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PNW February 2023 Weather Discussion - Meteorological winter finale


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29 minutes ago, Phil said:

Much hotter than last summer (at least in my area). There was a cooldown in late July, right as I was leaving for the PNW to visit with family/go fishing. I brought the heat with me, apparently.

Though the “hot” days in western WA were actually very comfortable by DC standards. I caught a Mariners/Yankees game immediately after arriving and it actually felt cool in the shade. 😎 

Yeah, we got lucky last summer in KY and it was front loaded. I'm under the impression that August is also the warmest month on average out here as well, which wasn't the case and this year could easily rearrange that. 

Other than a couple hot outlier days in September, it seemed like we went into the Fall season on a very mild note.

I'll let you know when I hear my first cicada. I enjoyed their presence (are the complaints mostly from farmland/rural areas?), it's the katydids that can be a nuisance. 

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Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 18
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 

Severe storms: 2

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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36 at the house. Should hit about 38-39. Tomorrow looks a lot colder, outside chance at a sub freezing high. NWS going with 33.

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

Looking farther ahead... its becoming apparent its going to go zonal and wet per the EPS.

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-z500_anom-1677499200-1677499200-1678795200-10.gif

Great news. We need the rain and likely accompanying mountain snow.

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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2 minutes ago, FroYoBro said:

Lol. It shows every square  mile of western Oregon getting sticking snow tonight? 

Sure.

 

I would be flabbergasted to see sticking snow below 700’.

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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14 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

I would be flabbergasted to see sticking snow below 700’.

Really?? i'd be amazed if there wasn't sticking snow down to a few hundred feet around the coast range. I don't know when you are serious sometimes either.

We come from the land of the ice and snow.

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4 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

LOL... 18Z ICON is even farther north tomorrow than its 12Z run.   

ECMWF is going to own all the other models tomorrow.

King Euro all the way! Hoping it doesn’t end up biting towards the other models on the 18z.

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2023 - 2024 Cold Season Stats

Total Snowfall - 0.75”

Max Snow Depth - 0.5”

Coldest High Temp - 21 (Jan 13)

Coldest Low Temp - 9 (Jan 13)

Number of Freezes - 51

Sub-40 highs - 12

Highs 32 or lower - 3

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6 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

LOL... 18Z ICON is even farther north tomorrow than its 12Z run.   

ECMWF is going to own all the other models tomorrow.

Me thinks it caves on the 18z but we will see!

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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Hopefully we can still salvage something up here Everett north…Getting nervous. 
 

Snow is really coming down now all of a sudden! 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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2 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

RGEM was also north 

Yeah the RGEM does not look so great.

4B523BA5-04F9-4DD7-A636-98EDF8E9CA51.png

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2023 - 2024 Cold Season Stats

Total Snowfall - 0.75”

Max Snow Depth - 0.5”

Coldest High Temp - 21 (Jan 13)

Coldest Low Temp - 9 (Jan 13)

Number of Freezes - 51

Sub-40 highs - 12

Highs 32 or lower - 3

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22 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Really?? i'd be amazed if there wasn't sticking snow down to a few hundred feet around the coast range. I don't know when you are serious sometimes either.

In Oregon. In the willamette valley. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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7 minutes ago, Cold Snap said:

Yeah the RGEM does not look so great.

4B523BA5-04F9-4DD7-A636-98EDF8E9CA51.png

These northern runs are actually pretty good down here because the southern lobe of moisture comes in further north. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Just a few random snowflakes here today... and I can make out the outline of the sun through the clouds.   Tomorrow will likely be very different here.   Snowblower is ready to go.

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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I am going to bump this post tomorrow to show how wrong the ICON can be when it goes about against the ECMWF.     This is a comically bad map... but still probably correct for the northern areas.    

icon-all-washington-total_snow_10to1-7650400.png

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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