gabel23 Posted February 20, 2019 Report Share Posted February 20, 2019 Interesting write up by Gary lezak in his blog this morning. The storm is associated with the one that hit St. Louis in November. He mentioned about the models starting to shift south and it would make sense if you use the LRC. I’m gonna ride the euro on this one, I’m interested in seeing what it shows today. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted February 20, 2019 Report Share Posted February 20, 2019 12z ukie 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 20, 2019 Report Share Posted February 20, 2019 12Z Euro seems slightly NW for snow band in IA- but only by a county or two - at least in C.IA Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 20, 2019 Report Share Posted February 20, 2019 Man that defo band on Ukie Is nice Euro looks east of Ukie at 96 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted February 20, 2019 Report Share Posted February 20, 2019 Euro so far 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted February 20, 2019 Report Share Posted February 20, 2019 12Z Euro seems slightly NW for snow band in IA- but only by a county or two - at least in C.IAWas going to say that the SLP is maybe a smidge NW at HR 84 compared to the previous run. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted February 20, 2019 Report Share Posted February 20, 2019 Euro so farI don't buy the rain over Central Nebraska after the snow goes by. It would typically be bringing down cold air so you wouldn't expect rain. Maybe a glitch imo. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted February 20, 2019 Report Share Posted February 20, 2019 Snowmap 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted February 20, 2019 Report Share Posted February 20, 2019 Brings some freezing rain through here Saturday morning with that initial push of WAA. Hopefully that doesn’t happen. It’ll melt after that as rain pushes through. But still, no thanks. It’s pretty minimal snow on the backside here, but combining that with the melting snow/rain freezing back up and the strong winds... sounds terrible. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 20, 2019 Report Share Posted February 20, 2019 So it would appear now it's; Euro/Ukie/CMC vs GFS/FV3. Not going delve into NAM at 72+hrs. Foreign vs. Domestic. ) Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iowawx Posted February 20, 2019 Report Share Posted February 20, 2019 The trends are looking interesting and better here. We may not be in the bullseye yet, but still, getting at least moderate snowfall from this would be a great thing to see. It would be nice if this SLP track holds or goes a bit farther SE. This looks like a fun storm to track! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 20, 2019 Report Share Posted February 20, 2019 Narrow band.... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted February 20, 2019 Report Share Posted February 20, 2019 Narrow band....Yeah people gonna be fighting hard for it. Good luck to the models to pin down the placement. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted February 20, 2019 Report Share Posted February 20, 2019 Yuck. Narrow band and what’s always been an issue it seems, the storm is flying along. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted February 20, 2019 Report Share Posted February 20, 2019 Need more of a SE trend for the rest of the hungry snow geese to get into some of the action and even if it were to happen we would probably just end up with ice anyway as this has been the theme the past couple weeks. Good luck to you guys that are in the path of this storm and hope it does end up being a Blizzard for some of you. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted February 20, 2019 Report Share Posted February 20, 2019 I'll take a narrow band from this. It's GFS' rain followed by a narrow but intense band solution vs. Euro's basically all snow but less intense band solution. Either way we'd end with about the same about of snow OTG (keeping in mind the GFS rain solution would kill our current snowcover) so I'm fine with this. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 20, 2019 Report Share Posted February 20, 2019 I'll take a narrow band from this. It's GFS' rain followed by a narrow but intense band solution vs. Euro's basically all snow but less intense band solution. Either way we'd end with about the same about of snow OTG (keeping in mind the GFS rain solution would kill our current snowcover) so I'm fine with this.oh I would definitely take it and there is room for the shield to expand. Someone will be very happy just impossible to know where of course Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted February 20, 2019 Report Share Posted February 20, 2019 I'll bet we see the snow fields expand on the Euro as we get closer to the event. A storm this strong this time of year, seems like it would have a larger defo band of snow on the backside. We'll see. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted February 20, 2019 Report Share Posted February 20, 2019 This is why to never go by weather channel (albeit they only were calling for 3-5 inches last night) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaycee Posted February 20, 2019 Report Share Posted February 20, 2019 Need more of a SE trend for the rest of the hungry snow geese to get into some of the action and even if it were to happen we would probably just end up with ice anyway as this has been the theme the past couple weeks. Good luck to you guys that are in the path of this storm and hope it does end up being a Blizzard for some of you.This so much. I’m sick of these rainers. It’s ice for like 2 hours, then rain, then just gets freezing cold after. Most blah pattern ever, I’m excited for spring! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted February 20, 2019 Report Share Posted February 20, 2019 I'm curious at what the backside has to offer. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted February 20, 2019 Report Share Posted February 20, 2019 Good luck pinning down that narrow band. Maybe it will widen out idk. Def gonna be a few happy campers. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stacsh Posted February 20, 2019 Report Share Posted February 20, 2019 Looks like a little back end snow for SMI. Most impact from this storm will be the winds according to GRR. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted February 20, 2019 Report Share Posted February 20, 2019 This is what the nam is painting Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted February 20, 2019 Report Share Posted February 20, 2019 The 100 mile wide blizzard. Lol. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted February 20, 2019 Report Share Posted February 20, 2019 This is what the nam is paintingPretty narrow snow shield, leaves me with virtually nothing. Just one run of one model. Lots to look at in the coming 2 days. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted February 20, 2019 Report Share Posted February 20, 2019 It's best to not expect much snow from this and just hope to get lucky. 2 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted February 20, 2019 Report Share Posted February 20, 2019 It's best to not expect much snow from this and just hope to get lucky.I was going to post the same thing. Might not be worth investing a lot of time in tracking and just hope you score. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted February 20, 2019 Report Share Posted February 20, 2019 Kc could be golden when all sudden done Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 20, 2019 Report Share Posted February 20, 2019 I was going to post the same thing. Might not be worth investing a lot of time in tracking and just hope you score.agree... But impossible. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BMT Posted February 20, 2019 Report Share Posted February 20, 2019 That snow shield has to expand as we get closer. Anyone know what the ensembles for the Euro look like? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted February 20, 2019 Report Share Posted February 20, 2019 That snow shield has to expand as we get closer. Anyone know what the ensembles for the Euro look like?If no one else does I'll check when I get home. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted February 20, 2019 Report Share Posted February 20, 2019 agree... But impossible.Yeah who am I kidding? No one. With that being said, you’re looking good with this. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted February 20, 2019 Report Share Posted February 20, 2019 http://models.weatherbell.com/ecmwf/2019022012/mc/eps_snow_m_mc_18.png Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted February 20, 2019 Report Share Posted February 20, 2019 http://models.weatherbell.com/ecmwf/2019022012/mc/eps_snow_m_mc_18.pngI can't see the picture. If you used a link, weatherbell links don't work. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted February 20, 2019 Report Share Posted February 20, 2019 Does this work? Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted February 20, 2019 Report Share Posted February 20, 2019 Does this work?Ahhhh yes it does. 1 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted February 20, 2019 Report Share Posted February 20, 2019 18z ICON...have to look for hope wherever it is. Not as far NW but not I know it's not a reliable model. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted February 20, 2019 Report Share Posted February 20, 2019 Gfs still in the nw camp fun times ahead Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted February 20, 2019 Report Share Posted February 20, 2019 Saturday grid for Lincoln sounds messy: Sleet, possibly mixed with snow and freezing rain before 11am, then snow, possibly mixed with sleet between 11am and noon, then snow after noon. The snow could be heavy at times. Patchy blowing snow after 2pm. High near 33. Windy. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New precipitation amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible. Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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