Really, really lovely cumulonimbus action tonight! I just happened to have my drone in the car and got some solid shots of DT Seattle/Lake Washington/Mercer Island/Bellevue looking north from Skyway. Alas, the focal length of the lens doesn't do the vertical height justice and my WB was off rendering it into semi-gross HDR territory, but still... fun looking weather! It was quite windy- I was flying right at 390 ft and the drone was giving me all sorts of warnings about sustained winds/gusts.
A most incredible snow storm. At times the snowfall rates have been as heavy or slightly heavier than January 2017. Temp 27.5, Dewpoint: 27.1 with gusty east wind and very heavy snow continuing. I'm at 11 1/2" now! UNBELIEVABLE!!!! This pic does no justice at all.
NBM is quite an interesting product! Their weighting algorithm is moderately complex and dynamic, though does has some drawbacks as we saw yesterday. For those who don't know, NBM is an attempt by NOAA to create a super probabilistic forecast model that ingests output from all the models above and outputs forecast guidance for local offices that help them to gauge the relative odds of particular weather outcomes. The 'special sauce' is the post-processing, normalization and weighting that they d
We may not be getting an active storm train in the next week, but given what some projections were showing only a few days ago, low 70s and sun doesn't sound bad at all.
D7+ looks highly promising for cool and wet weather across all guidance, especially in that first trough next weekend.
My phone forecast just changed to 78 and rain for day today with not a cloud in the sky.
Presumably because some model shows a little drizzle with the marine layer by midnight. Pretty funny though with no clouds even at the coast yet. Non weather people are probably looking at the sky now wondering when the rain will start.
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