February 2019 Weather in the Pacific Northwest - Part 1

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Yeah if you look at the GEM and GFS I would probably take the GFS pattern over the GEM through about hour 180 if I were someone in the PDX/Valley.

[Skagit Weather]

Been stuck at 19.2 for the last 2hrs...hopefully we can decouple and keep skies clear...come on single digits!!

 

Hanging out at 17F here. I would be surprised to hit single digits up here, but I think your area definitely has another shot.

[wxmet]

Just got home so I can look more closely at the Skew-Ts. There's strong forcing for ascent above the warm nose through and below the dgz which leads me to believe the warm nose will be too insignificant to matter at KSEA on the GFS 00z. The skew-t progresses from low ratios to high ratios with the greatest forcing above dgz.

[Perturbed Member]

jan 2017 PDX got a foot of snow. feb 2017 most of seattle got 3-4" (i got only 1.5"!) though there was 9" on the highest hills of west seattle. we didn't see a flake jan 11. i hope you guys don't get cold rain, but a foot of snow in seattle with nothing in PDX would be some actual payback.

Most of the Willamette valley got completely shafted on that still. It was pretty much just PDX and even there most people didn't get 12+ inches. Some spots got 16+ inches however.

[Jesse]

So from what I can tell the GFS has taken another step toward the Euro.

[FroYoBro]

Wow, the 0z GFS is cold all the way through like the Euro. Crazy stuff. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Great GFS run. Only bad news tonight is how south of PDX is socked in the low clouds and might end up 10 degrees warmer than forecast. Payback for having a high a couple degrees lower than expected I guess.

[VancouverIslandSouth]

Many places that got totally screwed with this last one (Victoria - Ferndale - Vancouver) are looking good on Friday afternoon as per the WRF:

 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Nah, he's forecasting for Portland. Probably.

He stopped forecasting and i think he got a job at a carnival.

[joaqweri]

Many places that got totally screwed with this last one (Victoria - Ferndale - Vancouver) are looking good on Friday afternoon as per the WRF:

 

4pm friday, look at the snow already fallen in the north interior while it's still moving south

[DRG]

Micro snow in East PDX right now.

[joaqweri]

00z UW GFS is also rolling out now, watching for that

[Esquimalt]

Many places that got totally screwed with this last one (Victoria - Ferndale - Vancouver)

are looking good on Friday afternoon as per the WRF:

 

 

What are you predicting for this one, now that models are starting to look rather similar run to run?

[Guest Sounder]

I won't be able to enjoy this storm if Victoria gets even a trace.

[TT-SEA]

Total snow per the WRF through Saturday morning at 4 a.m.

 

Most of this comes during the night on Friday.

 

[joaqweri]

I won't be able to enjoy this storm if Victoria gets even a trace.

why?

[TT-SEA]

WRF shows snowfall rates over 1 inch per hour in Seattle on Friday night between 10 p.m. and 1 a.m.

 

This 4+ inches in 3 hours...

 

 

[Poulsbo Snowman]

Snow drifts in my back yard from the wind yesterday.

[Esquimalt]

I won't be able to enjoy this storm if Victoria gets even a trace.

Why would you say that lol? Seattle got some on Sunday now it's our turn.

[VancouverIslandSouth]

Total snow per the WRF through Saturday morning at 4 a.m.

 

Most of this comes during the night on Friday.

 

 

That might go some ways to evening things out  .

[Requiem]

Total snow per the WRF through Saturday morning at 4 a.m.

 

Most of this comes during the night on Friday.

 

 

You got one of these for Portland?

[Guest Sounder]

why?

My enjoyment of weather is a zero sum game. I can't be happy unless someone else on here is unhappy.

[TT-SEA]

You got one of these for Portland?

 

[Requiem]

 

Ugh /:

 

Maybe Saturday night is our time?

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Many places that got totally screwed with this last one (Victoria - Ferndale - Vancouver) are looking good on Friday afternoon as per the WRF:

 

 

Nice!

[Jesse]

My enjoyment of weather is a zero sum game. I can't be happy unless someone else on here is unhappy.

 

Are you sure you didn't move to Silver Falls?

[SilverFallsAndrew]

This is incredibly cold onshore flow down here.

 

[TT-SEA]

Ugh /:

 

Maybe Saturday night is our time?

 

 

Yeah... probably just too early based on that map time frame.

[Jesse]

 

Clark County special?

[umadbro]

Ugh /:

 

Maybe Saturday night is our time?

Need ya to quit being so manic depressive.

[Requiem]

Yeah... probably just too early based on that map time frame.

 

I would expect so. Then again, even if it showed 20 inches for PDX i would be skeptical because the model hasn't really been doing so well (except if you ask Cliff Mass).

[Guest Sounder]

Need ya to quit being so manic depressive.

He sad, bro

[MossMan]

Total snow per the WRF through Saturday morning at 4 a.m.

 

Most of this comes during the night on Friday.

 

Lovely color up in my area!

[Requiem]

Need ya to quit being so manic depressive.

 

I want snow to fall earlier, me expressing my disappointment that it isn't won't change anything.

[Jesse]

Need ya to quit being so manic depressive.

 

Really doesn't matter either way. Its what he wants to do, so what?

[Guest Sounder]

I want snow to fall earlier, me expressing my disappointment that it isn't won't change anything.

But it absolutely will annoy everyone else posting on this forum.

[Deweydog]

Clark County special?

Haha. You’re too close to the river. Haha.

[Jesse]

Haha. You’re too close to the river. Haha.

North of Mill Plain b*tch. Well into flavor country.

[epiceast]

Well, quite frankly....when you spend more time lamenting the snow vs enjoying it, your perspective tends to change. Believe me, when we first moved here, we were fresh and ready for it. When it snowed, it didn't stop, and our kids and us loved it. Then it just kept snowing. And then I had to snow rake the roof. And then plow driveway...like nearly every day in the winter of 16'-17'.... And 17'-18'. It gets old fast. Kind of like a nice sweet brand car that's fast and turns heads. Then it's gets a few miles on it and begins to nickel and dime you. And then, slowly, over time, your attitude towards the flashy new car isn't as attractive anymore. Only then, do you begin to realize that the mediocre used cars you've owned your whole life actually meets your needs and that the difference between a novelty item and one that fits your needs is Paramount....

 

 

Edit: I am in no way backpedaling on my (our) move to where we live from western wa. However, with what was said above, it's worth mentioning that the only climate left to test our "adaptability" is the polar opposite of what we've become accustomed to in recent years. If Phoenix doesn't cut the mustard (highly doubtful, Because the wife loooooves the heat...) Then our only option then is to merely move back to our miserable, boring Homeland.

I still like the snow(skiing within 30 minutes particularly), but the cold gets to me. I really didn't enjoy the sub zero windchills with this latest blast here, but decided not to complain much here because it usually takes at least that for PNW to solidly lock in sub freezing wet bulb temps to score snow.

[Guest Sounder]

Really doesn't matter either way. Its what he wants to do, so what?

Expressing disappointment or uncertainty is fine, but on a weather board where we all come to jerk each other off about a shared hobby, it does get a little tiring when it makes up 95% of the content of one's posts. Think about how Tim used to be a few years ago and compare that to the kind of insightful (not being sarcastic here) posts he contributes now. It's a world of difference.

 

KI2 is young though, he'll grow out of it. I used to get pretty bent out of shape over the weather back in my teenage years too until I started to realize it's not worth getting so worked up over.