GDR Posted December 23, 2019 Report Share Posted December 23, 2019 How much rain are we looking at? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted December 23, 2019 Report Share Posted December 23, 2019 LOL @ #8That would be to good to be true for both of us lol. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted December 23, 2019 Report Share Posted December 23, 2019 12z GFS mean That would be good for me and a few others on here. Not good for many others on here. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted December 23, 2019 Report Share Posted December 23, 2019 I've seen some dramatic flips/comebacks in my time: '84-85, '93-94, '06-07, etc. They DO happen so there's no sense in presuming we can know the future and how this all plays out. Maybe this will be another season when the "flip to cold" is for real. 2 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted December 23, 2019 Report Share Posted December 23, 2019 Do I see my next clipper event looming out there?? 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted December 23, 2019 Report Share Posted December 23, 2019 I can see it now. I'll be sitting here in mid-April dreaming about lunch hour conditions like this! 2 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted December 23, 2019 Report Share Posted December 23, 2019 I will be anxiously watching the 12z Euro to see if it looks anything like the GFS or Canadian 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted December 23, 2019 Report Share Posted December 23, 2019 I will be anxiously watching the 12z Euro to see if it looks anything like the GFS or Canadian It could look like the ICON and I'd be stoked, lol. One thing the models seem to be touting is the potential for some back side precip for SWMI. 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted December 23, 2019 Report Share Posted December 23, 2019 That would be good for me and a few others on here. Not good for many others on here.Somebody needs to get something! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted December 23, 2019 Report Share Posted December 23, 2019 I will be anxiously watching the 12z Euro to see if it looks anything like the GFS or CanadianDid you get much on Veterans Day? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted December 23, 2019 Report Share Posted December 23, 2019 Did you get much on Veterans Day?2.2” 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted December 23, 2019 Report Share Posted December 23, 2019 2.2”Looks to be stronger this time but warmer. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted December 23, 2019 Report Share Posted December 23, 2019 My local meteorologist Twitter take. https://twitter.com/ntvstimreith/status/1209176902805729282?s=21 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted December 23, 2019 Report Share Posted December 23, 2019 12z Euro looks farther south, still lacking cold air. Snow now Western Kansas, panhandles of Texas and Oklahoma through 138 hours. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted December 23, 2019 Report Share Posted December 23, 2019 It appears the fairly thick cirrus overspreading the region is holding the surface temp down today. Today was always going to be a "depends how well we mix" day, and we're obviously not mixing well at all. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted December 23, 2019 Report Share Posted December 23, 2019 All the action is stuck down south with the series of upper lows. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted December 23, 2019 Report Share Posted December 23, 2019 Not a good sign that cold air appears to be taking hold on Alaska. It looks similar to 2011-12. If Fairbanks is -50, that probably means we're torching. 2 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted December 23, 2019 Report Share Posted December 23, 2019 At least the Euro tried to pop something. Brings 2” here at 10:1. It’s no phaser like my BFF GFS though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted December 23, 2019 Report Share Posted December 23, 2019 Not a good sign that cold air appears to be taking hold on Alaska. It looks similar to 2011-12. If Fairbanks is -50, that probably means we're torching.I just looked at Fairbanks. They will have a stretch of days that the high temperature is -34 to -38 and lows are -41 to maybe -50. When it is frigid there we are going to be warm here. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted December 23, 2019 Report Share Posted December 23, 2019 12z EPS mean 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted December 23, 2019 Report Share Posted December 23, 2019 That looks pretty close to GFS snow placement unless I'm missing something Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted December 23, 2019 Report Share Posted December 23, 2019 Euro on Saturday. Pretty weak, but does show something at least. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted December 23, 2019 Report Share Posted December 23, 2019 Euro on Saturday. Pretty weak, but does show something at least. What's accumulations looking like on the Euro op? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted December 23, 2019 Report Share Posted December 23, 2019 A 69* and Sunny Christmas on the way. It's a poolside margarita Christmas, I guess. Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted December 23, 2019 Report Share Posted December 23, 2019 What's accumulations looking like on the Euro op? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted December 23, 2019 Report Share Posted December 23, 2019 Geez what a mess 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted December 23, 2019 Report Share Posted December 23, 2019 NWS Hastings afternoon disco: as confused as we are with the models. “The next weather system will begin to impact the area late Fridayinto Saturday. I had hoped that models would show betteragreement on this system, but unfortunately considerableuncertainty still exists. The ECMWF is still a bit slower andfarther south than GFS. This would also be a "mostly-rain"solution for the local area. That being said, there are stillseveral members in the ECMWF ensemble that are more similar to theGFS in producing a swath of snow on Saturday and Saturday night.This is definitely the time period to keep an eye on, especiallyfor any holiday travel plans.” 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted December 23, 2019 Report Share Posted December 23, 2019 Not a good sign that cold air appears to be taking hold on Alaska. It looks similar to 2011-12. If Fairbanks is -50, that probably means we're torching. I just looked at Fairbanks. They will have a stretch of days that the high temperature is -34 to -38 and lows are -41 to maybe -50. When it is frigid there we are going to be warm here. Had an identical thought earlier wrt "going 11-12" on us. Hope I'm wrong in the end. Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted December 23, 2019 Report Share Posted December 23, 2019 At 52F after hitting 58F for a high temp. Beautiful. Sunshine from start to finish. Was out all day w friends and totally enjoyed it. I saw one guy mowing the fricken lawn and some other dude watering down his driveway. Unreal. 2 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted December 23, 2019 Report Share Posted December 23, 2019 Cools off a bit tanite w lows in the 20s, which is still a tad above the norm. Highs tomorrow will be in the 30s. Warm-up returns quickly w possibly another 50F by the weekend. Btw: Christmas Day....fricken 50F w partly cloudy skies. Geez! Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted December 23, 2019 Report Share Posted December 23, 2019 This month is gone. Down the drain. January is not looking all that much better in terms of storminess, especially for my area. The cold air has now modified some next week as well. We will see how it goes, but for now, unless we see sudden changes, it is looking very boring. Hosting a Christmas party tanite. Have a ton of guests coming, so gotta go get ready. Will jump in here from time to time this evening. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted December 23, 2019 Report Share Posted December 23, 2019 I know, I know, always an optimist with his outlooks and/or cold bias but.. 20191223 JB Tweet-1.PNG20191223 JB Tweet-2.PNGHes a comedian, but knows his stuff. The funny thing is that a part of me likes him. Not sure why. 2 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted December 23, 2019 Report Share Posted December 23, 2019 GFS gonna continue insisting on a full blown phase. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted December 23, 2019 Report Share Posted December 23, 2019 Christmas dandelion! Out in my front yard there is a dandelion in bloom. While I have seen them is late November and even in early December I do not recall seeing one in bloom in late December. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted December 23, 2019 Report Share Posted December 23, 2019 GFS gonna continue insisting on a full blown phase.Until bout Thursday lol 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted December 23, 2019 Report Share Posted December 23, 2019 My highs have been raised pretty drastically now for Tuesday and Wednesday to at or above 50. If we hit 50 each day that will be 5 days in a row over 50 degrees. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted December 23, 2019 Report Share Posted December 23, 2019 Sometimes I wonder why they write an AFD on a possible storm. The banality gets old-DMX-A large western US trough will continue to push the upper levelridge off to the east through the end of the week with temperaturesgradually cooling. This period should remain fairly dry before thenext system potentially impacting the area over the weekend. Rightnow there is significant variability between models as they struggleto handle a large cut-off low over southern California and a secondlarge system moving through the northern stream. Suffice to say thatwe can expect to see rain or snow over the weekend, however thescope and details will be difficult to determine until modelsreach better agreement. Once this system comes ashore Thursday andFriday suspect solutions to come into better agreement withbetter data availability. Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted December 23, 2019 Report Share Posted December 23, 2019 GFS has 1.85" of QPF at LNK for the weekend system. Euro: 0.60". Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted December 24, 2019 Report Share Posted December 24, 2019 0z GFS looking to be back north..sigh. Last year at New Years, NMI got a nice hit. Wouldn't surprise me if they see deja-vu 20181231 APX Snow amts.png LOL..Euro's listening Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted December 24, 2019 Report Share Posted December 24, 2019 GFS has 1.85" of QPF at LNK for the weekend system. Euro: 0.60". Way over-amped. Just like it was with last week's system at these same ranges. Those here in the Lwr Lakes got seriously trolled by it. Your turn, next.. 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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