Deweydog Posted August 20, 2019 Report Share Posted August 20, 2019 Low solar. UHI. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 20, 2019 Report Share Posted August 20, 2019 So do you.I do. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted August 20, 2019 Report Share Posted August 20, 2019 It’s over. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 20, 2019 Report Share Posted August 20, 2019 Growing ensemble support for the late month heatwave. 12z GFS has it starting in about a week. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted August 20, 2019 Report Share Posted August 20, 2019 You have a dark sense of humour.Maybe a little. I definitely enjoy sarcasm. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted August 20, 2019 Report Share Posted August 20, 2019 046DDDE5-F28E-48E8-97AC-1901D835BC04.pngGoing to need another 3rd straight major SSW event! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted August 20, 2019 Report Share Posted August 20, 2019 Growing ensemble support for the late month heatwave. 12z GFS has it starting in about a week. DF98E480-5E50-442B-A6B1-FA48BA76D04F.pngPerfection! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted August 20, 2019 Report Share Posted August 20, 2019 The 12z EURO precipitation totals through Wednesday 10pm. Looks good from around Kelso south. Higher totals for the Southern Valley. Awesome to see this in August. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 20, 2019 Report Share Posted August 20, 2019 Euro seems to be dragging its feet a little compared to some previous runs, though. Still gets us there eventually. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted August 20, 2019 Report Share Posted August 20, 2019 The 12z EURO precipitation totals through Wednesday 10pm. Looks good from around Kelso south. Higher totals for the Southern Valley. Awesome to see this in August. us_model-en-087-0_modez_2019082012_41_5618_220.pngLooks like I cleaned my gutters for nothing. Looking meager up here now. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted August 20, 2019 Report Share Posted August 20, 2019 Will be a welcome rain as we have been below normal. 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted August 20, 2019 Report Share Posted August 20, 2019 Looks like I cleaned my gutters for nothing. Looking meager up here now.Don't feel too bad. If the EURO is correct, I'll be in the low spot down here on Wednesday because I'll be at work all day. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted August 20, 2019 Report Share Posted August 20, 2019 Low 80s here already in coulee city. Little breezy but feels hot. Tomorrow should be a bit cooler, overall been a nice few days, glad to experience hot weather in eastern Washington and not at home. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted August 20, 2019 Report Share Posted August 20, 2019 The 12z EURO precipitation totals through Wednesday 10pm. Looks good from around Kelso south. Higher totals for the Southern Valley. Awesome to see this in August. us_model-en-087-0_modez_2019082012_41_5618_220.png looks like it’ll rain a bit even where I’m at. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted August 20, 2019 Report Share Posted August 20, 2019 TWC currently going for a high of 68 tomorrow for PDX. Would be cool if it verified. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted August 20, 2019 Author Report Share Posted August 20, 2019 Hope we can get at least 0.4”. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted August 20, 2019 Report Share Posted August 20, 2019 Looks like I cleaned my gutters for nothing. Looking meager up here now.Non-storm of the century. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted August 20, 2019 Report Share Posted August 20, 2019 Non-storm of the century.Looks that way. Oh well, we have October thru April for that stuff. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
High Desert Mat? Posted August 20, 2019 Report Share Posted August 20, 2019 SSW around Halloween would be ideal. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 20, 2019 Report Share Posted August 20, 2019 Some high clouds out there today. Could keep us from cracking 100. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted August 20, 2019 Report Share Posted August 20, 2019 SSW around Halloween would be ideal.Snow on Halloween would be amazing! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
High Desert Mat? Posted August 20, 2019 Report Share Posted August 20, 2019 Snow on Halloween would be amazing!Effects of the SSW wouldn’t be felt for a while later. That’s why Halloween, then we’d be in business for the real holidays. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted August 20, 2019 Author Report Share Posted August 20, 2019 18z GFS! Looks great for the northern and central valleys with half an inch here. Also deepens the low to 979mb by 10PM. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted August 20, 2019 Report Share Posted August 20, 2019 18z GFS! Looks great for the northern and central valleys with half an inch here. Also deepens the low to 979mb by 10PM.Score! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted August 20, 2019 Report Share Posted August 20, 2019 046DDDE5-F28E-48E8-97AC-1901D835BC04.pngNot surprising at all. You have the warmest equatorial waters over the dateline and W-IO (+IOD) and a raging +PMM/+PDO. This is why the niño 3.4 number itself is meaningless when not viewed in the proper context. And before y’all pounce, this doesn’t imply a dud winter in the slightest. Merely that the background tropical forcing structure will likely emulate that of a warm WPAC/cool EPAC regime or modoki +ENSO. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted August 20, 2019 Report Share Posted August 20, 2019 SSW around Halloween would be ideal.If only that were possible. Lol. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted August 20, 2019 Author Report Share Posted August 20, 2019 Not surprising at all. You have the warmest equatorial waters over the dateline and W-IO (+IOD) and a raging +PMM/+PDO. This is why the niño 3.4 number itself is meaningless when not viewed in the proper context.And before y’all pounce, this doesn’t imply a dud winter in the slightest. Merely that the background tropical forcing structure will likely emulate that of a warm WPAC/cool EPAC regime or modoki +ENSO.Do you have any solid thoughts about winter yet? Analogs, atmospheric conditions, etc? The Greenland vortex is finally gone so now the upper atmospheric pattern is conducive to arctic blasts now, I think. Also, are you still sticking with a warm/dry fall despite this summer’s above average moisture flux? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted August 20, 2019 Report Share Posted August 20, 2019 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted August 20, 2019 Report Share Posted August 20, 2019 If only that were possible. Lol.It seems the earlier start the better. Didn't the 1968 major SSW event start around Thanksgiving? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted August 20, 2019 Report Share Posted August 20, 2019 Looks that way. Oh well, we have October thru April for that stuff. As Tim says: one should crave weather of the season one is in. This is why he never complains about fall/winter weather when it happens in season. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Nina Posted August 20, 2019 Report Share Posted August 20, 2019 For the first time this summer, I smell smoke. Dissatisfied, hope it goes away before next weeks inferno. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 20, 2019 Report Share Posted August 20, 2019 As Tim says: one should crave weather of the season one is in. This is why he never complains about fall/winter weather when it happens in season.I value summer over all seasons and like when its extended through all of September. But sunny, crisp fall weather starting in October and snowy weather in December and January is also appreciated. I also don't complain much about rain in the fall and winter. I wait until April for that. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dave Posted August 20, 2019 Report Share Posted August 20, 2019 It would be an excellent treat to end a wonderful summer with some rain and convection tomorrow. We need it down here. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted August 20, 2019 Report Share Posted August 20, 2019 It would be an excellent treat to end a wonderful summer with some rain and convection tomorrow. We need it down here.Bigtime. Sadly it looks like the models are taking the bulk of the precip further north with each run. 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted August 20, 2019 Report Share Posted August 20, 2019 Bigtime. Sadly it looks like the models are taking the bulk of the precip further north with each run.Actually seems like the opposite, a lot of the models started off by slamming Seattle but generally started moving more precip down to Oregon. Now most things are set to some extent. 1 Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted August 21, 2019 Author Report Share Posted August 21, 2019 Actually seems like the opposite, a lot of the models started off by slamming Seattle but generally started moving more precip down to Oregon. Now most things are set to some extent.Yeah a few days ago the GFS was suggesting a Western Washington special with this event. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted August 21, 2019 Report Share Posted August 21, 2019 The rain is coming soon to the PNW. Not much effect on weather in Southern California though. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kokaneekidz Posted August 21, 2019 Report Share Posted August 21, 2019 In Phoenix now getting my son ready for freshman year at grand canyon university. I can honestly say this is the first time in my life to experience plus 110 degree heat. It is just a bit much. Please get me home soon for natural ac.... ! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 21, 2019 Report Share Posted August 21, 2019 Looks like areas both to the north and south of Portland are being invaded by marine air ahead of tomorrow’s system. Low 70s in Longview and Salem on the hour while PDX holds at 84. It’s 82 here currently. Cooler air should make it in soon, but it’s interesting how the PDX area can be one of the last west side spots to switch to onshore flow in certain situations. Of course that can be quite beneficial in the winter months. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted August 21, 2019 Report Share Posted August 21, 2019 Snow on Halloween would be amazing!100 percent chance of fog in my yard Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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