Cascadia_Wx Posted December 6, 2022 Report Share Posted December 6, 2022 Just now, DeepFriedEgg said: Eye-bleed inducing low tracks. Eye-bleed inducing posts. 4 1 2 1 Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weiner Warrior Posted December 6, 2022 Report Share Posted December 6, 2022 Great Euro run. Lot's of potential 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted December 6, 2022 Report Share Posted December 6, 2022 850s do drop again and it looks like cold air is reorganizing in BC 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 6, 2022 Report Share Posted December 6, 2022 Day 10 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeepFriedEgg Posted December 6, 2022 Report Share Posted December 6, 2022 This ain't it chief. Need pattern reset. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 6, 2022 Report Share Posted December 6, 2022 Pretty good run. A lot of potential. Focusing on Day 4 to 6 at this point. Seems like a decent bet someone from Everett to PDX sees another shot at lowland snow although it may be brief. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 6, 2022 Report Share Posted December 6, 2022 00z ECMWF 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted December 6, 2022 Report Share Posted December 6, 2022 That high though... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted December 6, 2022 Report Share Posted December 6, 2022 41/29 day here, chilly and sunny. Low clouds have moved in now with a temp of 35. Still have a few crusty patches of snow around from yesterday. WINTER. 1 Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted December 6, 2022 Report Share Posted December 6, 2022 I feel like it was this trough or whatever that dove down from the north. It wasn't there in the 12z run 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nov1985 Posted December 6, 2022 Report Share Posted December 6, 2022 7 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: Pretty good run. A lot of potential. Focusing on Day 4 to 6 at this point. Seems like a decent bet someone from Everett to PDX sees another shot at lowland snow although it may be brief. Just needs a little nip here, a tuck there, and it turns into a decent snow event with a couples days notice. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeepFriedEgg Posted December 6, 2022 Report Share Posted December 6, 2022 Man the cold air is right there. Can't get it down with this weak ridge and bad through placement.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWbyNW Posted December 6, 2022 Report Share Posted December 6, 2022 14 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: Seems like a decent bet someone from Everett to PDX sees another shot at lowland snow although it may be brief. Really narrowing it down there aren't ya? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 6, 2022 Report Share Posted December 6, 2022 16 minutes ago, NWbyNW said: Really narrowing it down there aren't ya? Seattle to Gresham 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 6, 2022 Report Share Posted December 6, 2022 C'mon EPS!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 6, 2022 Report Share Posted December 6, 2022 39 minutes ago, Poulsbo Snowman said: Looks like the Day After Tomorrow. My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terreboner Posted December 6, 2022 Report Share Posted December 6, 2022 Never underestimate Hollywood's ability to spend millions of dollars and not use any of it on real weather research or knowledge. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowWillarrive Posted December 6, 2022 Report Share Posted December 6, 2022 6 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: Seattle to Gresham Don’t tell Mossman 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 6, 2022 Report Share Posted December 6, 2022 13 years ago right now dew points were dropping quite rapidly! 1 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted December 6, 2022 Report Share Posted December 6, 2022 8 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: Seattle to Gresham Anchorage to Whales **. Imagine the weather weenying from the least coasters from the entire western seaboard of NA is coated in snow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted December 6, 2022 Report Share Posted December 6, 2022 00z EPS Mean and Control through Day 10 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terreboner Posted December 6, 2022 Report Share Posted December 6, 2022 2 minutes ago, Kolk1604 said: 00z EPS Mean and Control through Day 10 Hr 132 is quite the bulge. Reminds me of looking down at myself in 1995. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 6, 2022 Report Share Posted December 6, 2022 Total snow per 00Z ECMWF. Matt will probably point out another Cannon Beach special. 1 1 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 6, 2022 Report Share Posted December 6, 2022 00Z EPS... 1 1 1 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 6, 2022 Report Share Posted December 6, 2022 2 hours ago, snow_wizard said: If the GFS and 12z ECMWF are correct the first half of December will be really cold. Almost a given at this point. SEA is currently running -8 for a 1/3rd of that period and there is nothing even close to warmer than normal in sight. Without any significant warm. wet SW flow it seems likely that the entire month will end up cold. 1 2 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 6, 2022 Report Share Posted December 6, 2022 RIP Kirstie Alley. 3 2 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 6, 2022 Report Share Posted December 6, 2022 47 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Almost a given at this point. SEA is currently running -8 for a 1/3rd of that period and there is nothing even close to warmer than normal in sight. Without any significant warm. wet SW flow it seems likely that the entire month will end up cold. Yeah EPS surface temps after Day 6 shows the Gorge and Columbia Basin(WA) never reaches freezing progressively turning colder through the end of the run. A definite prolonged cold pool signature which likely means a multi-day east wind episode for the Gorge/PDX metro. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 6, 2022 Report Share Posted December 6, 2022 Mid month inversions looking likely. 2 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 6, 2022 Report Share Posted December 6, 2022 Sorry been asleep. Just noticed PDX nice snow storm 6-10" metro area. Surface temps Day 7 to 9 26-31 F gusty to strong east wind. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 6, 2022 Report Share Posted December 6, 2022 There has been precip on the radar over my area most of the night and the current 925mb temp is -1C and there is no south wind... and yet there is only light rain falling and my snow cover went down a little more overnight. Current temp is 33. I was sure there would be at least some snow falling when I turned on the outside light. ECMWF shows the south wind picking up this afternoon then light wind tomorrow and a stronger south wind on Thursday. The south wind is definitely a snow killer here. Its pretty rare to have accumulating snow with a south wind here even with a 925mb temp well below freezing. It is also unfortunately effective at melting existing snow cover. 2 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 6, 2022 Report Share Posted December 6, 2022 06Z ECMWF shows a high of 43 at SEA every day through Friday. Pretty consistent. I am trying to find a way the 00Z GFS could be right with the snow event it showed for Friday but its a big stretch this time. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted December 6, 2022 Report Share Posted December 6, 2022 1 hour ago, TT-SEA said: 06Z ECMWF shows a high of 43 at SEA every day through Friday. Pretty consistent. I am trying to find a way the 00Z GFS could be right with the snow event it showed for Friday but its a big stretch this time. So you’re trying to tell me that Seattle isn’t going to get a major snowstorm for every cool maritime trough this winter? BS!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 6, 2022 Report Share Posted December 6, 2022 1 minute ago, FroYoBro said: So you’re trying to tell me that Seattle isn’t going to get a major snowstorm for every cool maritime trough this winter? BS!!!!! Bur there has been lowland snow with every one of them... guessing there are several more events ahead in the next 10 days. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted December 6, 2022 Report Share Posted December 6, 2022 LMAO Michael Snyder used his connections with KSEA ATC and NWS Seattle to ret-con the Trace of snow on the 4th into 0.1" of measurable snow. Officially. On the NWS Climate Data web page. I am not kidding, you can check. This means KSEA now has 6 straight days of measurable snow with this wintry pattern instead of just 5, and another 0.1" on the season. Dude made a couple of phone calls and weenied his way into literally adding more snow. That doesn't happen. Even when justified like in this case. Absolutely ABSURD. I have never, ever seen anything remotely like it. Absolute legend. 8 1 Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted December 6, 2022 Report Share Posted December 6, 2022 I'm sorry, it's just... I can't believe this has hardly really made the rounds here. Do y'all realize the implications of this??! He can just add snow at his own whim. I can't stop snickering right now. A god. Truly, a god. He's playing #wawx in creative mode with noclip enabled 5 Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted December 6, 2022 Report Share Posted December 6, 2022 2 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: LMAO Michael Snyder used his connections with KSEA ATC and NWS Seattle to ret-con the Trace of snow on the 4th into 0.1" of measurable snow. Officially. On the NWS Climate Data web page. I am not kidding, you can check. This means KSEA now has 6 straight days of measurable snow with this wintry pattern instead of just 5, and another 0.1" on the season. Dude made a couple of phone calls and weenied his way into literally adding more snow. That doesn't happen. Even when justified like in this case. Absolutely ABSURD. I have never, ever seen anything remotely like it. Absolute legend. If the observer didn't **** it up, he wouldn't have to. And from the sound of it, they should have added more to the snowfall total too. Glad they corrected the record. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted December 6, 2022 Report Share Posted December 6, 2022 Jim would be so fucking proud 2 1 Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted December 6, 2022 Report Share Posted December 6, 2022 3 minutes ago, Snownerd3000 said: If the observer didn't **** it up, he wouldn't have to. And from the sound of it, they should have added more to the snowfall total too. Glad they corrected the record. No, I get it. I'm still salty that 12/27/2021 has a high of 27F. A 4F outlier from literally every station within 50 miles, probably because of some stupid airplane exhaust. It sabotaged the coldest high temperature reading since Dec 1990. A travesty. It's just that Michael has the power to change the weather to what he pleases, I suppose. And I am all for it, power to him. I back it 100%. He's right, it definitley, obviously measurably snowed on the 4th of this month. No arguments there. 1 Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted December 6, 2022 Report Share Posted December 6, 2022 7 hours ago, SnowWillarrive said: Don’t tell Mossman Remember…..he’s among us now 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 6, 2022 Report Share Posted December 6, 2022 (edited) 9 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: No, I get it. I'm still salty that 12/27/2021 has a high of 27F. A 4F outlier from literally every station within 50 miles, probably because of some stupid airplane exhaust. It sabotaged the coldest high temperature reading since Dec 1990. A travesty. It's just that Michael has the power to change the weather to what he pleases, I suppose. And I am all for it, power to him. I back it 100%. He's right, it definitley, obviously measurably snowed on the 4th of this month. No arguments there. Good job Mr. Snyder. Edited December 6, 2022 by SilverFallsAndrew 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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