Part II- January 2020 Obs and Discussion

[luvssnow_spokane]

Been a beautiful Sunny day in the swamp. Clear and a nice south wind. Only expecting a half inch or less in the next 24 hours.

[Requiem]

I saw some graupel for five minutes...that's cool I guess. Most likely all I'm going to get out of this week, but should be fun looking at the roadcams under the convergence zone.

[Front Ranger]

Physics generally suggest models will be a bit slow with low level cold air advection. I doubt they will ever be able to account for every single boundary layer nuance on a micro level, and those nuances generally slow its progression rather than accelerate it. This of course is most applicable in continental situations.

 

Of course the opposite is the case with low level cold situations when it’s well entrenched.

 

Just food for thought for the newbs and Josh.

Yep. Here, the models are almost always way too slow with low level cold.

[Weiner Warrior]

CZ is going to drift south and sit over south seattle for 6 hrs.

[jakerepp]

These cameras are like 3 miles apart in Lynnwood. Incredible.

 

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Yeah....I’m right off 220th and from the looks of the radar returns I’d be getting some snow but all virga apparently.

[Blizzard777]

Lied about the winds....picked up with a vengeance 

38*

[MikeInEverett]

Based off radar right now it looks like most of Snohomish County should see 2-3” by the time this is done.

[Skagit Weather]

3 degree drop in 15 minutes to 34F. Unfortunately precip has stopped.

[Winterdog]

Snowing pretty good here but still 35F.  An nice band filling in to my north (right over Mossmans place).

[MossMan]

Puking snow! Love it!!

[TigerWoodsLibido]

This "event" for Oregon is gonna turn out about like the Hawks game.

[MossMan]

Snowing pretty good here but still 35F. An nice band filling in to my north (right over Mossmans place).

That should drop rapidly, down to 32.4 here.

[Requiem]

This "event" for Oregon is gonna turn out about like the Hawks game.

 

I get it.....repeating it definitely won't make any of us feel better.

[runninthruda206]

Haven’t seen a flake :/

[OysterPrintout]

I saw some graupel for five minutes...that's cool I guess. Most likely all I'm going to get out of this week, but should be fun looking at the roadcams under the convergence zone.

Haha hey D**n son you're all over the place here, we still got a long way to go. Take a breath. You got elevation at least. Us here at the pavement in Portland are looking at worse.

[El_Nina]

I saw some graupel for five minutes...that's cool I guess. Most likely all I'm going to get out of this week, but should be fun looking at the roadcams under the convergence zone.

Check out Odot Trip Check's cameras too. Lots of snow to look at

[Cloud]

Haven’t seen a flake :/

It’s sinking, look like to Shoreline soon

[Art_Digbee]

Sitting at 34 right now at 150' elevation on Orcas Island. Rain/snow mix.  No Fraser winds yet.

[VancouverIslandSouth]

I’m thinking we have a decent shot at 5-10 too

 

It's certainly within the realm of possibilities, better chance at getting something going into this than other recent Arctic blasts. We need that cz forming to our north to slide a bit to the south, certainly could happen if the outflow kicks in over the next couple hours.

[jakerepp]

It’s sinking, look like to Shoreline soon

See my earlier comment....in Edmonds and radar was filled in above me but didn’t see anything. Now it’s not over me.

[MossMan]

Probably approaching 2” already.

[Timmy]

Bring back the weenie tag. Slap that on a gen z and watch what goes down.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Way the models are going and this game it could be a rough night on the forum. 

[Winterdog]

That should drop rapidly, down to 32.4 here.

Yeah, 34F now and everything has a coating of white.  

[MikeInEverett]

Oh man precip just exploded right here. It’s dumping right now.

[Esquimalt]

It's certainly within the realm of possibilities, better chance at getting something going into this than other recent Arctic blasts. We need that cz forming to our north to slide a bit to the south, certainly could happen if the outflow kicks in over the next couple hours.

Looking at radar appears it’s already happened. All we need is for it to cool down some, 4C here right now

[BLI snowman]

I saw some graupel for five minutes...that's cool I guess. Most likely all I'm going to get out of this week, but should be fun looking at the roadcams under the convergence zone.

 

Jeez dude, you live at 900'. You'll be fine.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Great to hear these snow reports up north. Hopefully some spots down this way will pick up a dusting tomorrow. 

[FroYoBro]

Way the models are going and this game it could be a rough night on the forum. 

 

A bunch of posters are about to get snow in the Seattle area tonight. Not everyone has to be a bummer like you. 

[BLI snowman]

Way the models are going and this game it could be a rough night on the forum. 

 

End of winter and end of football season in the same night opens up some time for many of us at least.

[El_Nina]

Way the models are going and this game it could be a rough night on the forum.

 

Add in the sprinkle of a few scorers and most everybody not

[Weiner Warrior]

I saw some graupel for five minutes...that's cool I guess. Most likely all I'm going to get out of this week, but should be fun looking at the roadcams under the convergence zone.

I heard snowlevel supposed to be around 901 ft there.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

A bunch of posters are about to get snow in the Seattle area tonight. Not everyone has to be a bummer like you. 

 

True looks like some convergence zone spots are doing well. Down to 40 at Sea Tac.

[Timmy]

Snowing down to at least 900’ in scappoose now.

[MikeInEverett]

Was sleet just 20 minutes ago now heavy snow sticking to all surfaces. Wouldn’t mind if that CZ stays where it’s at right now.

[Requiem]

Was sleet just 20 minutes ago now heavy snow sticking to all surfaces. Wouldn’t mind if that CZ stays where it’s at right now.

Take lots of pictures 

[snow_wizard]

I am intrigued by tomorrow nights little feature if it develops.

 

That appears to be the best shot for many of us.

[FroYoBro]

Temperature is actually dropping at a decent rate even without offshore winds or moisture.

 

Unfortunately I will be shadowed pretty much all night. 

[snow_wizard]

These cameras are like 3 miles apart in Lynnwood. Incredible.

 

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Looks like a wall of doom ahead on that top picture.

[VancouverIslandSouth]

Looking at radar appears it’s already happened. All we need is for it to cool down some, 4C here right now

 

We'll see, I'd like to see some radar returns to our SW or signs of a surface low forming in the western Juan de Fuca. Things should improve when the outflow gets a bit closer. The air aloft is cold enough now that if we get some decent precip it will cool down rapidly.