clintbeed1993 Posted February 23, 2019 Report Share Posted February 23, 2019 More misery as the heavy band misses 60 miles to my East for the 10th time this winter 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted February 23, 2019 Report Share Posted February 23, 2019 GFS blinked south 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bellona Posted February 23, 2019 Report Share Posted February 23, 2019 I can't complain if I miss this storm after already having the snowiest February on record. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted February 23, 2019 Report Share Posted February 23, 2019 Well shoot, now GFS moves south. NAM north, looks like watching the radar tomorrow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted February 23, 2019 Report Share Posted February 23, 2019 Less then a 10:1 ratio Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 23, 2019 Report Share Posted February 23, 2019 This is gonna be a concrete mixer Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted February 23, 2019 Report Share Posted February 23, 2019 Fv3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted February 23, 2019 Report Share Posted February 23, 2019 RdpsLooking at the northern part of the heaviest snow band as it dissects south central Nebraska; that sob stays south of the Platte River going off towards Iowa. Today’s snow in Holdrege stayed north of the river. I’m telling you guys the Platte River can effect weather just as a lake can. When storms hit here the heaviest always occurs either to the north or south; that is from old generation farmers and I might start buying into it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted February 23, 2019 Report Share Posted February 23, 2019 Fv3The FV3 only a few days ago gave me 24” and this run gives me 0.7. Not exactly a model to put your trust in. Wow. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 23, 2019 Report Share Posted February 23, 2019 NAM/GFS both give southern WI .25-.75 of ice tomorrow Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormhunter87 Posted February 23, 2019 Report Share Posted February 23, 2019 GFS blinked southOh man! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted February 23, 2019 Report Share Posted February 23, 2019 I’m making a prediction, and I am hopeful....That blizzard warning has to get extended from Imperial Nebraska up through Sioux Falls. That dry air will either win out, storms rob us from the southeast, or every major model will agree that heavy band will be wider than we think. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormhunter87 Posted February 23, 2019 Report Share Posted February 23, 2019 Wpc is starting to up the amounts and oax is inching them up. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted February 23, 2019 Report Share Posted February 23, 2019 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted February 23, 2019 Report Share Posted February 23, 2019 It should be a fun six hours for southeast NE through southeast MN. As expected 3-5 days ago, the low will move right over southeast Iowa. 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted February 23, 2019 Report Share Posted February 23, 2019 Some wacky weather for MBY is definitely in the cards. Severe weather followed by snowshowers and very windy conditions w temps falling into the teens late Sunday afternoon and into the evening hours. Slippery travel likely in hvy squalls. 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted February 23, 2019 Report Share Posted February 23, 2019 It's super hard not to get excited right now even though I shouldn't. 2 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 23, 2019 Report Share Posted February 23, 2019 It's super hard not to get excited right now even though I shouldn't.sure u should we r weenies. Weenies gonna weenie. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
erburns18 Posted February 23, 2019 Report Share Posted February 23, 2019 I'm still not buying in until the snow is falling 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted February 23, 2019 Report Share Posted February 23, 2019 I loved hearing dean wysocki mentioning a small shift north and west in the models. His snow totals shows I-80 corridor getting drilled and the rest of south central Nebraska in moderate snow. I think tomorrow is gonna be an awesome day for a lot of us. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted February 23, 2019 Report Share Posted February 23, 2019 Getting freezing drizzle right now. Main roads are fine but my parking lot is getting shitty. Will only get worse thru the night. 1 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted February 23, 2019 Report Share Posted February 23, 2019 Getting freezing drizzle right now. Main roads are fine but my parking lot is getting shitty. Will only get worse thru the night.We’ve had a fair amount of ice. My slanted sidewalk was pretty hard to even stand up on. I think main roads are okay with temps so close to freezing Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted February 23, 2019 Report Share Posted February 23, 2019 I loved hearing dean wysocki mentioning a small shift north and west in the models. His snow totals shows I-80 corridor getting drilled and the rest of south central Nebraska in moderate snow. I think tomorrow is gonna be an awesome day for a lot of us.Is that on his Twitter page or somewhere else? All I see in the models is a south trend so it is good to hear a meteorologist mention north and west. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted February 23, 2019 Report Share Posted February 23, 2019 Roads are horrible here. Multiple accidents south of town on 183 and streets are like glass. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted February 23, 2019 Report Share Posted February 23, 2019 It's super hard not to get excited right now even though I shouldn't.Literally every model now has Omaha to Lincoln with 8-15” of snow. This is about as good as it gets. Now it’s up to Mother Nature to deliver! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted February 23, 2019 Report Share Posted February 23, 2019 Is that on his Twitter page or somewhere else? All I see in the models is a south trend so it is good to hear a meteorologist mention north and west.on the newscast Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted February 23, 2019 Report Share Posted February 23, 2019 on the newscastThanks Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted February 23, 2019 Report Share Posted February 23, 2019 I’m more interested in the tornado event in AR/MS 1 Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 23, 2019 Report Share Posted February 23, 2019 Ukie seems slower..... more wrapped up earlier. Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormhunter87 Posted February 23, 2019 Report Share Posted February 23, 2019 I’m more interested in the tornado event in AR/MSThat's the wildcard for us. Models don't do a good job accounting for that. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 23, 2019 Report Share Posted February 23, 2019 That's the wildcard for us. Models don't do a good job accounting for that.I get what you are saying but I think he is alluding to the fact that he is a severe weather guy 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormhunter87 Posted February 23, 2019 Report Share Posted February 23, 2019 I get what you are saying but I think he is alluding to the fact that he is a severe weather guyOh ik lol im loving this storm but im very interested in the severe weather potential tomorrow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted February 23, 2019 Report Share Posted February 23, 2019 We ain't getting over a foot from this thing. Models are failing to account for the fact that our moisture will be slightly limited by the severe wx event in Dixie alley. Not doubting that we could see isolated areas over 10", but I'd say a widespread maximum of 8-9" is more likely. 1 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted February 23, 2019 Report Share Posted February 23, 2019 We ain't getting over a foot from this thing. Models are failing to account for the fact that our moisture will be slightly limited by the severe wx event in Dixie alley. Not doubting that we could see isolated areas over 10", but I'd say a widespread maximum of 8-9" is more likely.Agree. I think we see a wider deformation zone with 6-8" within that area. I think areas along the I-80 corridor stand on seeing totals approaching that. Another thing to take into account is do we see convection wrapping into the cold sector tomorrow? If so then areas closest to the main area of low pressure will see a period of enhanced snow rates. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted February 23, 2019 Report Share Posted February 23, 2019 I was thinking someone posted about not being able to see the Ukie’s temps, but on this site it lets you pick 2m temperature. Also has winds and precipitation as well.... Right now it only has the 0Z precip maps out but still has 12Z temps and winds.http://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/map-explorer.php?mod=ukmet&run=00&stn=PNMPR&hh=024&map=na&stn2=PNM&run2=00&mod2=ukmet&hh2=024&comp=1&fixhh=1&lang=en&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&mode=latest&stn2_type=prog&date_type=dateo Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted February 23, 2019 Report Share Posted February 23, 2019 We ain't getting over a foot from this thing. Models are failing to account for the fact that our moisture will be slightly limited by the severe wx event in Dixie alley. Not doubting that we could see isolated areas over 10", but I'd say a widespread maximum of 8-9" is more likely.I think it’ll have to do more with the pace of the storm than limited moisture. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted February 23, 2019 Report Share Posted February 23, 2019 I think it’ll have to do more with the pace of the storm than limited moisture.I'm not concerned about the moisture, I just think it's a given here. Most local mets as well as OAX have accounted for that in their forecast. I'm not concerned about the pace either. If anything it's slowed down compared to what we had a couple days ago. 1 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted February 23, 2019 Report Share Posted February 23, 2019 Jim flowers mentioned dry air showing up in models just to our east. Hopefully it doesn't go any farther west 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted February 23, 2019 Report Share Posted February 23, 2019 Ukie Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FarmerRick Posted February 23, 2019 Report Share Posted February 23, 2019 Gonna be tough to measure snow depths with 50mph gusts and compaction. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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