January 2019 Weather in the Pacific Northwest

[GHweatherChris]

Phew, the 2018/19 analog is still currently on the table, hopefully the Euro can stay consistent...

[luvssnow_spokane]

I am hoping for a really strong Fraser River outflow event with a flash freeze push. Temps dropping like 15 degrees in an hour type event associated with heavy snow. BRING IT!

[TT-SEA]

You'd think with the possibilities being shown that the needless bickering would end but guess not. Some things never change!

Nope... Bryant would rather focus on me. Even when there is something very real to track. I live inside his head.

[Jesse]

Anxiously awaiting the 00Z GFS ensembles.

[luvssnow_spokane]

Kind of like you felt the potential a couple weeks ago, then didn't feel it, then felt it again, then didn't feel it again...?

You get the idea

Geesh give it a rest!

[VancouverIslandSouth]

Feb 2017 Snow:

 

 

Feb 2018 Snow:

 

 

 

Feb 2019 Snow:

 

???

[Esquimalt]

Feb 2017 Snow:

 

 

Feb 2018 Snow:

 

 

 

Feb 2019 Snow:

 

???

Both of those events were georgia straight enhancement events. The overrunning event in 2017 was quite inferior.

[TT-SEA]

Your continued attacks on Jessie and Bryant are both unwarranted and disgusting. Please note that I will take the appropriate criminal action against you.

 

 

All Bryant can do is mock and attack me... 90% of his posts.   

[SilverFallsAndrew]

00z GFS was still crap. No two way around it. 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

00z GFS was still crap. No two way around it.

 

And it might be right.

[luvssnow_spokane]

00z GFS was still crap. No two way around it.

 

Please explain... yes it was not the EURO BUT it was vastly improved.

[Requiem]

00z GFS was still crap. No two way around it.

 

It wasn’t that bad, whoa. Massive improvement over previous runs!

[Esquimalt]

Ensemble mean here on February 3rd at 4:00 pm now -9.2˚C. Op is a warm outlier. Average bottoms out at -11.4 it looks like/

[TT-SEA]

00z GFS was still crap. No two way around it. 

 

Its steadily moving towards the ECMWF now.    It will get there by tomorrow.  

[TigerWoodsLibido]

00z GFS was still crap. No two way around it. 

 

I'll still take it over the monotony of the past year.

[Deweydog]

00z GFS was still crap. No two way around it.

I take it the 528 line never makes it to your house?

[TT-SEA]

Jesus H Christ, be the bigger person then. Maybe, just maybe, if you didn't react to every little jab he sent your way he would stop.

 

Remember in Kindergarten when your teacher said to just ignore people who don't treat you right? I think it's about time you listen to that advice. 40-something years later is better than never.

 

Call him out.    

 

I would never respond to him otherwise.   Ever.   

[Deweydog]

Ensemble mean here on February 3rd at 4:00 pm now -9.2˚C. Op is a warm outlier. Average bottoms out at -11.4 it looks like/

Not bad for April! Lololollllllollol!!!

[Gradient Keeper]

00z GFS Ensembles (through Feb 5th) PDX mean temp down to -9c. HUGE improvement!

 

[Timmy]

wow, GFS ensemble mean to -9c on feb 4th for pdx.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

OH my fucKK

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Wow. MASSIVE GFS ensemble improvements. Mean at PDX drops to -9C now. A 3-4C drop from the 18z. 

[VancouverIslandSouth]

Both of those events were georgia straight enhancement events. The overrunning event in 2017 was quite inferior.

 

There were 3 events here in 2017, that picture is just after the first one on Feb 6th. There was an overrunning event a few days later that dropped about 6" and a smaller convergence like event toward the end of the month that dropped another couple inches. The first Feb 2017 event wasn't a Georgia Strait enhancement, it was the case of cold onshore flow running over colder Fraser Valley outflow. The event last February was a convergence type event. We haven't had a good Georgia Strait enhancement since Jan 2012. That said, we can do just fine with the stuff coming down the Juan de Fuca so long as we have outflow; one of the single best events in the past 20 years (Nov 2006) was a Juan de Fuca strait-effect snow.

[BLI snowman]

Not bad for April! Lololollllllollol!!!

 

April is ending in a couple more days, it will be February by then.

[TT-SEA]

00z GFS Ensembles (through Feb 5th) PDX mean temp down to -9c. HUGE improvement!

 

 

NWS will have to pay attention now... there is no warm model to pick from.  

[TigerWoodsLibido]

LOL PDX ensemble mean dropped as low as the coldest outlier on the previous run. 

[Timmy]

guys, its January 30th (in New York)

[Deweydog]

April is ending in a couple more days, it will be February by then.

It’s January 29th.

 

This is an apple.

[Omegaraptor]

April is ending in a couple more days, it will be February by then.

 

Cold April with shorter days.

 

2.79" at PDX which is similar to a typical April.

[Esquimalt]

There were 3 events here in 2017, that picture is just after the first one on Feb 6th. There was an overrunning event a few days later that dropped about 6" and a smaller convergence like event toward the end of the month that dropped another dropped another couple inches. The first Feb 2017 event wasn't a Georgia Strait enhancement, it was the case of cold onshore flow running over colder Fraser Valley outflow. The event last February was a convergence type event. We haven't had a good Georgia Strait enhancement since Jan 2012. That said, we can do just fine with the stuff coming down the Juan de Fuca so long as we have outflow; one of the single best events in the past 20 years (Nov 2006) was a Juan de Fuca strait-effect snow.

Now that I think about it I think you're right about the first february 2017 event. Which event do you think this is most likely to be if there is snow involved?

[BLI snowman]

Wow. MASSIVE GFS ensemble improvements. Mean at PDX drops to -9C now. A 3-4C drop from the 18z. 

 

Crap. No too ways about that.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

I'll be recording all 3 EUG stations weather forecasts tonight to see which one blinks first.  

 

Not sure why we don't have a Fox affiliate with local news.  Honestly, EUG and PDX need to merge media markets.

[Jesse]

Nice to hear about the ensemble improvement. My link hasn't updated yet but it sounds good.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

00z GFS Ensembles (through Feb 5th) PDX mean temp down to -9c. HUGE improvement!

 

What a night it's been so far! ❄❄

[Front Ranger]

Probably past history.

 

But this one is different. I feel it.

 

The gut has 100% caved.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

I reckon we will be having our busiest night shift of the season tonight?

[MossMan]

3rd fabulous February in a row? Wow!

2017

2018

2019 pics coming soon.

[Deweydog]

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=8iwBM_YB1sE

[Gradient Keeper]

Ahhh, dang it.

 

An error occurred

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[Front Ranger]

00z GFS was still crap. No two way around it. 

 

Can't ignore the trend, my friend.