hlcater Posted December 14, 2016 Report Share Posted December 14, 2016 Sorry, if you took offense. I forgot in this day and age one must be PC at all times. I know Grizz, we get drinks from time to time, so I know he is not taking offense to this joke nor any other I make regarding him. I don't insult people I do not know, fyi.not taking offense at all, just took it as you didn't know him, in which case would've been uncalled for if you ask me. but if you know him, that's not my business Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clintbeed1993 Posted December 14, 2016 Report Share Posted December 14, 2016 http://theweatherforums.com/index.php/topic/1127-winter-banter-and-complaint-thread/ Just going to leave this here... 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
6789 Posted December 14, 2016 Report Share Posted December 14, 2016 Dear God, please shift North by another 50 miles. I might be the only person from Chicago hoping this doesn't pan out to be anything major. A chemistry final at 9 A.M. on Saturday + this = horrible. Commuting an hour into the city would just be a nightmare. Oh well, backside snows after 11 A.M. on Saturday are welcome . What a crazy way to begin winter, just went outside and it was BRUTAL. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 14, 2016 Author Report Share Posted December 14, 2016 Tom, could this still shift south by maybe 50 miles or so?Could go either way. I remember with the last system the RPM/NAM placed the heavy band in S Wisco and not so much in N IL at this range. Shifts will happen at this range. The main energy will be sampled by 00z Thursday. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted December 14, 2016 Report Share Posted December 14, 2016 You people realize it's Dec 13th right?? Not March 13th. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted December 14, 2016 Report Share Posted December 14, 2016 Here's some precip maps on GGEM. 78: http://maps3.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ggem/2016121400/078/prateptype.us_mw.png http://maps3.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ggem/2016121400/084/prateptype.us_mw.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaycee Posted December 14, 2016 Report Share Posted December 14, 2016 As the complaints become present, We sit here, A drought in the making, A dust storm near. As Iowans crumble, We can't help but chuckle, Laugh at the familiar pain, That stings like a bumble, As Chicago continues to win, and us to lose, Cheers my lads, let's drink some booze. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted December 14, 2016 Report Share Posted December 14, 2016 The energy associated with this storm won't even be sampled for another 48 hours and I heard it isn't in the best location right now to be sampled and we have people getting this upset...Brings back memories of my worst days on americanwx Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted December 14, 2016 Report Share Posted December 14, 2016 Brings back memories of my worst days on americanwx I've seen too many big changes inside 84-96 hours to get all worked up or excited. Sampling matters a lot. Won't take much to get this thing to be a wound up storm. Won't take much to lose it either. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted December 14, 2016 Report Share Posted December 14, 2016 0z GGEM: http://maps3.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ggem/2016121400/102/snku_acc.us_mw.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ToastedRavs Posted December 14, 2016 Report Share Posted December 14, 2016 As the complaints become present, We sit here, A drought in the making, A dust storm near. As Iowans crumble, We can't help but chuckle, Laugh at the familiar pain, That stings like a bumble, As Chicago continues to win, and us to lose, Cheers my lads, let's drink some booze. You have talent over there! Maybe from the lack of snow shoveling! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clintbeed1993 Posted December 14, 2016 Report Share Posted December 14, 2016 The energy associated with this storm won't even be sampled for another 48 hours and I heard it isn't in the best location right now to be sampled and we have people getting this upset... Let me put it this way. Nebraskans feel like SJW's the morning after Trump was elected. It's brutal out here. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted December 14, 2016 Report Share Posted December 14, 2016 Brings back memories of my worst days on americanwx I kind of miss bowme and wisconsinwx Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 14, 2016 Author Report Share Posted December 14, 2016 I kind of miss bowme and wisconsinwxWhere has WisconsinWx been??? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andrew NE Posted December 14, 2016 Report Share Posted December 14, 2016 0z GGEM: http://maps3.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ggem/2016121400/102/snku_acc.us_mw.pngI would take that solution all day long tbh. 3-4" Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted December 14, 2016 Report Share Posted December 14, 2016 0z GGEM: http://maps3.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ggem/2016121400/102/snku_acc.us_mw.png9" dumped on my house! Id take it 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted December 14, 2016 Report Share Posted December 14, 2016 Ukie looks pretty strong: http://img.meteocentre.com/models/ukmet_amer_00/GZ_D5_PN_096_0000.gif GGEM 96: http://img.meteocentre.com/models/gemglb_amer_00/GZ_D5_PN_096_0000.gif Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted December 14, 2016 Report Share Posted December 14, 2016 I kind of miss bowme and wisconsinwxAnd alek. The man could stir the pot like no other, but he knew his weather Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted December 14, 2016 Report Share Posted December 14, 2016 And alek. The man could stir the pot like no other, but he knew his weather ya, he loved to mess with people. Is bowme still on AMWX? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted December 14, 2016 Report Share Posted December 14, 2016 ya, he loved to mess with people. Is bowme still on AMWX?No got sent to exile island Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted December 14, 2016 Report Share Posted December 14, 2016 And alek. The man could stir the pot like no other, but he knew his weatherHe got chased out in PR. but that is a whole other story. He definitely knew how to push some people's buttons, but he wasn't stupid, like you said. Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaycee Posted December 14, 2016 Report Share Posted December 14, 2016 Good thing the GEM is about as accurate as the Mayan's end of the world prediction. Canada just legalized the green, and I'm pretty sure the GEM shmerks some of that chron chron slip john before every run. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted December 14, 2016 Report Share Posted December 14, 2016 Seemed like things reversed. For awhile it used to be GFS the stronger/slower model and the globals weaker/south. Now Ukie/GGEM came in slower/stronger and GFS faster/weaker. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted December 14, 2016 Report Share Posted December 14, 2016 Pretty big spread on the GFS Ensembles: http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs-ens/2016121400/gfs-ememb_lowlocs_us_15.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted December 14, 2016 Report Share Posted December 14, 2016 Nobody stayed up for the euro??? Good idea. It was virtually identical to the previous several runs Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted December 14, 2016 Report Share Posted December 14, 2016 6z GFS: http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2016121406/120/snku_acc.us_mw.png 6z NAM: http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/nam/2016121406/084/snku_acc.us_mw.png http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/nam/2016121406/084/refcmp_ptype.us_mw.png Takes a 996 L over southern LM with a nice defo band Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted December 14, 2016 Report Share Posted December 14, 2016 MPX and ARX pulled the trigger on a Winter Storm Watch. MPX talks about the thick dendritic growth zone and ratios up to 18:1. Half of the top 15 CIPS analogs have storms that produced double digit snowfalls in MN/WI. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted December 14, 2016 Report Share Posted December 14, 2016 Euro is getting drier for many... Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowshoe Posted December 14, 2016 Report Share Posted December 14, 2016 Green Bay with an advisory for wind chills. Holding off on watch for snow for now. Offices to the westare contemplating winter storm watches at this time. Since thiswill a 5th into a 7th period event, will hold off on a winterstorm watch for now. Quote WISCONSIN RAPIDS Wisconsin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 14, 2016 Author Report Share Posted December 14, 2016 00z GFS Para... http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfsp/2016121400/gfsp_asnow_us_18.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 14, 2016 Author Report Share Posted December 14, 2016 00z Euro with an advisory snow for N IL/N IN/S MI... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowshoe Posted December 14, 2016 Report Share Posted December 14, 2016 Watches issued for western Wisconsin Quote WISCONSIN RAPIDS Wisconsin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted December 14, 2016 Report Share Posted December 14, 2016 Love msp/eau claire area currently for this one Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 14, 2016 Author Report Share Posted December 14, 2016 Love msp/eau claire area currently for this oneYour area and S/C Wisco is sitting pretty. I'm riding the edge. Historically, a track from from STL to FWA is ideal for N IL. Hope the smaller features of this system start getting ironed out and placement of a possible defo band can somehow swing through. From LOT: There is growing model consensus on the low trackingfrom near STL Saturday morning to near FWA Saturday afternoon.While the ECMWF remains a hair farther south compared to the GFS,differences are getting smaller. With that in mind, there isgrowing confidence in a primarily snow event north of I-80 withthe threat for a wintry mix including sleet and freezing rain upto but primarily south of the I-80 corridor. Snowfall shouldreally ramp up starting around midday Friday as mid-level warm airadvection strengthens. Strongest f-gen corridor appears to fallclose to the IL/WI state line and north. Several inches ofaccumulating snowfall appear possible, but the axis of heaviestsnow, at least with this set of model runs, may fall just to ournorth. Snow totals will quickly taper south of I-80 where warmertemps will result in less efficient snow and a mix at times. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted December 14, 2016 Report Share Posted December 14, 2016 Yup looking drier and drier for my area. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted December 14, 2016 Report Share Posted December 14, 2016 Normally a storm like this going over or very near STL would give C.IA a whooping. Especially with the cold air in place and with WAA making precip type issues in S.IA-- this one just doesn't have it for C.IA and never seems to really phase. Oh well- if you can't beat em' , join em'. Don't have to worry about the wife doing the driveway so I'am going winter camping to the BWCAW this weekend--- hot tenting for those who ask. Gave up the cold tenting in the dead winter once I got past 35. 3 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 14, 2016 Author Report Share Posted December 14, 2016 Normally a storm like this going over or very near STL would give C.IA a whooping. Especially with the cold air in place and with WAA making precip type issues in S.IA-- this one just doesn't have it for C.IA and never seems to really phase. Oh well- if you can't beat em' , join em'. Going winter camping to the BWCAW this weekend anyway--- hot tenting for those who ask. Gave up the cold tenting in the dead winter once I got past 35.12471771_1101329056578893_5311514136331789371_o.jpgThat's awesome! Reminds me of how the homesteaders in Alaska live off the grid. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 14, 2016 Author Report Share Posted December 14, 2016 @ Okwx, confidence is growing that you may squeeze out some snow for the first time this season. GEFS are showing a back side band to form. http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs-ens/2016121406/gfs-ens_apcpn24_us_15.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted December 14, 2016 Report Share Posted December 14, 2016 The 3z SREF plumes for MSP show 4 big dogs between 15"-17.5", and a few more over 12". With a mean of 8.5". The drier runs of the Euro give me pause, although it's been pretty stingy with precip totals lately. Feeling good for at least 4-6" here at this point. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 14, 2016 Author Report Share Posted December 14, 2016 00z GEPS... http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gem-ens/2016121400/gem-ens_apcpn_us_20.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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