing something.

[snow_wizard]

Unexpected precip coming up from the WSW about to hit this area now.  I see lots of surprises tonight.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Here is how everyone could have a high above freezing Monday, lows not that low because of cloud cover and mixing, full sunshine and 850s a little warmer than initially modeled. Relax, Tuesday and Wednesday will have cooler highs. Right now I'd say about 32 at PDX and SEA for Monday, but a degree or two warmer wouldn't be a massive shocker. 

[TT-SEA]

Getting some nice moderate snow and 30.5 here.  

[Deweydog]

Here is how everyone could have a high above freezing Monday, lows not that low because of cloud cover and mixing, full sunshine and 850s a little warmer than initially modeled. Relax, Tuesday and Wednesday will have cooler highs. Right now I'd say about 32 at PDX and SEA for Monday, but a degree or two warmer wouldn't be a massive shocker.

I like my original call of 34 for PDX Monday.

[snow_wizard]

Ensembles aren't a disaster. About the same as the 12z.

Yeah...it shows the second cold shot with 850s around -8 for Seattle. Of course that means a colder outcome has a decent chance of happening. The mean doesn't go above -5 until way out there.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Nobody's right if everone's wrong..

[TT-SEA]

Here is how everyone could have a high above freezing Monday, lows not that low because of cloud cover and mixing, full sunshine and 850s a little warmer than initially modeled. Relax, Tuesday and Wednesday will have cooler highs. Right now I'd say about 32 at PDX and SEA for Monday, but a degree or two warmer wouldn't be a massive shocker. 

 

33 or 34 at SEA is a good call for Monday.   

[snow_wizard]

Weird stuff going with the radar. Definitely good news for South King County (or maybe all of King County) it would appear. Looks like it's filling from different directions.

[snow_wizard]

Nobody's right if everone's wrong..

I get what you're saying. I went too far.

[TT-SEA]

Weird stuff going with the radar. Definitely good news for South King County (or maybe all of King County) it would appear. Looks like it's filling from different directions.

 

The models have always shown fairly widespread precip initially with the front.   Then the SW winds... then a c-zone.  

 

You really lose sight of just the basic stuff at times like this... your mind plays so many tricks on you and you don't even know its happening.  

[Deweydog]

The models have always shown fairly widespread precip initially with the front. Then the SW winds... then a c-zone.

 

You really lose sight of just the basic stuff at times like this... your mind plays so many tricks on you and you don't even know its happening.

You also can't let it go.

 

We have to suffer through the both of you.

[TT-SEA]

You also can't let it go.

 

We have to suffer through the both of you.

 

He has been in attack mode all day.     

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

It can snow in western washington with a south wind.. Just sayin.

[TT-SEA]

Main front and the most widespread precip passing through now... should be through by 6.   

 

The period from 6-10 is when the wind and slightly warmer temps will arrive.   From 10 p.m. onward its all about the c-zones.  

[Timmy]

Down to 29 here

[FroYoBro]

Down to 29 here

Is it currently snowing?

[TT-SEA]

It can snow in western washington with a south wind.. Just sayin.

 

 

Snowing hard here right now with a noticeable south wind and 31.  

 

Ground is totally white and trees are covered.  

[Deweydog]

He has been in attack mode all day.

Great.

[Bryant]

Traffic headed South looks slow

[luminen]

When snowfall, especially a decent snowfall, is on the line, people get pretty irrational in the PNW lowlands. 

[Deweydog]

Nice.

[ShawniganLake]

Clear blue skies here. Barely a cloud in sight. At least the temp is dropping. 33F.

[Bryant]

It can snow in western washington with a south wind.. Just sayin.

Exactly what it's doing in Whatcom County

[Deweydog]

When snowfall, especially a decent snowfall, is on the line, people get pretty irrational in the PNW lowlands.

This is supposed to be fun after all.

[The Swamp]

I gotta tell you, looking at the satellite picture makes me happy.

 

I like the progression for the next 12 hours.

 

Still have a shot at an arctic boundary setting up and pushing through the central sound.

 

41 and moderate rain here in the swamp.

[Perturbed Member]

34F here, cooler than I expected. Sooner or later that south wind should be saying hello here.