HighlandExperience Posted January 31, 2019 Report Share Posted January 31, 2019 Snow is rotating into King County late Monday morning... this would be ideal for snow in the Seattle area in deformation band on north side of low. But we don't want any more shifts to the west. Can you post the close up map. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted January 31, 2019 Author Report Share Posted January 31, 2019 EURO's not awful... At least not for Centralia and northward. Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 31, 2019 Report Share Posted January 31, 2019 This run is warmer. It's fine. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 31, 2019 Report Share Posted January 31, 2019 Would you rather have a high of 35 Monday and 5" of snow or a high of 31 and a trace? Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 31, 2019 Report Share Posted January 31, 2019 EURO's not awful... Kind of an understatement. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 31, 2019 Report Share Posted January 31, 2019 Day 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 31, 2019 Report Share Posted January 31, 2019 Maybe a little less snow down here through hour 120 due to less precip. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 31, 2019 Report Share Posted January 31, 2019 Definitely a step back for the valley. 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted January 31, 2019 Report Share Posted January 31, 2019 If this doesn't say "It's over", I don't know what does. D**n Victoria gets screwed Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 31, 2019 Report Share Posted January 31, 2019 Total snow through Monday at 4pm... almost all precip is gone at that point. Here is the 4-10 pm period on Monday: Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted January 31, 2019 Author Report Share Posted January 31, 2019 If this doesn't say "It's over", I don't know what does. It's good, just very meh for the W. Valley. Oh well, these details will cement themselves out in the coming days. Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted January 31, 2019 Report Share Posted January 31, 2019 Monday forecast of 38/26 will cleanly smash both our lowest high and lowest low for this winter straight out of the water. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 31, 2019 Report Share Posted January 31, 2019 And you also predicted a front-loaded winter for the West... Yeah, I screwed up the timing of the SSW downwell massively. I thought it would be 1/1 - 1/10 with that last round of EHEM forcing. This one took longer to downwell than any SSW in recorded history, probably because of the prominent wave-3 structure holding for so long, keeping westerly momentum going for a longer period of time in the lower levels. But there is no way I could have seen that coming. So I’m pretty sure I was screwed with that part no matter what. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 31, 2019 Report Share Posted January 31, 2019 Definitely a step back for the valley. Seems like less precip overall. Even up here it shows about 3-5" when it had been showing able 2X as much. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 31, 2019 Report Share Posted January 31, 2019 I’m kind of excited about this. There are some serious arguments about a heliocentric atmospheric imprint and if it is as strong as previously thought. If we go into that grand minimum, we should get an answer in as little as a couple years. Famine and destruction aside, think about winters that would put the 1800s to shame. You're gonna freak him out! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 31, 2019 Report Share Posted January 31, 2019 One more notch west and myself/my dog are going to take the boat out for a cruise on Monday! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted January 31, 2019 Report Share Posted January 31, 2019 It’s impressive how active this thread is. How’s the activity in spring and summer? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 31, 2019 Report Share Posted January 31, 2019 It's fine.Warmer and better. I prefer the shift to the west to pick up some moisture. Cold wont be a problem. This is really looking like a November 2010 repeat. Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted January 31, 2019 Report Share Posted January 31, 2019 d**n Victoria gets screwedVictoria still in the 1-2 inch range Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChilliwackBCwx Posted January 31, 2019 Report Share Posted January 31, 2019 Shawnigan if you read this our web site in B.C. crashed. Sorry to interupt you guys needed to see if some of our members were on here. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 31, 2019 Report Share Posted January 31, 2019 Also it all will melt too. Freezing ends soon after that No... this is snow going INTO cold. Much better than the other way around. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 31, 2019 Report Share Posted January 31, 2019 Surface temps Monday don't look any warmer than the 12z EURO. Sunday maybe a notch warmer because things are delayed a bit. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted January 31, 2019 Author Report Share Posted January 31, 2019 Warmer and better. I prefer the shift to the west to pick up some moisture. Cold wont be a problem. This is really looking like a November 2010 repeat. Which gave PDX basically nothing, so I'm hoping for more of a February 2011 repeat. Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 31, 2019 Report Share Posted January 31, 2019 One more notch west and myself/my dog are going to take the boat out for a cruise on Monday! Those cedars looking a little unhealthy. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 31, 2019 Report Share Posted January 31, 2019 It’s impressive how active this thread is. How’s the activity in spring and summer? Its usually just Matt, Jesse, and myself. Talking about marine pushes and heat waves and the sort. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 31, 2019 Report Share Posted January 31, 2019 Tuesday morning would be the coldest morning of the winter. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 31, 2019 Report Share Posted January 31, 2019 One more notch west and myself/my dog are going to take the boat out for a cruise on Monday!You should but my mint 93 bayliner 22 ft. 125 original hrs with a built 4.3 v6 i did. Does 60 with 4 people and full tank. Has a cuddy cabin as well. Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 31, 2019 Report Share Posted January 31, 2019 Facebook is crawling with “OMG IT’S GONNA SNOW” posts. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted January 31, 2019 Report Share Posted January 31, 2019 Victoria still in the 1-2 inch rangeNot as great as 4-5 inches Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 31, 2019 Report Share Posted January 31, 2019 Facebook is crawling with “OMG IT’S GONNA SNOW” posts. My facebook is crawling with "OMG ITS INSANELY COLD AND I WANT A WARM VACATION AND SUMMER RIGHT NOW" posts. But my feed is mostly MN and WI people. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 31, 2019 Report Share Posted January 31, 2019 Warmer and better. I prefer the shift to the west to pick up some moisture. Cold wont be a problem. This is really looking like a November 2010 repeat. I could be wrong, but I think the ideal solution would be with the main ULL hugging the coast closer and not allowing quite as much oceanic moderation as this latest solution shows. Yeah, the Euro snow maps look great for western WA, but if it were me I'd rather have slightly colder temps and still plenty of moisture to assure better sticking down to near sea level - especially if it falls during the day. Don't get me wrong, this still looks great for you guys, I just don't think it's the ideal scenario for the most people. But threading the needle with these things is always a *****. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted January 31, 2019 Report Share Posted January 31, 2019 It's good, just very meh for the W. Valley. Oh well, these details will cement themselves out in the coming days.Yeah, we're still about 4 days away from this event happening. The finer details will change as we get closer and closer to the event. The big picture is that lowland snow is possible for pretty much everybody on this forum. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 31, 2019 Report Share Posted January 31, 2019 My facebook is crawling with "OMG ITS INSANELY COLD AND I WANT A WARM VACATION AND SUMMER RIGHT NOW" posts.Be thankful you live where you do. Count your blessings! 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted January 31, 2019 Report Share Posted January 31, 2019 Not as great as 4-5 inches We’ll see. Pretty much impossible to model surface lows well this far in advance. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 31, 2019 Report Share Posted January 31, 2019 I could be wrong, but I think the ideal solution would be with the main ULL hugging the coast closer and not allowing quite as much oceanic moderation as this latest solution shows. Yeah, the Euro snow maps look great for western WA, but if it were me I'd rather have slightly colder temps and still plenty of moisture to assure better sticking down to near sea level - especially if it falls during the day. Don't get me wrong, this still looks great for you guys, I just don't think it's the ideal scenario for the most people. But threading the needle with these things is always a *****. Westward trend needs to stop now! Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 31, 2019 Report Share Posted January 31, 2019 On the bright side, the trend towards keeping things cold to chilly for longer looks to continue with this run. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted January 31, 2019 Report Share Posted January 31, 2019 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted January 31, 2019 Report Share Posted January 31, 2019 ECMWF 00z is a step back from previous runs. It's digging the 500mb trough too far south which pushes the best dynamics farther south. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 31, 2019 Report Share Posted January 31, 2019 Tuesday is very chilly with highs of 37 at SLE and PDX. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 31, 2019 Report Share Posted January 31, 2019 You should but my mint 93 bayliner 22 ft. 125 original hrs with a built 4.3 v6 i did. Does 60 with 4 people and full tank. Has a cuddy cabin as well. You have been blessed with many toys. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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