2/19 - 2/20 Southern Plains/GL's Cutter

[Hawkeye]

UP to 1.6" here, a half inch in the last hour.

[james1976]

Snowing wayyyyyy hard

[Minny_Weather]

Yeah unless the backside works a miracle, it looks like this will be the last snow of this storm. This was an utter disappointment, wow. We may have gotten 2".

[jcwxguy]

Almost 2" here in Gretna already, measured 5 minutes ago. Really ripping hard

[Stormhunter87]

Don't give up yet, more moderate snow is starting to wrap back in from Central Nebraska and will move east to fill in the snow area once this heavy band lifts north. This storm is far from over, at least I think.

 

Still feeling like we could end up with 6" to 8" out of this thing, looks like we have right around 2" here in SW Omaha so far, with plenty more to come.

The storm is moving sw to ne so we need development in northern Kansas. Sadly it doesn't look good.

[ToastedRavs]

Radar looks spectacular for myself and western 'burbs of Des Moines. Already down to 3/4 mile vis here. Looks like some +SN heading my way shortly. Hoping to get inch an hour rates out of the band moving in from Maryville

[Stormhunter87]

Plus the heavy rain and severe storms east and south of here are stealing any thunder this storm has.

[Minny_Weather]

The small area of precip in NW KS is the only "wraparound" potential I see for the rest of the night. Other than that, we're going to be dry as a bone. I don't see a slot this size filling in drastically enough to make up for the crappy totals we're expecting right now. Maybe the backside will moisten up a bit but I'm definitely not holding my breath.

[james1976]

Eyeballing an inch already in the first hour

[East Dubzz]

Moderate to heavy returns starting to filter in. Hopefully dry air don’t hinder it too much. Like how this is looking. Thinking that 4” mark is going to be very reachable.

[Minny_Weather]

Weirdly, OAX is still hanging onto the HRRR. Still calling for 5-8" for Omaha.

[Niko]

Hope my area doesn't get too much ice. Hopefully, after a few inches of snow, I receive sleet and then plain rain, if its going to change over.

[Stormhunter87]

Weirdly, OAX is still hanging onto the HRRR. Still calling for 5-8" for Omaha.

Hrrr has gone even lower 4 max

[Hawkeye]

The HRRR has a big dry area moving into east-central Iowa by midnight, cutting off the snow completely for a couple hours.  Radar shows south of I-80 still struggling to fill in with precip.  It is also becoming increasingly aggressive with the mixing by morning.  It now has the sleet passing through and turning to freezing rain for many around here.

 

I'm still thinking 3-4" total here, even though we got a head start.

 

It is currently not snowing at all as a dry pocket is moving through.

[Minny_Weather]

Just went out and measured 2.5". About par for the course for this time of night. Only issue is we're not getting much snow the rest of the night. Edge is on top of us and the notorious dry slot is moving in. 

[jcwxguy]

3" now, Gretna, inch in last half hour

[OmahaSnowFan]

It looks like OAX is going with the HRRR/RAP in that it shows things redeveloping and filling back in around 2-3am

[snowstorm83]

It looks like OAX is going with the HRRR/RAP in that it shows things redeveloping and filling back in around 2-3am

 

I don't blame them. I wouldn't want to suddenly change a 6-10" forecast to 2-5". Wrap around might put down another 1-2" but I'll be very surprised if I get 6". 

[OmahaSnowFan]

Just measured 2.5” at my place. Coming down really hard, but sadly even this heavy snow weakened as it was moving in with the majority of the “yellows” disappearing as it moved north into the metro. Probably have about 30-45 more minutes of the real heavy stuff before it lightens up.

[East Dubzz]

Ripping out there real good. As great as this is, don’t know if I can stay up much longer. Had to get up early tomorrow as it was, but will be even earlier now with having to shovel.

 

Nice to see a little poundtown before that though!

[Minny_Weather]

I'm going to bed. Hoping to be surprised with another couple inches in the morning but I'm not holding my breath.

[OmahaSnowFan]

I'm going to bed. Hoping to be surprised with another couple inches in the morning but I'm not holding my breath.

I have the RadarScope app and it’s showing some redevelopment starting on the backside of the current returns. Hopefully will be steady enough to drop another few inches by morning

[Minny_Weather]

I have the RadarScope app and it’s showing some redevelopment starting on the backside of the current returns. Hopefully will be steady enough to drop another few inches by morning

Yeah that's what I'm seeing too. I just don't see rates being heavy enough to support anything more than 1-2". If I'm wrong then great.

[jcwxguy]

3.7 now Gretna

[Hawkeye]

Up to 1.9" here.

[OmahaSnowFan]

3” now. Another 1/2” in the last 1/2 hour. Heavier snow should shut off here in a bit and it’ll be up to whatever redevelops overnight. Would like to hit 6” even though it looked like 7-8” was likely earlier today.

[james1976]

Man this thing is moving fast. Like the heavy banding developing as it lifts up to me though.

[snowstorm83]

Steady light snow with the redevelopment, though it's nothing like what the main show was. 

[OmahaSnowFan]

[jcwxguy]

I'll have what they are smoking

Winter Storm Warning

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE

National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE

1154 PM CST Tue Feb 19 2019

 

IAZ069-079-080-090-091-NEZ031>033-042>045-050>053-065>068-078-090-

091-201400-

/O.CON.KOAX.WS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-190220T1500Z/

Pottawattamie-Mills-Montgomery-Fremont-Page-Madison-Stanton-

Cuming-Platte-Colfax-Dodge-Washington-Butler-Saunders-Douglas-

Sarpy-Seward-Lancaster-Cass-Otoe-Saline-Johnson-Nemaha-

Including the cities of Council Bluffs, Glenwood, Red Oak,

Sidney, Hamburg, Tabor, Farragut, Clarinda, Shenandoah, Norfolk,

Stanton, West Point, Wisner, Columbus, Schuyler, Fremont, Blair,

David City, Wahoo, Ashland, Yutan, Omaha, Bellevue, Papillion,

La Vista, Seward, Milford, Lincoln, Plattsmouth, Nebraska City,

Crete, Wilber, Tecumseh, Sterling, and Auburn

1154 PM CST Tue Feb 19 2019

 

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST

WEDNESDAY...

 

* WHAT...Heavy snow. Additional snow accumulations of 3 to 5

inches.

 

* WHERE...Portions of east central, northeast and southeast

Nebraska and southwest Iowa.

 

* WHEN...Until 9 AM CST Wednesday.

 

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The

hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute.

 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 

A Winter Storm Warning for snow means severe winter weather

conditions will make travel very hazardous or impossible. If you

must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food and water in your

vehicle in case of an emergency.

 

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can

be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

 

&&

[Stormhunter87]

I'll have what they are smoking

They must really favour a strong redevelopment.

[Grizzcoat]

NO way does Central IA see the totals DMX is forecasting (5-10")- storm is too progressive and as previously mentioned - too much dry air. The bands trying to move into Des Moines are having a difficult time....

[OmahaSnowFan]

[Minny_Weather]

I'm not sure why OAX is still so balls deep in this thing honestly. Same with DMX I guess. Afraid to admit a bust?

[Minny_Weather]

[East Dubzz]

I am always skeptical of widespread high totals with a faster moving system like this. Some areas may get under some favorable banding, but it’s get to pound consistently for a while, and that’s just difficult to do around here, especially with these somewhat orangized systems.

[gabel23]

Currently getting grapual as the backside of this storm gets ready to move into my area. I would expect another couple hours of moderate to at times heavy snow. I'm guessing 5" of snow right now and maybe another 1-3 to go. For my area getting totals that were being forecasted. 

[NH4NU]

Observing radar trends and you can see the redevelopment and enhancement out to our west in addition to hints of development south.

 

https://radar.weather.gov/Conus/uppermissvly_loop.php

[snowstorm83]

This is nothing, I wouldn't even consider it a bust, just went under forecast. Winter Storm Jonas (1/22/16, gave NYC like 27") was a BUST. Where I was at, the NWS office was Memphis (MEG) and a CWA wide winter storm warning was issued for 4-8" and blizzard conditions at times. It crapped out right over the forecast region with most people receiving

[East Dubzz]

Alright, now that I got to see the model runs on the weekends system, it’s time for bed. Stayed up way later than I should have.

 

As I head to bed, there’s heavy snow falling outside. Really coming down. I’ll go to bed with that in mind and hope I wake up to a surprise foot of snow