Esquimalt Posted January 20, 2019 Report Share Posted January 20, 2019 The parallel really delivers for WA in particular. Wicked Fraser outflow, very cold, and snow.500 mb pattern is dream worthy. Would probably be an amazing cold snap if it verified. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 Really nailed it with this post. After all, no one is here to analyze the models and look forward to potential time frames of cold and snow... that would just be pointless, wouldn't it?Yep, that is “exactly” what I was trying to say. *eyeroll* moving on. Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 My son got me a drone for Christmas and I've been having a blast with it up here at my property. Really amazing to watch the videos after a flight but today i crashed into the top of a 100ft tall tree and i had to sit there for 30 minutes and shoot at the limb with my ar 15 untill i blew the branch in 2 lol.Dang that sucks ... is the drone okay? What kind of drone? I have a DJI Mavic Pro and I love it it. Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 Holy crap! The FV3 is freeking orgasmic. The best run to date for that model since they began running it. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 Trees have enough to worry about with this drought... Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 Yep, that is “exactly” what I was trying to say. *eyeroll* moving on. I think you missed his point by a thousand miles. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 The thing is the favorable progression is well within day 10 now. That's why it's a bit more exciting.Agreed! I am watching that time from like a hawk. Posted late last night when I saw that potential progression showing up last night. Close but long ways to go. Much potential! Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 Very pretty evening here. 9 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 A great FV 3 run. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 A great FV 3 run. Yup, regional goodies. Now to get it inside 8 days. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 This snow isn't gonna be quite as big as the last 6" inch one I don't think. Showers are very scattered in comparison. Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 21 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, 5/7 5/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 21, 2019 Popular Post Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 One of the most stunning sunsets I've ever seen in person. 11 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 I think you missed his point by a thousand miles.Usually it is the arctic air that misses us by a thousand miles. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 Yeah as others mentioned the FV3 was outstanding. It has that initial chilly/warning shot as the GFS/ECMWF Day 7-8 and THEN it unloads on us. Thickness bottoms out at 506 PDX, 504 Seattle, 498 Spokane. 850s PDX -14c, Seattle -16c, Gorge/Columbia Basin -20c to -27c! Snow from southwestern BC down to Medford. C'MON!!!! Bring it on!!! [Model Countdown]Next up....00z NAM in 41 minutes (5:41 PM) Later this evening....00z GFS in 2 hours 27 minutes (7:27 PM)00z GEM/CMC in 2 hours 50 minutes (7:50 PM)00z ECMWF in 4 hours 45 minutes (9:45 PM) C'MON Strong BLOCK! C'MON Retrogression! C'MON Kona LOW! C'MON Old Man Winter! C'MON Old Woman Winter! C'MON Santa! Think Cold and SNOW!!!!❄ ❄ ☃ ❄ ❄ 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 ****. I just thought about warmth and sun. Sorry guys. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crf450ish Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 Holy crap! The FV3 is freeking orgasmic. The best run to date for that model since they began running it.Post the map! Are you feeling more confident in a back loaded winter this winter? Such as that of what occurred in March of '89... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 Would that be really cold onshore flow? Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 ****. I just thought about warmth and sun. Sorry guys.I think we need less analysis and more cheerleading. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 So many maps, yesssss! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted January 21, 2019 Author Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 I just saw it and holy s**t! Yeah, it's the best run the FV3 has ever shown. All eyes on the 00z runs tonight! Think Cold and Heavy Snow! Let's go!!!!! ❄ Wow. I remember the GFS last year actually showed a regional snowstorm associated with a 960-970 low slamming into Forks at hour 180 around December. 1 Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 Clouds beginning to thin now. Down to 37, if we can get some clearing tonight would be chilly as upper level temps are below 0C at 850mb. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 I'm thinking of doing a ski trip from 2/1-2/3 or 2/2-2/4 to take advantage of the pow that will fall on the mountain if the cold air mass delivers. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 Really good clearing occurring now in the central sound for the eclipse tonight Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 Nice to see some snow falling in Pendleton. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 Still rainy here. 42. Had a 44/34 spread. No eclipse for us. Was fortunate to get totality for the solar eclipse in Aug 2017 tho. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 Nice to see some snow falling in Pendleton.Ya snowing there since 2 PM 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 Anchorage NWS The Long Term section is very interesting. The storm track is expected to shift slowly westward in time towards Kamchatka which is key and would allow for an Alaskan block potential cold pattern to setup over us. Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast DiscussionNational Weather Service Anchorage AK538 AM AKST Sun Jan 20 2019 .LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7: Tuesday through Saturday)... Model uncertainty with the track of individual lows and as a result, any hazardous weather associated there with is high today. A few things can be said regarding the large-scale weather pattern, however. An upper level trough over the central Bering will shift west and consolidate into an upper level low that will persist over the western Bering through Saturday. Further east, an upper level ridge over the western half of North America will amplify through the week. With much of mainland Alaska in between, this will set the stage for the pattern to become increasingly active as the upper level winds turn predominately out of the south. The southerly winds and frequent bouts of precipitation should return Southern Alaska to a notably warmer and cloudier weather pattern from Tuesday through Friday. **The upper low shifts further west towards Kamchatka, which in turn will shift the storm track slowly westward in time perhaps allowing for quieter weather for the weekend.** Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 The 00z a week from Tuesday will be very telling. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 The 00z a week from Tuesday will be very telling.I couldn't agree more. Well, I could, but that could become annoying. 00z GFS Tuesday 1/29 in 193 hours 37 minutes00z GFS Tuesday 1/29 in 194 hours00z ECMWF Tuesday 1/29 in 197 hours 55 minutes Mark this down on your favorite calendar. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 What a satanic run. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 Anyone see the FV-3? Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted January 21, 2019 Author Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 What a satanic run. Huh? Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted January 21, 2019 Author Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 Anyone see the FV-3? Twas' awful, per the norm. Not a single sub-920 low crashing onto the WA coast. Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 Anyone see the FV-3?/Never heard of it. Is it better than the NAMGAPS? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 Huh? The great SATAN himself would approve. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 What a satanic run.Which one? Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 35...Maybe I will be able to see this eclipse. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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