Part I - January 2020 Weather Discussion for the PNW

[OysterPrintout]

This is probably gonna curse it but looks a little more 06z-ish for the next bombing low.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 8.5 850s! WOW

 

[snow_wizard]

Wow!  510 thickness over Seattle on Sunday now.  Phew!

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Hate to say it but gut feeling is this is going to be a cold dry blast at first.

[Deweydog]

Looks like the long range shouldn’t be quite is wacky compared to the 18z... FWIW...

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Looks a little chilly Monday morning.

 

BRRRRRR!

[Front Ranger]

Looks like the long range shouldn’t be quite is wacky compared to the 18z... FWIW...

 

Indeed.

 

Cutoff low beneath block is much weaker and closer to the coast.

[Timmy]

[Gradient Keeper]

WOW. 850s -25c to -27c Gorge, Columbia Basin

[OysterPrintout]

Hate to say it but gut feeling is this is going to be a cold dry blast at first.

Models been pretty consistent with that so far. Be nice to see a couple of those surprise surface lows in the next week.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

[Blizzard777]

We actually did last night.  I just moved here from Brownsville, TX in July so I am looking forward to what happens here.  I imagine it snows here a little . 

Welcome to the forum and you will Love La Pine and the surrounding area.  

No need to garden over there with so many outdoor activities at your hand!  

 

[Frontal Snowsquall]

[kokaneekidz]

You must mean Twilight FORKS

You guys are really trying to confuse the new members, aren’t you?

[Perturbed Member]

The approaching low offshore is indeed closer to the coast on the 00z than the 18z but it is also further north than either the 12z or 06z. 

 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

To cold to snow. THANKS TIM.

[Jesse]

Man would it be nice to finally see a legit mid-winter airmass like that. Been years....

[Christensen87]

Man, I’m going to have to visit my parents in Enumclaw if that crazy east wind event happens.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

WOW. 850s -25c to -27c Gorge, Columbia Basin

Frigid pool!

[Kayla]

Brutally cold.

 

 

 

 

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Quite a bit colder than infamous 06z.

 

Arctic Blast!

[snow_wizard]

This would easily be the coldest January blast since 1972 and maybe even further back than that.  Wow!

 

This is vodka on the rocks.  I hope we can get some snow going into it though.

[Perturbed Member]

WOW. 850s -25c to -27c Gorge, Columbia Basin

 

I can't even imagine what that outflow would feel like. Absolute model porn tonight. 

[Requiem]

GFS is onto something right now, or on something right now. One of the two.

[Front Ranger]

Tim says highs near 40. Very little snow.

[Perturbed Member]

Nearing impact 

 

[Blizzard777]

Better lesson: Don't be emotionally invested in anything that is forecasted outside of 2 days unless it is closer to climate averages and do not get involved with disseminating snow maps unless you are a trained professional.

In reality I wake up in the morning ( day of event)  and slowly draw the curtain back to see if it happened.    Many disappointing moments in life doing this...with a few scores as well

[Jesse]

Let's hope for DRAMATIC ensemble improvement in the mid-range.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

[Requiem]

Fairly decent Fraser outflow for Sunday. Nothing too crazy.

 

 

I will point out that the GFS is an ATROCIOUS model for outflow winds (at least by what I've seen for the past two years). Always under represents wind gusts, for some reason, particularly the Gorge and Fraser winds. 

[Omegaraptor]

 

Hour 258... the storm has reached the coast.

 

holy cross-cascade gradient

[Jesse]

Thanks, October!

[Randyc321]

Nearing impact

 

the frames need to load.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

All the newbies just shared these pictures and the word is out...

 

We’re fukked?

[Timmy]

The gfs spit out of high of 12 for pdx on the 17th...

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Snow starts picking up by D11.

 

Gonna be a Puget Sound special.

[Randyc321]

All the newbies just shared these pictures and the word is out...

We’re fukked?

Discretion should be a pledge coming into this forum. iFred should make it part of the sign up

[weather_fan]

Thanks to all who responded to this.

Newbie lucker here. Joined this group because of last Feb.

 

I have trouble understanding the graphs and jargon used in this group. It would great if someone can clear those for newbies like me. For starters what is the meaning of the following terms:

 

1. GFS

2. Euro

3. 18z, 12z, 0z

4.  Alaskan heights?

.....I will have more.

[Blizzard777]

Ridiculous

Toilets going to freeze over!