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September 2019 Weather Discussion for the PNW

Requiem

By Requiem
in West of the Rockies

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TacomaWaWx
TacomaWaWx

Just a couple, many crazy strikes tonight.

Kayla
Kayla

Northern Montana is getting slammed...This was taken in East Glacier 6 hours ago. Easily approaching over 3ft up there now.      

ShawniganLake
ShawniganLake

Posted Images

Dave Veteran

Dave

Posted
Posted

13-14 repeat would be great. S valley got the nice early Dec event with 5-7" of snow around Eugene/Springfield and temps getting to -10F tying the all-time record low.  Then the great early Feb instance with a cross-cascade mountain wave event and lots of snow.  Was a Willamette Valley Special for sure.

That was a special treat. Two terrific events in the same winter. We got more snow than Tim and Timmy_supercell, which is pretty shocking. But we did not tie our all time low, which is -12.

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Jesse Experienced

Jesse

Posted
Posted

I’m sorry summer got off to such a late start.

 

We’ve never seen a late summer make landfall before. Unprecedented.

And it even got a like from Tim, which is funny because it’s that exact same instinct that makes you weirdly protective of him. ;)

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TT-SEA Grand Master

TT-SEA

Posted
Posted

It appears that Trump used a map today from 4 days before he made his Alabama mistake... because the track has shifted dramatically when he made the comment about Alabama on Sunday.

 

And then on top of using a map from 4 days earlier than his comment... he also appears to have drawn in a line with a marker on that map to include Alabama.   You can't make this stuff up.     :lol:

 

1165958509-1.jpg?w=755

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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TacomaWaWx Grand Master

TacomaWaWx

Posted
Posted

It appears that Trump used a map today from 4 days before he made his Alabama mistake... because the track has shifted dramatically when he made the comment about Alabama on Sunday.

 

And then on top of using a map from 4 days earlier than his comment... he also appears to have drawn in a line with a marker on that map to include Alabama. You can't make this stuff up. :lol:

 

1165958509-1.jpg?w=755

Heard that people in Louisiana are bracing for impact.
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Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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Brian_in_Leavenworth Veteran

Brian_in_Leavenworth

Posted
Posted

Ryan Maue, the voice of reason in this, had a good thread about it.  I did not know the NHC has a 7 day cone that they do not show the public.

 

  1.  
  2.  

    Insane people: Extrapolating the NHC 5-day cone of Hurricane #Dorian is most definitely an impeachable offense. Normal people: yeah that's probably a reasonable extrapolation into Day 7.

     

    The NHC creates an internal 7-day forecast -- not for public consumption -- but will in future years. The huge 7-day cone would definitely be over Alabama for Hurricane #Dorian even though there was ~0% chance of a direct landfall. This will lead to further confusion.

     

     

    Maybe it's a good thing we don't issue 7-day forecasts yet. Had I advised the President on Wednesday evening, I'd probably have told him that #Dorian could cross the peninsula into the Gulf and end up in Alabama, sort of like the WPC 7-day surface prog.

     

     

    Thankfully, the acting NOAA admin Neil Jacobs was asked to personally brief the President with trusted, accurate information. The threat to Alabama quickly went to zero as new model data arrived. But, Trump's Tweet didn't reflect that new info.

     

     

    In summary, the "Alabama" Tweet was based upon stale information. The motivation was obviously to inform the public & update on Dorian. Nothing nefarious. Just admit it an move on, right? Nope. That's not how this works between media and Trump.

     

     

     

     

     

     
    More

     

    31 replies 42 retweets 130 
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Blizzard777 Grand Master

Blizzard777

Posted
Posted

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov//GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/TAW/GEOCOLOR/GOES16-TAW-GEOCOLOR-900x540.gif

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov//GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/EUS/GEOCOLOR/GOES16-EUS-GEOCOLOR-1000x1000.gif

Takes a moment to load but cool animated shots

Just fascinated how Dorian is following the contour of the East coast!

 

Currently 73*

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Front Ranger Grand Master

Front Ranger

Posted
Posted

Interestingly enough, PDX's all time record warmest min was actually set on 2/2/1950 and they haven't really come close to beating that record even in recent "warm" years.

 

23 of PDX's record warm September mins have come since 2000.

 

13 of OLM's have.

 

The warm years have been "warmer" at some locations.

A forum for the end of the world.

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James Jones Collaborator

James Jones

Posted
Posted

23 of PDX's record warm September mins have come since 2000.

 

13 of OLM's have.

 

The warm years have been "warmer" at some locations.

 

Not sure how reliable the records are there but going back to 1929 at HIO, 16 of September's record warm mins have come in the 21st century. The record is supposedly 66 on 9/6/1958 during a big heat event, though that seems dubious considering PDX had a min of 49 that day.

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Front Ranger Grand Master

Front Ranger

Posted
Posted

Not sure how reliable the records are there but going back to 1929 at HIO, 16 of September's record warm mins have come in the 21st century. The record is supposedly 66 on 9/6/1958 during a big heat event, though that seems dubious considering PDX had a min of 49 that day.

Battle Ground, another reliable long term non urban station near Portland, has had 11 record warm September mins this century.

 

Plenty of proof that PDX's records are pretty cheap these days.

A forum for the end of the world.

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Frontal Snowsquall Grand Master

Frontal Snowsquall

Posted
Posted

13-14 repeat would be great. S valley got the nice early Dec event with 5-7" of snow around Eugene/Springfield and temps getting to -10F tying the all-time record low. Then the great early Feb instance with a cross-cascade mountain wave event and lots of snow. Was a Willamette Valley Special for sure.

Hard to beat 2 Arctic Blast in one winter.

 

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Frontal Snowsquall Grand Master

Frontal Snowsquall

Posted
Posted

It appears that Trump used a map today from 4 days before he made his Alabama mistake... because the track has shifted dramatically when he made the comment about Alabama on Sunday.

 

And then on top of using a map from 4 days earlier than his comment... he also appears to have drawn in a line with a marker on that map to include Alabama. You can't make this stuff up. :lol:

 

1165958509-1.jpg?w=755

Heard that people in Louisiana are bracing for impact.

This is the first time he ever heard of a category 5 hurricane. Give him a break.

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